Lebanese News and Updates – Telegram
Lebanese News and Updates
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Covering Lebanon and occasionally MENA's conflicts. And currently, the war in Palestine.
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🇮🇱 The unclarity in the war goals exploded yesterday as another fight between Gallant and Netanyahu.

An everlasting war in Gaza, a large war in Lebanon with limited ground invasion, exchanged of attacks with Iran, attacks on Yemen, attacks on Syria. What is next, are "we keep fighting everyone everywhere forever"

In a secret letter sent by the Defense Minister to the Prime Minister and Cabinet ministers hours before the Israeli attack on Iran, he warns that the war is changing its face, the threats against Israel are being updated - but the goals of the war are not updated:

- The state of affairs in which we are conducting ourselves, without a valid compass and without updating the goals of the war, harms the management of the campaign and the decisions of the cabinet

- The significant developments in the war, primarily the exchanges between Israel and Iran, increase the need to hold a discussion and update the goals of the war with an overall view of all the arenas and the relationship between them.
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🇮🇱 In response to Gallant, Netanyahu said that Galant's letter is extremely puzzling.
"There is one compass, and it is the objectives of the war as determined by the cabinet. The goals are constantly being tested, and have even been expanded recently."
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🔊 Drone alerts in Ma'a lot Tarshicha, Ma'ale Yosef
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⭕️ In the past hour, Hezbullah took credit for several drone attacks targeting:

- Shomera settlement
- Zar'it settlement
- Sa'sa' settlement x2
- Kfar Yuval settlement x2

They also announced attacking the following 3 settlements with rockets, as part of implementing the evacuation orders:

- Qityat Shmona
- Nahariyya
- Eilet Hashhir
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Lebanese News and Updates
Footage of the Almas attack on a bus with Israeli soldiers in Shomera on 25-October.
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📹 This is how the Almas penetrated successfully the bunker.

I remembered that they acknowledgd 6 light injuries, but only through media not by the IDF spokesman.
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Lebanese News and Updates
❗️In an update to south Lebanon, another Israeli division withdrew, leaving only two divisions now operating in south Lebanon.
Update: All Israeli divisions have left Lebanon excluding the 146th

Regardless why and what, won't discuss but an important factor is to re-group, rethink about the next steps, and make sure they are safe in bunkered and hidden positions in Israel and not exposed in south Lebanon where they have no AD nor bunkers
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⭕️ Hezbullah: Soon...
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❗️Hezbullah released spectacular footage showing how they are monitoring successfully the Israeli forces in the villages between Taybeh and Reb Tlateen.

There, they attacked the force in the Lebanese village with Falaq rockets, rockets, mortars and so on causing damages and forces the Israeli forces to retreat.

This is why the Israeli army won't stay in the Lebanese towns, and after they finish the incursion and demolitions, they are retreating fast.
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❗️Hezbullah issues a warning now for Qiryat Shmona. Evacuate immediately
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🇮🇱l🇱🇧 Small alerts in Qirtat Kleb
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Lebanese News and Updates
☠️ Shuvael Ben-Natan who was killed yesterday in southern Lebanon was one of the most dangerous and violent settlers in the West Bank
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📹 In the funeral of Shuvael Ben-Natan, one of the soldiers gives an eulogy and says he values how Ben-Natan burned the house of an innocent civilian just to lift the mood of soldiers.
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📹 As for Ben-Natan family, they explicitly say he went to Gaza to take revenge and kill as many men, women, and children

And they vow they and the IDF will take revenge for his blood, not by burning trees or cars, but by spilling more blood [of innocent Palestinians and Lebanese]
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🇮🇱l🇮🇷 In a speech yesterday, Ayatollah Sayyed Ali Khamenie said not to underestimate or blow out of proportions the Israeli attack

He said the Israelis exaggerated what they did, but also "for us to say no, it was nothing, it was unimportant - this is wrong."

He added that "the miscalculation of the Zionist regime must be dispelled."
"They have not yet managed to understand the strength, capability, will, and initiative of the Iranian nation. We must make them understand."
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🇮🇱l🇮🇷 As for Israeli media, they claim that “the security establishment estimates that Iran is expected to attack, and that Israel is satisfied with the results of the attack.

They add that "all the targets they planned to attack - were hit."
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بالدم تُبنى صروح الدين شامخة
ودون ذلك كان العيش خسرانا
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حسينٌ ربانا كي نحيى أحرارا..
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من ألهم الثائرين الصمودَ؟
من علّم الناسكين السجودَ؟
من علّم الدم الا يبيدَ؟
من أولد الدين صبحًا جديدا؟

هذا حُسينٌ تُراه أيُنسى
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No coverage today sorry, IDak if tomorrow either, but in brief

- IDF for the first time announces the name of the Lebanese village to declare a victory there, Kfarkila

They consider the mission is done there and the village cleared of Hezbullah, regardless of how true or false that is

The announcement only came after fully withdrawed from that sector

- IDF attacked Tyre heavily, is attacking now Baalbek and Beqaa very harshly, and the daily many attacks all around south Lebanon

- The IDF is now mounting a very large push towards Khiyam city

- The IDF started to remove some barriers in some Israeli northern settlements, as an announcement that the area is now safe to return to

This is true because the risk of a large Hezbullah invasion is now zero. However the area isn't fully safe from ATGMs but is largely as long as the IDF has the operation ongoing in the border towns.

- The IDF demolished some extremity of Aitaroun, barely touching the town's center. Demolitions done in Hula too before retreating

- Despite the 146th division only working, the IDF attempted to push this dawn towards Al-Nahas governing hill in Kfarkila but failed.

Yeah and the usual other news.
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More, the invasion future is still unclear, it clearly didn't end yet nor do all other news about it ending are true

Yes the IDF and Israeli media are hoping for a short war, real IDF spirit of fast and effective campaigns, but the situation is still not there yet

Yes without any doubt the IDF achieved its tactical goals in the border villages, haven't secured them fully but neutralized the defensive and offensives capabilities on the edge with limited cost of 3 dozen soldiers and about 600 injuries. Losses for either side aren't what dictate a win/loss anyways.

The goal seems to be to push and clear for up to 3 km, but through slow grinding that hopes to conclude before winter as the IDF does not plan to stay in Lebanon to avoid putting its soldiers in danger.

Due to the small size of Lebanese villages and the open lands and roads between them, Hezbullah is not able to reinforce border towns or easily mount attacks from village to village. The battles in Gaza and Lebanon are different.

If there was resistance in Jabalia for few times after the IDF retreated, these results don't necessarily replicate in Lebanon.

The IDF tried to deny Hezbullah of every single thing it can take to its advantage, while putting a great toll on Hezbullah.

Additionally, the IDF continues to heavily rely on airstrikes to suppress Hezbullah in rear villages and kill as many of those left there, in an attempt to soften the targets. Most of the casualties are because of these airstrikes. Daily martyrs are between 15-30 on average.

Even if the campaign ended soon, the IDF plans to not allow anyone to go back to the border towns, and wants to keep some sort of operational freedom to raid those towns when needed, like in Gaza.

The IDF hopes they can get US and foreign help to enforce security on Lebanese border crossing and make sure Hezbullah is not able to arm itself again and build infrastructure after the war

The goal is not to fully defeat Hezbullah now, in all Lebanon, but only in south Lebanon up to few KMs while ensuring the organization is severely damaged it can never grow back. (That's what they want..I'm not implying my stand here on anything)

However if the IDF senses weakness they will push deeper, but they haven't yet.

The battle is changing face with each week.
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Additionally I wanted to note that while Hezbullah is successfully still mountains medium range and short range rocket attacks, and have the freedom to operate they can't do that forever.

With complete unchallenged Israeli air dominance, rocket launchers are at risk. They aren't stealthy.

One day, one week, one month their numbers continue to diminish and this will eventually hinder the number of launches. But so far all is good.

We have to understand that the number of launches today are close to 2006 war, which in itself is not the best indicator because of the Israeli opening attack in this war and the weeks before. Today with the Iron Dome, launches should have been higher but material capabilities got suppressed.

Situation is way better than in Gaza, who stopped firing in few weeks. Lebanon is still firing one year after at an increasing rate.

The battle is quite hard, there is more details to discuss but later on.

What quite interests me is two questions:

1- The 5,000 + injured in the pager attack, from what units where they and how much of an impact did this have on Hezbullah rocket units and drone force. Not everyone in Hezbullah was handed a pager, definitely not the majority of the infantry.

This event definitely had an impact of the launches and offensive and defensive capabilities. Skilled people in certain units, in large numbers.

2- What's with the lack of booby trapping. Hezbullah is very well advanced in IEDs and mines, both in production and usage. But so far we have seen no indication of traps nor mines being deployed.
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