Lebanese News and Updates – Telegram
Lebanese News and Updates
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Covering Lebanon and occasionally MENA's conflicts. And currently, the war in Palestine.
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All Hamas and Hezbullah will ever do is ensure that the Palestinian state is not lost, and it ist here duty to continue on this path because betraying this path is not betraying a land, but betraying righteousness and is a reason for humiliation on earth and then punishment by God in the hereafter.

It is clear enough for all, how complicated it will be to manage the above, and how hard it will be to actually execute. To rebuild you need training camps that are compromised to the IDF who is attacking even in Beqaa. How can you send 40-60 teens and men there to train. Building weapons need smuggling that is lost because Syria is lost, and manufacturing is going to be complicated because not only is machinery and dual use material not easy to import and is mostly banned by Lebanon long ago, you need infrastructure that is prone to being attached by the IDF once exposed.

This is why, the loss of deterrence after this war that was fortified by the weak Lebanese state's stance on the thousands of Israeli violations has compromised the post-war efforts to rebuild and weakened hezbullah's ability to navigate the 1701. As you can see now, the challenges are great, and as we have noticed so far, President Aoun and Nawaf Salam are working to appease the West and namely the U.S by building on the loss of deterrence by Hezbullah and its compromise in Lebanon.

This internal compromise was aggravated by the loss of support from the Lebanese Free Patriotic Movement that refused to cooperate and has been leaning closer to the US despite preserving a national sovereign stance. Nabih Berrir's loyalty the Shia has preserved the unity of Amal and Hezbullah, but the Shia alone are not able to protect themselves and the resistance because their numbers do not translate to state power. Being at 33-40% of Lebanon, Shia do not get any major leadership role in the state that can challenge a President or a PM. They neither get the president seat, or Minister of Defense, or interior ministry, or Central Bank governor, or army commander, etc etc. You get the point here.

This is important because for long, Hezbullah was able to navigate being a resistance without causing repercussions on the Lebanese state. Hezbullah will carry the burden alongside the Shia community that has carried immense burdens, while the Lebanese state will stay intact. No U.S sanctions, EU financial aid, no Arab boycotts, etc. This allowed both to have separates path that do not cross or clash. They have made this possible through all EU and US adminstrations, even Trump's first term and made it work. Yet Aoun and Nawaf are more enthusiastic about the anti-Hezbullah rhetoric that they are willing to take steps no president or PM before them did.

I dont know where this confidence is from, but Nawaf was a pro 14-March party (google it) advocate and Aoun betrayed his leader Michel Aoun and is from the Army. Army officers are mostly arrogant, although they have no real achievements for an army, it is a trait they have and an ego. I come from a family with many Lebanese soldiers and officers, and I can tell you, its a prestige. But also, these soldiers and officers are not always pro the polticis of the leadership and anti_Hezbullah. On the contrary, but at the end of the day this is a job and has its privileges. No soldier or officer is there to defend his country or die for it. They are there for a payroll, health insurance, and pension. Officers are there for the prestige, drivers, housing, perks, and fat pension.


So to conclude this part, we can say that Aoun and Nawaf are not bluffing this anti-Hezbullah rhetoric to 18-Feb to appease the US and Israel so they can withdraw and then everything is back to normal. It is clear they have some sort of personal goals to achieve a legacy and this is going to be at the expense of the Lebanese resistance. Aoun is here for 6 years, but Nawaf is here only Temp until the elections in 2026. He is unlikely to stay the PM because Hariri is back and will secure a decent support that will make him the #1 favorable PM.
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Hariri does not mind Aoun, but it is unclear how Hariri is going to treat Hezbullah. Funny that, despite all, Hezbullah still have their hand extended to them, hoping they cooperate for the better good for all. And I still believe that Aoun and Nawaf allowed Hezbullah to join the government as a trap to gain legitimacy to the actions that they will take. Hezbullah and Amal dont have the minister majotiry to stop anything, and their presence there will give legitimacy to any gov decision.

So far, i cannot asses that the gov and president will do. But how they enforce their anti-hezb policy and the disarming of "all non-state actors" will be what will shape out future. Will they put the state's resource to spy on Hezbullah, raid their weapons manuf sites and depos, arrest their trainers in camps, etc etc. The army and other security forces have good intel on Hezbullah, training camps are known, and routes are known. You get the point.

Btw do you know, that part of the intelligence the Lebanese state has gathered on Hezbullah has been fed to the Israeli intelligence machine unknowingly and has had a toll on Hezbullah during the war?

Honestly all i want now to go to my village, look at this damn mountain and enjoy the scenery while knowing we are not at risk. But this world is evil, and will always be, and there is not going to be any rest until we die. We the normal people wont rest, so imagine those who will be tasked with rebuilding our resistance and protecting out existence.

No need to elaborate here about the hate the many Lebanese have harbored for the Shia and the lies they made and believed. They have blurred the lines between political difference and enemy-hood. They see us as aliens who they want crushed and killed, yet we see them as political foes who have been misguided by hate.

On the other side, let's talk about the Israeli challenge. The loss of deterrence that we spoke of had many reasons but wont discuss now, but in simple words that i once used is that because the victory in this war was survival the deterrence was not one because this victory was a matter of life and death. There as no leverage in it, the Israeli accomplished historical goals, and you only won your survival against all odds. This victory is shy, and one that does not carry enough momentum. This was translated in the weak implementation of the clear ceasefire deal that the IDF violated non-stop without repercussions. Although it was clear, the U.S favoring of Israel and the lack of Lebanese army's will in light of the lack of the political echelon's courage has had its toll.

Do you know that the number of houses demolished during the ceasefire is in the thousands or tens of thousands? That cost is on who to blame? The IDF demolished a family and friend's house, even ones that are still under construction for the sole reason that they are close to the border or can be seen from the Israeli sides. The damage caused in these 3 months are 100x folds the damage caused in the 14 month war. Naqoura was destroyed during the ceasefire and not the war.

When i speak of loss, i speak how the Lebanese army entered Naqoura on 26-Nov then retreated allowing the IDF to enter a town they did not enter during the war. Do you understand how bad the humiliation there is here? This and many towns that the IDF entered during the ceasefire and not the war. Then there is the matter of airstrikes and assassination, even today's in Sidon against Hamas. These are grave violations of the ceasefire and the Lebanese state failed to tackle them accordingly. You know well how many attacks, no need to elaborate more here.

That, and now the IDF has decided to stay in 5 Lebanese hills that compromise south Lebanon, violating the most clear term of the ceasefire deal that was signed by both parties when Lebanon was bombarded to rubble.
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IF then the deal was to fully withdraw, by what means do they decide to stay in 5 bases and violate that and the 1701 deal that cleary does not state that Israel can build 5 bases in Lebanon and pretty sure says the IDF should return occupied lands to Lebanon (Ghajar, etc)

This is where is finish talking about the future. But before we do, let's talk about something very fast. About the UN and international Law.

Fuck it. Frankly, because for fuck's sake has it ever been implemented against the bad guys? or does this world only assumes morality on the side that is opposing the US and the collective western states. How can you explain to me how the US and Israel have not paid for the crimes that they have done, and yet everyone else has a UN resolution that works against it and in favor of the West.

Even the UN resolutions that they so effortlessly demand us to adhere to, they reject and do not adhere to. The UN says the IDF occupies the Golan Heights and should leave it. Never will happen and no one ever will enforce and punish Israel for that. Yet this world wants Lebanon to submit to 1701 and twist its meaning and force us to do our part while the IDF still occupies our lands, and has violated it more than 70,000 times since 2006. The number of IDF violations are almost more than the number of weapons the IDF confiscated from Lebanon. Imagine. The world lost its compass and only showcased to everyone again that the law is not to be respected. I say this not because I only learned this, but to remind you again, about how hypocrite they are and how their actions are the main reason that eroded the law based order of this world.

It get worse when the US, both democrat and republican, attack then sanction the international criminal court and when Israel kills that many UN members in Gaza and outlaws a UN agency from operating in Israel (UNRWA). They have eroded the legitimacy of the UN and eroded the foundation of this world based order that they keep on telling us about.

They want us to adhere to 1701 and disband Hezbullah yet they wont stop violating the 1701 and wont leave the occupied lands and will never agree to leave. And now, instead of showing us what this order based world is, and how to respect agreements, instead of leaving Lebanon they decided to build 5 bases in Lebanon and worse?

These bases will not be there to protect Israel, they are forward Israeli bases in Lebanon to allow IDF to kidnap people in Lebanon, demolish, shell, attack. You are mistaken if they will stay put. Shepherds and farmers will be kidnapped on weekly bases. You will soon see the hell we will live in and south Lebanon is back to the 1949-1969 era. Read the book i uploaded on the violations in that period.

While those basis are there, the IDF will not stop assassinations and airstrikes, and what will the Lebanese state do? Here is the moment when the Lebanese state will either uphold its responsibility or fail and during this Hezbullah will be on the side, waiting for the time when the state erodes its legitimacy and Israel crosses the line. Line that is already crossed, but lines can always be drawn with a pen.

This is where i go back to the first sentence, when I talked about how Sheikh Naim said. This war ended the way it did, and 1701 states it is the responsibility of the state to protect and defend. Hezbullah has disarmed in the border area, Hezbullah has not attacked or used arms, and Hezbullah has not responded to 1,000 + Israeli violations that includes airstrikes, killing of members, and killing of civilians. Now, is the time for the state to showcase its ability. Hezbullah is on the sidelines now as requested, and the state is now on top.

But please, do ignore all the ill educated people who say that Hezbullah cannot expect the state to uphold its responsibility now after Hezbullah caused this war and that Hezbullah should understand that what it did had repercussions. Yep, Bullshit mate.
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The state can give the Lebanese army orders to shoot at IDF drones, the state can order the army to stop any Israeli raids on towns, the state can order the army to protest the IDF airstrikes. The state? can order the army to liberate the hills. There are were no repercussions in this war but on Hezbullah and the Shia. They are the only ones that suffered by loss. They are the only ones who lost their homes, money, and families. The state is intact, the army is intact, and the leadership of the state has the world's support.

So what now? What is the future of Hezbullah (in brief). Hezbullah will endure Israeli attacks and attempts to sabotage its rebuild up and Hezbullah will turn away for sometime even after 18-Feb regarding these hills and won't attack now. Like how they gave the state time to ensure the IDF withdraws from towns, they will give the state enough time to convince the US to force the IDF to leave. This is not a decision of weakness from Hezbullah nor because they need to rebuild people's homes or themselves, to liberate these hill you dont need what youd need in a full war. But rather, they dont want to give a pretext for the IDF, the U.S and the Lebanese state to deepen the dagger in south Lebanon and Hezbullah.

Sheikh Naim said a few weeks ago that it reached a humiliating state for u, in regards to the Israeli violations, but had we responded once, everyone would have equated our action to a 1,000 Israeli violation and sabotaged everything.

At the end of the day, we know the Jewish nature and we know the IDF will not leave through diplomacy and we all know that the resistance will start again in a very limited scope in south Lebanon to liberate these hills by putting enough leverage and burdening the IDF. Had the IDF left today, Hezbullah would not attack the IDF, they could have secured decades of peace. But this arrogance is going to force us into a future that will not be kind to us.

To leave, Hezbullah will attack the IDF in those bases. To attach, the IDF will retaliate and harm Hezbullah and the innocent civilians. This cycle will continue and the IDF instead of having comforted the settlers in the north, they would have showed that Hezbullah is still there and attacking us. And this itself will burden the IDF to not leave, because if they leave due to resistance, they have negated the reason they have stayed to protect these settlements.

Understand how bloody this cycle of events is? There is no easy way out at all. If the Lebanese state fails at diplomacy, and if the IDF arrogance does not blind from this diplomatic solution, we are in a problem that will cost us dearly. But let's have faith in God. Inshallah a miracle happens, and an IED blows up in a convoy of IDF soldiers on some nice morning with birds chipping and the sun singing.

For now, I dont ask you to have faith in a good future. I ask you to pray for God to help us get out of this situation in the most intact way, and move us towards a clear victory and path that will bring hope again against the odds and the evil of those inside Lebanon and on our borders. And pray for those men, who have sacrificed all and then those men who continue to sacrifice.
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🥀 Aitaroun prepares to bury more than a 100 of its men,women, and children soon.

Of these 100, more than 25 killed in one Israeli airstrike in Zgharta during the war. All families.
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🇮🇱l🇹🇷 Israeli foreign minister @gidonsaar tells US senators: Turkey is cooprating with Iran's attemps to smuggel money to Hezbullah
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🇱🇧 Parliament Speaker Berri:

"It is absolutely not permissible for the Israeli enemy to decide for us, as it is trying to do in the matter of preventing Iranian planes from landing at Rafik Hariri Airport."
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❗️The IDF has now withdrew from Blida, Mheihib and Mays al-Jabal.

The IDF carried out new demolitions tonight in Kfarkila
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🇱🇧 On Sunday, the minimum temperature in most Lebanese territories will be zero and below (in blue)

This is during Sayyed Hassan's funeral on 23-Feb. It's said to be a very rare weather storm to hit this much land in Lebanon.

(Photo is flipped to be in uniform with other posts)
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📰 From Hassan Illaik on X

تم تشكيل لجنة من المحامين لمتابعة الموقوفين بالتظاهرة الاخيرة على طريق المطار، من التوقيف حتى امام المحكمة

يرجى ممن يعرف احدا من الموقوفين ارسال اسمه مع رقم هاتفه للضرورة على الرقم التالي:
70053864
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📰 In today's interview with Al-Mayadeen, Hezbullah's Wafiq Safa mentioned that his son was one of the thousands who were affected by the pager attacks and lost his eyes and hands.

They do what they preach, and this is what makes Hezbullah special.

In the pager attack, the one (or two) of a Hezbullah MP was killed (and injured), and in the war, the son of the head of Hezbullah's Bloc was killed.

Safa speaks about the emotional toll that faced Sayyed Hassan that day, because of how much he feels towards each and single Hezbullah members...that Safa couldn't dare call Sayyed Hassan.

But he was surprised that Sayyed called him himself at midnight to offer support regarding his son's injury.

Will share the snippets from the interview tomorrow
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We owe Sayyed Hassan a grand funeral that will go in the history in Lebanon.

This is your last chance to ever show your love to him. Do not betray this and your presence then and there will be one of the most important factors that will safeguard Hezbullah's and the Shia's future in Lebanon as a key player and factor.

Your presence won't to a mere funeral, your presence will be your vote in confidence in what Sayyed Hassan stands for and what Sheikh Naim will work for.

Do not betray. Do not feel lazy. This is merely a day of tiresome for you but a day that has potential to rebalance many things
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Lebanese News and Updates
🇱🇧 Parliament Speaker Berri:

"It is absolutely not permissible for the Israeli enemy to decide for us, as it is trying to do in the matter of preventing Iranian planes from landing at Rafik Hariri Airport."
🇱🇧 He added, "If the enemy continues to persist, what guarantees that it will not later claim, for example, that there are financial transfers to Lebanon from expatriates in Africa that go to Hezbullah, and then it could threaten to target the Central Bank of Lebanon as it is currently threatening the airport?"
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❗️ Two large Israeli trucks carrying massive amounts of explosives aee being transported through the town of Kafarshouba in south Lebanon for demolitions.

The Lebanese army is in the town. The IDF never entered the town during the war.

The ceasefire ended at 4 am today....and the IDF was to fully withdraw, not expand.
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📹 Israeli forces also shot and injured a local in Mays al-Jabal towns from their positions in Al-Manara
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🇱🇧l🇮🇱 The number of points from which the Israeli occupation has not withdrawn rises to 7, with its forces remaining on the international border road extending from Adaisseh to the entrance to Kfar Kila, along the border wall, and its positioning in the Batishiyeh area on the outskirts of Dhuhr, near the Al-Jardah site.
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❗️There is no way this is true

Two young men were found alive under the rubble of a building in Kfar Kila, one from the south and the other from the Bekaa. They were transferred to Marjeyoun Hospital. They have been there for more than 3 months. (LBCI)
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🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Statement issued by the meeting between the President of the Republic, the Speaker of Parliament and the Prime Minister:

- The attendees affirmed the unified national position of the state, stressing the necessity of a complete Israeli withdrawal from the occupied Lebanese territories, in compliance with international charters and law, and with the resolutions of the United Nations, foremost of which is Resolution 1701.

- Affirming Lebanon's full commitment to this resolution in all its provisions and without any exception, at a time when the Israeli side continues its repeated violations and transgressions of its provisions.

- The attendees stressed the role of the Lebanese Army and its full readiness to assume all its duties on the recognized international borders, in a way that preserves national sovereignty, protects the people of southern Lebanon, and ensures their security and stability.

❗️Considering the continued Israeli presence in any inch of Lebanese territory as an occupation, with all the legal consequences that result from that according to international legitimacy.

- Follow up on negotiations with the International Monitoring Committee and the International Red Cross to release Lebanese prisoners held by Israel

❗️The attendees affirm the Lebanese state's adherence to its full national rights and sovereignty over all its territories, and emphasize Lebanon's right to adopt all means to withdraw the Israeli enemy.
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