‼️ Hezbullah announced they attacked an Israeli vehicle near Ramiah with an ATGM, marking the 4th ATGM attack in this sector.

Two against infantry and two against vehicles

They then announced ambushing an Israeli force with an IED then announcing an ongoing gunfire clash with the force. This started at 3.45 am.

Clashes are still ongoing. Pray!

🇮🇱l🇱🇧 Between October 6th and October 11th, the Israeli army conducted a major intrusion into Lebanon in the Mays al-Jabl area, one its biggiest and most successful

The intrusion is around 5km long and reaches up to 2.5km deep into Lebanese territory, and fully surrounds the UNIFIL_ Position 8-34 in the town.

News by Nathan Russel on X based on satellite photos of newly dug roads by the IDF

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 They have also entered Lebanese territory directly outside the UNIFIL Position 1-31 near Naqura.

Again like the situation in Maroun al-Ras and Mays al-Jabal / Blida sector, they took advantage of the UN position and through three paved there way.

The advance in Naqoura is quite humble and minimal, haven't reached the towns yet. It's slow.

📸 Map of the Israeli advance in Blida and Mays al-Jabal, which was the fastest and biggiest

It is there where the IDF invited local and foreign journalists, and where the IDF CoS visited to meet the commander of the 91st division

📸 On the 13th day of the ground invasion, this is the current area of operations of the IDF in Lebanon

Negligible advance in the first sector where Kfarkila and Odaiseh are. The sector is almost on halt. Most progress was in Odaiseh

Notable advance inside Yaroun and Maroun al-Ras where the Israeli army was able to reach most of Yaroun and parts of Maroun. However they didn't secure the towns nor fully work in their whole area.

Unfortunate massive progress in Mays al-Jabal and Blida. Hezbullah barely reported any clashes or engagements there, notably not Mays.

Almost zero progress in Naqoura sector.

✍These are all towns that have been under attacks for 12 full months, and the Israeli army had been engaging Hezbullah and its infrastructure there for a full year before this ground invasion.

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 The Israeli army is grinding hard with a lot of firepower in a very limited geography, and isn't risking pushing deep too fast to avoid casualties. They aren't securing areas fully and aren't setting ground in those villages to push forward yet.

Objective is reaching the first row, searching for infrastructure like tunnels and shooting positions, demolish what they can, and then ...move forward? We didn't see a new push towards the whole Yaroun and Maroun yet even after they secured the areas close to the border few days ago already.

A tactic that yes limited casualties a lot and burdened Hezbullah through massive waves of airstrikes, but is an unclear tactic because securing just the front row of villages will not have achieved anything. At most, it will stop ATGM attacks but not any artillery or rockets.

📸 Closeup map of Yaroun from few days ago. IDF-dug roads can be seen in the open lands and in the southern sectors of the town.

Most of the town is still not operated in or unsecured.

📸 Also Odaiseh and Kfarkila. The IDF almost not operated in these towns at all. These are based on tracks from 4 days ago. Limited changes could have happened in the meanwhile.

Its unclear if there is resistance left in those villages or the IDF abstained from going this deep because of some risk factors.

Situation was not covered by Lebanese media nor has Hezbullah reported any recent events in this sector.

The IDF is still afraid to name any towns, and has done only once in 12 days.

❗️ In the 6th event in Ramiah sector, Hezbullah announced they detonated an IED in another Israeli force who tried to advance through and control Al-Mdawar hill in the Lebanese town of Ramiah.

They confirm there are casualties in the ranks of the IDF. They state clashes are still ongoing with light and medium machine guns.

بقلم قاسم قاسم

‏مر ما يقارب الـ١٥ يوماً على العدوان الإسرائيلي على لبنان. بدأت الحرب قبل إغتيال أمين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله، بتفجير أجهزة البايجرز وما تبعها من ضربات على الضاحية الجنوبية.

أراد العدو بهذه الضربات تركيع حزب الله معتقداً بأن إسقاط ما يقارب من ٤ الاف جريح واغتيال قادة الرضوان سيجبر الحزب على ذلك. برغم من قساوة ضربة البايجرز وما تسببت به، وقساوة اغتيال الشهيد عبد القادر مع فريق عمله، والاستهدافات التي تصاعدت في الضاحية، الا ان كل ذلك لم يدفع حزب الله للتراجع.

ما جرى على الحزب وبيئته في غضون ١٠ ايام كان ليكسر دول، وجيوش، وأمم ولجعلتها تركع على ركبتيها ترجو وقف الحرب. أكثر ما كسرنا وهي ضربة استراتيجية للعدو الإسرائيلي هو اغتيال امين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله. هذه كانت يجب ان تكون الضربة الاقسى لحزب الله ولبيئته. الا ان الامة التي مات امامها شهيداً والتي رباها السيد نصرالله في السنوات الماضية على اختيار السلة على الذلة صمدت وبقيت على موقفها.

بعدها بأيام شن العدو الاسرائيلي اكبر حملة جوية في العصر الحديث مستهدفاً ما يقارب ١٦٠٠ هدف. ما جرى علينا في غضون ١٠ ايام، كانت لتكسر امم، ولتكسر دول وجيوش، الا اننا صمدنا برغم كل الجراح العميقة. الان ماذا؟ لم يعد العدو يملك أي مفاجئات جديدة، وفي حال كانت توجد في جعبته أي مفاجئة فوقعها لن يكون أقسى علينا من اغتيال امين عام حزب الله.

هذه الضربة التي وجهها العدو، واراد منها كسرنا قوّتنا، فالألم الذي شعرنا به لحظتها لن يكون هناك أعمق منه، أو أكبر منه، وكل ما سيجري دونه لن يفوق تلك اللحظة من الوجع. العدو بضربته باغتيال السيد من دون أن يدري جعلنا أقوى، وأشرس، ونبغي ثأرنا منه. الان نحن في معركة وجود، معركة معسكرين، معركة حتى الان طويلة، ولا أفق قريب لنهايتها.

الحرب لم تبدأ بعد. ما يحكم سرعة نهاية الحرب هو الميدان، مصيرنا هو بيد المقاومين على الحدود، وهو بيد المدافعين عن القرى، هؤلاء سيجبرون العالم على المجيء الى لبنان لطلب وقف اطلاق نار. في هذه المرحلة علينا تحمل الضربات، والصبر والانتظار، فالعدو مع مرور ١٥ يوماً لم يتقدم إلى الحافة الامامية، وهو يتلطى بمراكز اليونيفيل، ويدخل ويخرج من لبنان. لم يستطع دخول قرية او البقاء فيها، ميدانيا اسود حزب الله يمنعون جنود العدو من التقدم، ومن يواجه الان هم ابناء القرى وليس تشكيلات حزب الله النخبوية.

اما على الصعيد الصاروخي، فإن المقاومة بحسب بيانات اعلام العدو، تطلق ما يقارب ٢٠٠ صاروخ يومياً، ربما قد يقول البعض او ان البعض يقول هذا ليس كافياً. هذا الكلام صحيح، لكن لنفترض ان الحرب امتدت الى ٦ اشهر او عام على المقاومة ان تقتصد بذخيرتها، وفي النهاية هي ادرى بإدارة المعركة.

حالياً، هناك اصوات جدية داخل الكيان تطالب رئيس حكومة العدو بنيامين نتنياهو وقف الحرب والاستفادة من الانجازات التي حققها (بايجرز، اجهزة اتصال، اغتيال نصرالله وقيادات)، وترجمة هذه الانجازات سياسياً. الا ان غطرسة نتنياهو والغطاء الامريكي المتوفر له، تجعله يخسر "نقطة الخروج" (مصطلح عسكري حيث يجب على القيادة السياسية معرفة نقطة خروجها من المعركة والاستفادة سياسيا مما حققته)، وتجعله يرغب بإطالة الحرب مما يجعله يخسر اكثر ويجعل المقاومة تكسب اكثر.

شخصياً، لا اعتقد ان الحرب ستقف قريباً، الا اذا حصل ميدانيا نقطة تحول، واعتقد ان الحرب ستكمل الى ما بعد انتخاب رئيس امريكي جديد، فبدل ان يبيع نتنياهو التهدئة لرئيس خرف راحل، فهو سيبيعها لرئيس او رئيسة جديدة.

كما اعتقد ان الازمة الداخلية الاسرائيلية (حاليا غير موجودة وستبدأ بعد انتهاء الحرب)، تمنع نتنياهو من وقف الحرب وذلك خوفا من لجان التحقيق ومن المحاكمات الجنائية.

هذه الحرب لن تنتهي قريباً، لكن المؤكد فيه ان نتنياهو خسرها بعد أول صاروخ أطلقته المقاومة بعد اغتيال سيدها. النصر ات، علينا انتظاره فحسب.

❗️ Renewed red alerts in the newly established military sector in Israel, facing the Lebanese towns of Marwahin, Ramiah, and Aita al-Shaab

⭕️ Hezbullah took credit for its 8th operation today, announcing they fired a Burkan rocket towards Zar'it barracks

Zar'it is south west the current Israeli push towards Ramiah. (If only one day a Burkan could land between them, it might be magical)

❗️ Widespread alerts in the western Galilee

📸 The Israeli army released 5 photos to summarize its operations in Lebanon.

All 5 photos are of soldiers posing near houses they reached, pointing their guns for the sake of the photoshoot.

📸 In one, they posed near an already secured house which they aimlessly sprayed with countless bullet holes for fun.

No photos of new weapons, dead fighters, infrastructure nor anything.

🐖 Some fat pig was let loose from a farm. Please send animal control

❗️ Israeli airstrikes continue to target Aita al-Shaab and Haneen since yesterday night with non-stop artillery barrages.

Notice the weather and the atmosphere. Time is ticking before winter.

🇮🇱l🇱🇧 Several MEDVEC helicopters are reported in northern Israel.

Hezbullah took credit for several attaks where they confirmed casualties in the ranks of Israeli soldiers.

Israeli jets are also very active, possible on standby for a wide scale wave of attacks

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 About 2.5 days have passed without any Israeli attacks in Beirut's Dahyeh.

Despite the eviction orders two days ago for two buildings, the Israeli army didn't attack.

This doesn't mean they are dettered or a deal was done to avoid attacking there, the army is likely reviewing the results and gathering a new set of target bank.

After more then 3,000 airstrikes in Lebanon, they have to have ran out of old target banks and started to generated new.

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 During this mornings clashes with Hezbullah, 25 Israeli soldiers were injured; non-declared dead

According to an official tally by Israel, the soldiers were injured in 3 separate attacks, confirming Hezbullah's statement

- An ATGM attack that cripple a whole infantry force, injuring 1 critically, 6 medium, and 5 light

- An ATGM attack that injured 1 critically, 1 medium, and 1 light

- Rockets towards their staging grounds, injuring 3 lightly and 7 medium

📸 On the other hand, the Israeli army releases updates on the progress in the sector assigned to the 36th division.

They didn't detail any new successes or finds, only showing random driving in open areas; but state they are operating in a "limited, localized, and targeted operational activity in southern Lebanon"

This is important to understand because its there current modis operandi:

- Concentrating massive forces into a very small area of operation, grinding it slowly and in the safest way

- Demolishing all houses and civilian infrastructure that is close to the Israeli border, no matter what it is

- Prepare for creating a small buffer zone of a few km, depopulated of Lebanese. This means depopulating the border Lebanese villages.

❗️After they demolished the mosque in Yaroun, the Israeli army demolished in a controlled explosion the mosque in Duhayra village.

The mosque was not accused of being used as a military base, no weapons or tunnels found in it nor near it. Just as I mentioned earlier, Jewish terror and a real goal of demolishing all border villages.

The mosque is less than 150 meters away from the border wall, on the edge of the village. However for them to reach and demolish it, indicate they were safe enough to operate around it and beyond it. This doesn't mean the resistance failed here exactly, but this area is simply not defendable.