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I'm very confident that one day, one will fall in Lebanon and the pilot will be lynched
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9 years fighting each other, and then let's shake the hands the first day after as if no blood was shed.
Remarkable indeed, because it only showcases what we always knew, how the goal was to push Bachar away and then sit in his throne. Nothing else and for nothing other.
They forgot the Russian war, they forgot the Russian airstrike, they forgot the airforce which they claim caused the most civilian casualties and shook hands
Yet when it comes to Hezbullah and Iran, who fought morally the barbaric threat they faced, are ones that the Syrians cannot allow themselves to reconcile with. We can only say Mashallah.
Remarkable indeed, because it only showcases what we always knew, how the goal was to push Bachar away and then sit in his throne. Nothing else and for nothing other.
They forgot the Russian war, they forgot the Russian airstrike, they forgot the airforce which they claim caused the most civilian casualties and shook hands
Yet when it comes to Hezbullah and Iran, who fought morally the barbaric threat they faced, are ones that the Syrians cannot allow themselves to reconcile with. We can only say Mashallah.
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Bashar will be remembered as the last man who brought prosperity to Syria through the peak of 2010-2011
The last Arab leader who believed in the Arabic effort for a better Middle East
The last Arab leader to support the Resistance
The last Syrian leader to have safeguarded Syria's unity and Syria's people
The last Arab leader who believed in the Arabic effort for a better Middle East
The last Arab leader to support the Resistance
The last Syrian leader to have safeguarded Syria's unity and Syria's people
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@LebUpdate is now offering Ads for any channel that might be interested.
It'll be simple, an ad will be posted during the day and pinned for 24 hours with no posts after it for one hour (excluding during breaking news)
Financial advice and crypto scam Ads won't be allowed. Israeli or any "Haram products" won't be tolerated.
If interested, kindly DM the channel through that anonymous option in the bottom left of your screen
It'll be simple, an ad will be posted during the day and pinned for 24 hours with no posts after it for one hour (excluding during breaking news)
Financial advice and crypto scam Ads won't be allowed. Israeli or any "Haram products" won't be tolerated.
If interested, kindly DM the channel through that anonymous option in the bottom left of your screen
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After the release by Islamic Jihad, Hamas also confirms:
"Israeli prisoners are starving as Gazans are starving. No longer any special treatment"
"Israeli prisoners are starving as Gazans are starving. No longer any special treatment"
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A long thread in a few. Read and comment.
It isn't everything but a good starter
It isn't everything but a good starter
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There is a lot anyone can discuss, therorize, or lie about. However, there is only one certainty: there are no certainties in this world. This is no different from what people from military backgrounds claim: No matter how you plan for war, the chaos of the war will nullify all your plans.
But this is only true for those militaries that fail to plan properly or for those who are driven to their own defeat when destroyed from within.
We can exclude the certainty of God's existence and God's promise that in the end, the honest good moral people will triumph. But until then, we do our best and disregard the results because as his eminence once said: Our duty is to work patiently and tirelessly for the goal and not worry about the results, as however things end up, the world is governed by He—for us the end is either one of these: sweet victory or sweet martyrdom.
Despite this noble belief, and despite his eminence's success in bringing about the rise of the Shia in Lebanon from the oppressed to a force to be reckoned with in the whole world, things have changed. The tides have washed away a lot of the success that was accomplished. However, to be fair, this was not due to the failure of his eminence or the great men under his leadership, but rather certain gaps from which the consequence of the current state of events came to be.
The thing that is most painful is not his death, not the death of the leadership that created the golden era; an era of unpreceded peace and deterrence which is unrivaled for centuries in terms of inferior weapons and numbers against a nuclear state supported by a nuclear empire. Rather, it is the collapse of the entirety of what they built before they could prove its ultimate worth.
For simplicity's sake, they did not get the opportunity to prove to us the genius behind the non-state unconventional strength they created and prepared for the 3rd war with Israel. This was the last time this doctrine was ever going to be used in Lebanon, given the circumstances, and it was the time for it to change the course of this 70+ year old conflict, and become the first crack in the walls of the Jewish Kingdom. But with the sabotage that happened, followed by the intelligence-based air campaign that not only debunked decades of theories about the limitation of what an air force could achieve, but successfully decapitated Hezbollah's leadership and took away all the tools (and men) it had prepared for this day.
I have already discussed this countless times, and elaborated on the conditions under which the war was fought. I explained how it ended positively, but the lack of deterrence and the poor results in harming Israel facilitated the path to our current state of affairs, which only ever degraded further due to the fall of Syria.
I also discussed the future and what to expect, and how hard it is to rebuild both our homes and the resistance. But I will do that again today, post-Israeli war on Iran, with the unfortunate failure of the Axis of Resistance to achieve what it planned for and what it prepared itself to do for years yet again.
The issue here is that you can not pinpoint a single shortcoming to claim that this project had these weak points and they led to the collapse we have now. We now have a weakened Iran, an oppressed Hezbullah, a decimated Gaza (Hamas, PIJ), and a Syria that no longer has our backs. In the case of Iran, I would say that the number #1 cause of the poor military achievement in the last war was the military doctrine that revolved around a single method of offense, which was known to everyone, and which was the main focus of every single decision taken by their enemies in the past two decades in their efforts to nullify it.
They put all their eggs in one basket, and Israel punched a hole in that basket, and so Iran lost the effectiveness of its only tool of offense.
But this is only true for those militaries that fail to plan properly or for those who are driven to their own defeat when destroyed from within.
We can exclude the certainty of God's existence and God's promise that in the end, the honest good moral people will triumph. But until then, we do our best and disregard the results because as his eminence once said: Our duty is to work patiently and tirelessly for the goal and not worry about the results, as however things end up, the world is governed by He—for us the end is either one of these: sweet victory or sweet martyrdom.
Despite this noble belief, and despite his eminence's success in bringing about the rise of the Shia in Lebanon from the oppressed to a force to be reckoned with in the whole world, things have changed. The tides have washed away a lot of the success that was accomplished. However, to be fair, this was not due to the failure of his eminence or the great men under his leadership, but rather certain gaps from which the consequence of the current state of events came to be.
The thing that is most painful is not his death, not the death of the leadership that created the golden era; an era of unpreceded peace and deterrence which is unrivaled for centuries in terms of inferior weapons and numbers against a nuclear state supported by a nuclear empire. Rather, it is the collapse of the entirety of what they built before they could prove its ultimate worth.
For simplicity's sake, they did not get the opportunity to prove to us the genius behind the non-state unconventional strength they created and prepared for the 3rd war with Israel. This was the last time this doctrine was ever going to be used in Lebanon, given the circumstances, and it was the time for it to change the course of this 70+ year old conflict, and become the first crack in the walls of the Jewish Kingdom. But with the sabotage that happened, followed by the intelligence-based air campaign that not only debunked decades of theories about the limitation of what an air force could achieve, but successfully decapitated Hezbollah's leadership and took away all the tools (and men) it had prepared for this day.
I have already discussed this countless times, and elaborated on the conditions under which the war was fought. I explained how it ended positively, but the lack of deterrence and the poor results in harming Israel facilitated the path to our current state of affairs, which only ever degraded further due to the fall of Syria.
I also discussed the future and what to expect, and how hard it is to rebuild both our homes and the resistance. But I will do that again today, post-Israeli war on Iran, with the unfortunate failure of the Axis of Resistance to achieve what it planned for and what it prepared itself to do for years yet again.
The issue here is that you can not pinpoint a single shortcoming to claim that this project had these weak points and they led to the collapse we have now. We now have a weakened Iran, an oppressed Hezbullah, a decimated Gaza (Hamas, PIJ), and a Syria that no longer has our backs. In the case of Iran, I would say that the number #1 cause of the poor military achievement in the last war was the military doctrine that revolved around a single method of offense, which was known to everyone, and which was the main focus of every single decision taken by their enemies in the past two decades in their efforts to nullify it.
They put all their eggs in one basket, and Israel punched a hole in that basket, and so Iran lost the effectiveness of its only tool of offense.
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Why do I say this? Simply because what Iran achieved in those 12 days by hitting settler and civilian assets (mostly) was what Hezbullah themselves had planned as the best-case scenario of the missile capability which they created. That was Hezbullah's high bar which the IDF eliminated in September 2024, and due to that reality, Hezbullah only achieved what they did in 2006 in that domain with the Iron dome today nullifying even more of that effort.
From a military perspective, this is the reality, because they were not able to harm the IDF in a way that would affect its military campaign in terms of destroyed assets to soldier casualties. Iran only killed an Israeli soldier during the 12 day war, and he was at home. Hezbullah, on the other hand, was able to kill more soldiers and even score some strategic hits, including that 1 billion dollar balloon and a very expensive radar system that the IDF until this day has kept unannounced.
This is not to highlight anything, as Hezbullah and Iran fight as one and are brothers. Iran simply ended the war too prematurely, but no one can blame it, Israel and the U.S. put Tehran under too much pressure; everyone was worried it was the end. And this is the issue: how we reached a situation where Hezbullah and Iran were at one moment so fragile they almost collapsed. A moment which was not only unimaginable, but should never have happened in the first place. It made it so the efforts in the past decades felt as if they'd went down the drain.
Because of this, a review should be done to assess the gaps which caused this catastrophe. We should be thankful that despite today's challenges, we got another day to re-attempt it. I do not think Hezbullah and Iran miscalculated, but I do think Israel read its enemies better and prepared a more efficient tool to cater to its needs on the battlefield. The financial and technological advantage for Israel is clear, but it was not the reason we failed. Israel built its new war machine on the lessons learned from past wars, whereas Hezbullah and Iran assumed the same solutions would work against an enemy that learns from every mishap.
Sometimes, the best offensive weapon is a good defense.
2006 told Israel they need to fix their infantry tactics, protect their tanks, eliminate local commanders, eliminate leadership, and protect their navy, and this is what they did. The infantry only attacked when an area was cleared and targeted, no town was rushed and the progress was slow, tanks were equipped with the trophy system, Hezbollah's engineering units were hunted, the navy did not come close to the Lebanese shores, helicopters were not used, and drones were pioneers in their work. Again, Hezbullah fought under very harsh conditions and was fighting while exposed, yet achieved marvelous results in defense thanks to the dedication and scarifies of its fighters. Israel did not reach Tyre and Beirut because of that. Else, nothing was going to stop the blue arrow from reaching any point it desired.
The Gulf War told Israel about the need to counter the ballistic threat, and this is what they did. Iran's amazing and accurate ballistic system faced a very strong defense and was the only tool of offense against Israel. With the attacks on the bases, the hunting of TELs by Israeli drones, and the murder of the IRGC missile command, the IDF weakened the tools Iran had that were capable of dealing with Israeli arrogance and military might.
But here I am saying.... might have, could have, should have...and this tells us something: the need to rethink the whole doctrine and adapt it to this new type of warfare. I once talked about the change in the Israeli war doctrine, but that was a result of 7-October, and it was not the reason behind the tactical success Israel has achieved.
From a military perspective, this is the reality, because they were not able to harm the IDF in a way that would affect its military campaign in terms of destroyed assets to soldier casualties. Iran only killed an Israeli soldier during the 12 day war, and he was at home. Hezbullah, on the other hand, was able to kill more soldiers and even score some strategic hits, including that 1 billion dollar balloon and a very expensive radar system that the IDF until this day has kept unannounced.
This is not to highlight anything, as Hezbullah and Iran fight as one and are brothers. Iran simply ended the war too prematurely, but no one can blame it, Israel and the U.S. put Tehran under too much pressure; everyone was worried it was the end. And this is the issue: how we reached a situation where Hezbullah and Iran were at one moment so fragile they almost collapsed. A moment which was not only unimaginable, but should never have happened in the first place. It made it so the efforts in the past decades felt as if they'd went down the drain.
Because of this, a review should be done to assess the gaps which caused this catastrophe. We should be thankful that despite today's challenges, we got another day to re-attempt it. I do not think Hezbullah and Iran miscalculated, but I do think Israel read its enemies better and prepared a more efficient tool to cater to its needs on the battlefield. The financial and technological advantage for Israel is clear, but it was not the reason we failed. Israel built its new war machine on the lessons learned from past wars, whereas Hezbullah and Iran assumed the same solutions would work against an enemy that learns from every mishap.
Sometimes, the best offensive weapon is a good defense.
2006 told Israel they need to fix their infantry tactics, protect their tanks, eliminate local commanders, eliminate leadership, and protect their navy, and this is what they did. The infantry only attacked when an area was cleared and targeted, no town was rushed and the progress was slow, tanks were equipped with the trophy system, Hezbollah's engineering units were hunted, the navy did not come close to the Lebanese shores, helicopters were not used, and drones were pioneers in their work. Again, Hezbullah fought under very harsh conditions and was fighting while exposed, yet achieved marvelous results in defense thanks to the dedication and scarifies of its fighters. Israel did not reach Tyre and Beirut because of that. Else, nothing was going to stop the blue arrow from reaching any point it desired.
The Gulf War told Israel about the need to counter the ballistic threat, and this is what they did. Iran's amazing and accurate ballistic system faced a very strong defense and was the only tool of offense against Israel. With the attacks on the bases, the hunting of TELs by Israeli drones, and the murder of the IRGC missile command, the IDF weakened the tools Iran had that were capable of dealing with Israeli arrogance and military might.
But here I am saying.... might have, could have, should have...and this tells us something: the need to rethink the whole doctrine and adapt it to this new type of warfare. I once talked about the change in the Israeli war doctrine, but that was a result of 7-October, and it was not the reason behind the tactical success Israel has achieved.
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