Hopefully no major events before the weekend because I plan to write a short thread then to detail some parts of the situation and the future.
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22 years ago, on January 19, 2004, Hezbullah targeted an Israeli armored bulldozer that crossed the blue line by 26 meters at Baraka Risha between Marwahheen and Al-Bustan, killing two Israeli soldiers.
Then the resistance issued a statement:
"We will repeat the response to any violations..."
Photos of the military media at that time
Then the resistance issued a statement:
"We will repeat the response to any violations..."
Photos of the military media at that time
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❗️The Jewish enemy targeted a civilian car in Al-Zahrani area in northern southern Lebanon
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❗️A new Israeli drone strike in south Lebanon targeting another car
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Btw the mechanism is dead and has been for weeks
Israel is now refusing to work with Lebanon in it even after Lebanon submitted and assigned a civilian ambassador to attend
Israel used the mechanism committee until south Lebanon is disarmed and did nothing to adhere to the ceasefire.
Now after the south litani area is cleared and there is no direct border threat on Israel, they are demanding a new committee made of Lebanese and Israeli Ministers only to discuss only normalization and economic ties.
There are no discussions about stopping Israeli attacks. Why would they and Lebanon is not condemning them!
Israel is now refusing to work with Lebanon in it even after Lebanon submitted and assigned a civilian ambassador to attend
Israel used the mechanism committee until south Lebanon is disarmed and did nothing to adhere to the ceasefire.
Now after the south litani area is cleared and there is no direct border threat on Israel, they are demanding a new committee made of Lebanese and Israeli Ministers only to discuss only normalization and economic ties.
There are no discussions about stopping Israeli attacks. Why would they and Lebanon is not condemning them!
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The funny thing is, the government cannot even tell Hezbullah disarm in the north of the Litani river so Israel stop attacking
Hezbullah disarmed in south litani area yet occupation persisted, demolitions, drone attacks, bomblets and artillery... everyday.
The government failed to produce a replacement to the security Hezbullah's weapons provided. They failed and they are traitors
Hezbullah disarmed in south litani area yet occupation persisted, demolitions, drone attacks, bomblets and artillery... everyday.
The government failed to produce a replacement to the security Hezbullah's weapons provided. They failed and they are traitors
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Short thread about general things
There are a lot of factors to be mentioned when describing the situation we are in from Lebanon to Iran, and especially Gaza, but this is now a past that cannot be changed or influenced anymore. However as time goes by, there are still a lot of unknowns that I hope get answered that could help in uncovering some mysteries and put some events in a plausible context of justification. Despite all that, with every new day and the current state of weakness we are, I’m leaning forward to believe that the events of 7-October were the trigger point of the Israeli project to crush a decade of growing Resistance popularity and strength. This trigger was not Israeli made nor Israeli influenced, it was genuine Palestinian action that had some flaws and mistakes. On the other hand, this trigger would not have been successful had the Israeli army been able to uphold its duties on that day, and this is why I believe today, that the failure then was intentional. Israel swallowed a poisonous pill to allow it to poison the well that quenched the thirst of the whole Axis
There failure in 2006 was much smaller, yet the repercussion on their army, state, and government was much greater.
Sacrificing some Jews for the greater cause of Jews is embedded in the rationale of Zionism and is not something new. The costs they had to pay that day was worth the achievements they secured from destroying Gaza and putting it under a new multi-international occupation to weaking Hezbullah and twisting Iran’s hand.
The current Trump administration plan in Gaza does not only erode the existence of a Palestinian people there, it creates an enforceable population-control mechanism and ensure permeant Israeli control on all borders and creates an elite to suppress the population. They want to create a dystopian city. It wont be created because there are no funds to do that nor do they care, however they will implement all other security factors in terms of control and new border zoning. The IDF is already digging a trench to separate the yellow line from the remaining of Gaza. There will be many Gazas for now, enabled by some traitorous tribes and Fatah Movement.
Not far off, was the success in Lebanon. After a year into the ceasefire, it became very clear that the success that was assumed at the end of the war after the heroic defense of Hezbollah in the 66-day was eroded by the actions of the Lebanese state and the U.S administration that ensured that the ceasefire agreement will not only not be implemented, but twisted in favor of justifying the Israeli actions that were supposed to be considered as violations. The Lebanese Army commander Aoun fortified this in two ways: The day he failed to deploy the army in south Lebanon at the day of the ceasefire which allowed the IDF to fill the vacuum and demolish towns ensuring people have no where to go to and setting the ground for the so-called buffer zone – and the day he became president as the U.S’s #1 pick and did not leverage his relationship to pressure the U.S on Israel: That the demilitarization of south Litani area will only continue if Israel attacks stop.
Rather? He worked on stripping south Litani area and securing the border security of Israel while their attacks claimed the lives of 500 Lebanese civilians and destroyed thousands of homes.
His actions and those of Prime Minster Nawaf Salam, supplemented by the comments of the Lebanese Minister of Foreign affairs gave the legitimacy to the Israeli attacks in Lebanon because they justified the Israeli rhetoric: Both of us are fighting against the same illegal weapons of an illegal organization in our own different way.
Else, we would have heard more condemnations, more action, more calls to ambassadors. Yet, they stayed silent, accepted, and did not raise a complaint to the UN security council. 50 years from now, a generation of Lebanese will come and say that Israel did not violate the ceasefire only Hezbollah did.
There are a lot of factors to be mentioned when describing the situation we are in from Lebanon to Iran, and especially Gaza, but this is now a past that cannot be changed or influenced anymore. However as time goes by, there are still a lot of unknowns that I hope get answered that could help in uncovering some mysteries and put some events in a plausible context of justification. Despite all that, with every new day and the current state of weakness we are, I’m leaning forward to believe that the events of 7-October were the trigger point of the Israeli project to crush a decade of growing Resistance popularity and strength. This trigger was not Israeli made nor Israeli influenced, it was genuine Palestinian action that had some flaws and mistakes. On the other hand, this trigger would not have been successful had the Israeli army been able to uphold its duties on that day, and this is why I believe today, that the failure then was intentional. Israel swallowed a poisonous pill to allow it to poison the well that quenched the thirst of the whole Axis
There failure in 2006 was much smaller, yet the repercussion on their army, state, and government was much greater.
Sacrificing some Jews for the greater cause of Jews is embedded in the rationale of Zionism and is not something new. The costs they had to pay that day was worth the achievements they secured from destroying Gaza and putting it under a new multi-international occupation to weaking Hezbullah and twisting Iran’s hand.
The current Trump administration plan in Gaza does not only erode the existence of a Palestinian people there, it creates an enforceable population-control mechanism and ensure permeant Israeli control on all borders and creates an elite to suppress the population. They want to create a dystopian city. It wont be created because there are no funds to do that nor do they care, however they will implement all other security factors in terms of control and new border zoning. The IDF is already digging a trench to separate the yellow line from the remaining of Gaza. There will be many Gazas for now, enabled by some traitorous tribes and Fatah Movement.
Not far off, was the success in Lebanon. After a year into the ceasefire, it became very clear that the success that was assumed at the end of the war after the heroic defense of Hezbollah in the 66-day was eroded by the actions of the Lebanese state and the U.S administration that ensured that the ceasefire agreement will not only not be implemented, but twisted in favor of justifying the Israeli actions that were supposed to be considered as violations. The Lebanese Army commander Aoun fortified this in two ways: The day he failed to deploy the army in south Lebanon at the day of the ceasefire which allowed the IDF to fill the vacuum and demolish towns ensuring people have no where to go to and setting the ground for the so-called buffer zone – and the day he became president as the U.S’s #1 pick and did not leverage his relationship to pressure the U.S on Israel: That the demilitarization of south Litani area will only continue if Israel attacks stop.
Rather? He worked on stripping south Litani area and securing the border security of Israel while their attacks claimed the lives of 500 Lebanese civilians and destroyed thousands of homes.
His actions and those of Prime Minster Nawaf Salam, supplemented by the comments of the Lebanese Minister of Foreign affairs gave the legitimacy to the Israeli attacks in Lebanon because they justified the Israeli rhetoric: Both of us are fighting against the same illegal weapons of an illegal organization in our own different way.
Else, we would have heard more condemnations, more action, more calls to ambassadors. Yet, they stayed silent, accepted, and did not raise a complaint to the UN security council. 50 years from now, a generation of Lebanese will come and say that Israel did not violate the ceasefire only Hezbollah did.
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What is their evidence? Zero Lebanese state letters to the UN verses 20,000 Israeli complaints about non-existing Hezbollah violations. This mimics the era before 1969.
This is very important to understand, how the Lebanese state if furthering the Israeli goals in Lebanon and is working side by side to achieve that. I really don’t care to hear what some Amal movement supporters are saying and defending Aoun while putting subliminal blame on Hezbollah, nor will I give weight to how Amal is fighting Hezbollah in several towns and are the ones who are calling the Lebanese army to come inspect some areas which Hezbollah says they won’t allow. This happened in Kfathata and it was not good. Amal-Hezbollah rivalry is healthy and needed to ensure the Shia population in Lebanon have an option but still within the same teaching and morality of their culture, but some old grudges never die.
I was once visiting a town in south Lebanon about 10 years ago and saw a poster on a phone pole quoting a dead Amal militiaman hating on Hezbollah, talking about money from Iran, serving Iran interest, being bad for Shia. It was funny.
Aoun and Nawaf are taking advantage of the weakening of Hezbollah to advance their personal and foreign goals, knowing that Hezbollah at this moment does not have the tools to force their hand or change the tide. Hezbollah is under U.S pressure, Israeli attacks that are tracking each movement and officials to kill at any moment, and the state’s intelligence services that are working to collect as much intel on Hezbollah as possible. Lebanon is designed as a dysfunctional state, where a Christian minority exerts more power than it should and a Muslim majority split into halves in terms of power and influence. It is designed to fail.
I’m a staunch supporter for securing Christian rights in Lebanon and furthering their existence in this ancestral home, however all I saw from their politicians so far was evil and from their economic figures favoritism. I do support a non-sectarian vote for all government seats and ending the 50\50 job allocation. I support this in Lebanon, a Muslim majority country and would support this in any Christian majority country with a Muslim minority.
Hezbollah is also unable to take any unpopular action because its supporters haven’t recovered from the past war, and there is an ongoing trust issue with its leadership ranging from skepticism in regards to Sheikh Naim’s ability and age, blame for the failure that happened in the war including on dead commanders, and lack of financial support for the families impacted by the war.
I have distanced myself to avoid learning such details, but it was particularly sad knowing about the rumor that Sayyed Nasrllah himself was not able to control some commanders and that Hezbollah is unable to fire some people because they already work in sensitive portfolios. Sayyed is said to have faced 3 strokes the days of the pager attacks, or so some people claim to justify why his doctor and nurse where with him the day he died in that location.
Personally, I find all of the people’s chatter and nagging still under an acceptable threshold because they are mostly said in private and did not materialize into public dissident. It is normal for people who had security for 23 years to feel bad about the situation now, and this discomfort grows less the farther you are away from the border area. There is no dissident and people are still staunch Hezbollah supports with hopes that his is a temporarily situation and that something will happen to change the tides.
A true test of Hezbollah’s supporter base will be the parliamentary elections in 5 months, and it will be very important to achieve two things: Hezbollah to get the most votes similar to the last two elections, the number of votes to actually increase in % and not stay idle while the other groups close the gap, and no non-Amal non-Hezbollah becomes an MP. This might be the last elections where Nabih Berri is elected as the parliament speaker and a parliament speaker must be Shia.
This is very important to understand, how the Lebanese state if furthering the Israeli goals in Lebanon and is working side by side to achieve that. I really don’t care to hear what some Amal movement supporters are saying and defending Aoun while putting subliminal blame on Hezbollah, nor will I give weight to how Amal is fighting Hezbollah in several towns and are the ones who are calling the Lebanese army to come inspect some areas which Hezbollah says they won’t allow. This happened in Kfathata and it was not good. Amal-Hezbollah rivalry is healthy and needed to ensure the Shia population in Lebanon have an option but still within the same teaching and morality of their culture, but some old grudges never die.
I was once visiting a town in south Lebanon about 10 years ago and saw a poster on a phone pole quoting a dead Amal militiaman hating on Hezbollah, talking about money from Iran, serving Iran interest, being bad for Shia. It was funny.
Aoun and Nawaf are taking advantage of the weakening of Hezbollah to advance their personal and foreign goals, knowing that Hezbollah at this moment does not have the tools to force their hand or change the tide. Hezbollah is under U.S pressure, Israeli attacks that are tracking each movement and officials to kill at any moment, and the state’s intelligence services that are working to collect as much intel on Hezbollah as possible. Lebanon is designed as a dysfunctional state, where a Christian minority exerts more power than it should and a Muslim majority split into halves in terms of power and influence. It is designed to fail.
I’m a staunch supporter for securing Christian rights in Lebanon and furthering their existence in this ancestral home, however all I saw from their politicians so far was evil and from their economic figures favoritism. I do support a non-sectarian vote for all government seats and ending the 50\50 job allocation. I support this in Lebanon, a Muslim majority country and would support this in any Christian majority country with a Muslim minority.
Hezbollah is also unable to take any unpopular action because its supporters haven’t recovered from the past war, and there is an ongoing trust issue with its leadership ranging from skepticism in regards to Sheikh Naim’s ability and age, blame for the failure that happened in the war including on dead commanders, and lack of financial support for the families impacted by the war.
I have distanced myself to avoid learning such details, but it was particularly sad knowing about the rumor that Sayyed Nasrllah himself was not able to control some commanders and that Hezbollah is unable to fire some people because they already work in sensitive portfolios. Sayyed is said to have faced 3 strokes the days of the pager attacks, or so some people claim to justify why his doctor and nurse where with him the day he died in that location.
Personally, I find all of the people’s chatter and nagging still under an acceptable threshold because they are mostly said in private and did not materialize into public dissident. It is normal for people who had security for 23 years to feel bad about the situation now, and this discomfort grows less the farther you are away from the border area. There is no dissident and people are still staunch Hezbollah supports with hopes that his is a temporarily situation and that something will happen to change the tides.
A true test of Hezbollah’s supporter base will be the parliamentary elections in 5 months, and it will be very important to achieve two things: Hezbollah to get the most votes similar to the last two elections, the number of votes to actually increase in % and not stay idle while the other groups close the gap, and no non-Amal non-Hezbollah becomes an MP. This might be the last elections where Nabih Berri is elected as the parliament speaker and a parliament speaker must be Shia.
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