📹 The soldier who was killed in this incident was spotted happy in one of the videos in south Lebanon, celebrating their victory

📸 He and several other soldiers have already been killed, after releasing such footage in Lebanon.

He was killed alongside another soldier two week ago.

📹 From the demolitions in lower Duhayra town.

This small town which doesn't have any Hezbullah presence or infrastructure, was leveled. The attacks focused on demolishing infrastructure facing Israel.

📸 Today the Israeli army CoS Halevi held an assessment with the invasion officers, inside Israeli territory.

He discussed the urgent need to make the Israeli army bigger, both the regular and the reserves.

Halevi says he knows the hardships of the reserves who have been at wear for more then 200 days, and he is trying to find solutions

He stresses that recruiting the ultra Orthodox will help in that

📍Halevi was at 33.099098°, 35.223704° facing Duhayra, where demolitions where taking place

So let's discuss something fast.

The discourse now is about the news how the IDF advanced in south Lebanon and Hezbullah's statement that the IDF didn't fully secure a full village yet. So what's what.

1- It is true the IDF advanced to the villages it wanted to work in, achieved their tactical successes in destroying military and civilian infrastructure

This was explicitly confirmed by Hezbullah and Al-Manar. No doubt in that, and no lies.

2- It is also true that the IDF did not operate in all of the geographical boundaries of these towns, and has only worked to reach their centers, demolish, and then retreat without clearing their northern boundaries and country side, effectively not exposing themselves to the second row of towns

This is the IDF's tactic to preserve their forces and their safety, and accomplish the limited goals they had, and they did.

But its important to understand that they didn't have more grand goals, because they knew their limitations

The IDF is aware it doesn't have enough resources for a major push to reach all of south Lebanon and they are aware strain is ongoing on the reserve forces.

These forces have been fighting non-stop for 1 year almost, and getting into another year will be devastating for both the army and the economy.

We keep seeing GoFundMe campaigns to help these soldiers, when their reserve service ends.

So it's now established that both events are true, both claims are true, each in its different understanding of things.

❓So what really contributed to the IDF advance?

- Concentration of massive force on small villages, using several brigades against few tens of soldiers from Hezbullah

These villages are small, scattered, and the IDF effectively overwhelmed the defense, and used air and ground assets perfectly

❓Why didn't Hezbullah last in those villages as long as they did in 2006?

There are factors here:
1- The IDF did not focus on single villages as much in 2006, and wanted to reach major cities fast, so they mounted limited unfocused battles to reach Bint Jbeil and etc

2- The IDF didn't expose its forces to danger, and didn't mount helicopter based attacks. No airdrops in Beqaa, no airdops in Tyre, no combat helicopter action.

These attacks would complicate the battlefield for the IDF, and the loses they faced caused IDF retreats and thus causing failures. The IDF was hesitant, they aren't now

3- Hezbullah did last longer than in 2006. The war in 2006 was one month, this war has been ongoing for 1.5 and the ground invasion was longer than the one in 2006 by twice the timeframe.

❓Why didn't Hezbullah perform better in these border villages?

Not as simple as you think, there are factors:
- These villages have been under daily attacks for 1 year
- These villages turned into kill zones for 1 year
- These villages are not cities, they are scattered houses
- These villages are all mostly at a geographical disadvantage, where IDF bases and settlements are overviewing these tows

Finally:
- Hezbullah was never expected to fully defend and forever secure these border villages.

It's a military task that is impossible and no army in the world can defend these areas forever facing what Hezbullah fought.

Advances were inevitable and Hezbullah made the IDF pay a price, with the means they had.

Now, could Hezbullah have prepared better? Could Hezbulah have performed better there?

- Without having actual details, and without the military people themselves giving an assessment, we cannot claim anything.

If you can do better, do it yourself

❓When do we expect things to become better?

It's not really an easy answer. What will actually be helpful to form a victory in Lebanon through resistance is being able to secure an area and effectively have the IDF fail in taking it

So yes, Khiyam town is the major battle now which should be that, hopefully. If the IDF fails to occupy the town for weeks, and clahses continue for weeks, and the IDF continue to lose soldiers there, it will be a great factor

Else, it is unfortunate to say, the IDF operated where the IDF wanted. The resistance in Aita lasted till it didn't, the resistance lasted in X lasted till it didn't..

So finally let's end this saying:
- 2024 war is not like 2006 war
- The IDF played it safe, for limited goals and was able to create an image of victory but with limited actual ground success in terms of size and control
- The IDF isn't fortifying its positions in Lebanon fearing losses from attacks
- The IDF is largely removing forces from Lebanon, I'm seeing brigades celebrating leaving

❓What now? What's happening now?

- IDF didn't secure Lebanese towns fully and although Hezbullah cannot reinforce the towns where the resistance was 'halted' they can and are able to make the Israeli stay in those towns costly

- Hezbullah although suffered major blows, is still able to operate and will triumph inshallah. Ground forces and all other units are still capable, composed, and willing to fulfill there roles. No fear in their hearts

- The IDF attacked everything they knew to attack before the war, and now the IDF is simply attacking counter-value targets (civilian infrastructure and economic) and this highlights it can't become worse and from this point Hezbullah can only become better

- The fear by the IDF to use helicopters and navy near Lebanon indicates they are not confident Hezbullah is defeated, and are sure they still have the means to attack those assets. And if attacked, they are a major blow for the IDF of hit and soldiers killed

(I'll buy premium soon, sorry. Continued below)

(continued)

- The Israeli gov wanting a ceasefire now & IDF accepting it despite everything means they genuinely don't want to go further

They killed Sayyed, they killed the whole 1st leadership, and they "finished" their work on the border. Anything more will be counter productive & uselessly costly for the IDF

Lebanon doesn't have hostages, the IDF doesn't have enough soldiers to go to every town and village in south Lebanon, they cannot spend a month for every few villages & keep this slow rate

Time is now in Lebanon's favor despite the losses we faced. We endured the worst possible, nothing worse can happen

Our leadership killed, our people killed, our houses destroyed.

Will this ceasefire work or not? Will Hezbullah accept it or not? Will the terms be implemented or not? We don't know.

We know this though:
1- Lebanon will not fall into a civil war
2- Hezbullah is the locals, it won't leave south Lebanon
3- Israel doesn't want to end the war if it cannot get real guarantees for change

📰 Earlier today, two were injured in a rocket attack that impacted Metulla.

Metulla, which the IDF removed the barriers to give the locals a sense of safety and that the war is ending and they will come back home.

Although the area is now a military zone where the IDF operates from, they still allowed foreign poor workers to work there under danger.

🇮🇱l🇱🇧 Israeli political source:

"Prime Minister Netanyahu does not believe in a written cease-fire agreement with Hezbullah. Netanyahu believes that it is better to physically remove Hezbullah from the border, than to reach a written agreement with them on paper."

(Was Lebanon and the US fooled? Well know soon)

Some points from tonights interview with the Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati

- Amos coming to Israel and Lebanon is a good indicator that progress is being made

- We adhere to resolution 1701 and we want the Lebanese army to increase its forces in south Lebanon

- The Lebanese army needs more weapons

- There should be no weapon in south Lebanon but with the Lebanese state

- Since 21 September I haven't spoke to Hezbullah. I only speak with Nabih Berri

- We need a U.S. guaranteed ceasefire

- Hezbullah is too late to accept detaching itself from Gaza

- Amos promised Lebanon a ceasefire before 5-Nov (loool yes just perfectly before the US elections)

- We don't want to put the airport in danger. If Iran and Iraq want to send aid, let them sent it at sea. (What did Iraq even do to you. They are already giving us free wheat and oil and only doing so as thank you for Hezbullah)

- We won't endanger anyone to reopen the border with Syria

He proceeds to attack the Lebanese displacemed people, says the schools which are hosting them aren't hotels and mocks them before saying they are preparing to move them into (tents and makeshift areas) near the sport city area.

Just remarkable how everyone both ally and political partner stabbed Hezbullah in the back

📸 One of many photos and videos being released today of commemorative footage of Israeli soldiers before leaving Lebanon.

In this, gathering in front of a full row of civilian houses they themselves started a fire in on purpose.

The speech of Sheikh Naim Qassem, S.G. of Hezbollah from earlier today

- We have an Islamic, an Arab, a humanitarian, and a national duty to support Gaza and the people of Palestine

- Al-Aqsa Storm showed the rejection of occupation of the past 75 years

In 1982 when Israel invaded Lebanon, Hezbollah did not exist – and they occupied the South until 2000, with the aim of justifying a permanent presence and making settlements

- Israel did not leave in 2000 due to international resolutions, but because of the unity of the Lebanese people and Resistance factions

- Between 2006 and 2023, Israel committed 39,000 violations of Lebanese airspace and other violations

- You cannot say Israel was provoked, they have continuously provoked us

The Israelis were planning to carry out a major attack against Hezbollah on October 11th of 2023, only three days after Hezbollah entered the fight, but the US told them not to – but the intention was there