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💢Ukrainian forces destroyed Russian army ammunition depot in Makiivka, Donetsk oblast
💢British defense ministry: General Sergei Surovikin, Commander-in-Chief Russian Aerospace Forces and deputy commander of Russian forces in Ukraine, has not been seen in public since the 23-24 June 2023 Wagner Group mutiny. Meanwhile, Deputy Defence Minister Colonel General Yunus-bek Yevkurov was notably absent from a televised appearance by the Ministry of Defence's leadership on 3 July 2023. Reports of Surovikin's arrest cannot be confirmed, but authorities will likely be suspicious of his long association with Wagner dating back to his service in Syria from 2017. Similarly, Yevkurov was filmed talking to Wagner owner Yevgeny Prigozhin during the group's uncontested take-over of Rostov-on-Don. Although largely known in the West by his brutal reputation, Surovikin is one of the more respected senior officers within the Russian military; any official sanction against him is likely to be divisive. The suspicion that has potentially fallen on senior serving officers highlights how Prigozhin's abortive insurrection has worsened existing fault lines within Russia's national security community.
💢ISW: Ukrainian forces appear to be focusing on creating an asymmetrical attrition gradient that conserves Ukrainian manpower at the cost of a slower rate of territorial gains, while gradually wearing down Russian manpower and equipment
💢The U.S. Navy said it intervened to prevent Iran from seizing two commercial tankers in the Gulf today. An Iranian navy vessel fired shots during the second seizure attempt. Both incidents took place in the Gulf in waters between Iran and Oman.
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💢Bakhmut front, Ukrainian soldiers flank Russian positions
𝑴𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒓𝒚 𝑬𝒗𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒔
💢The U.S. Navy said it intervened to prevent Iran from seizing two commercial tankers in the Gulf today. An Iranian navy vessel fired shots during the second seizure attempt. Both incidents took place in the Gulf in waters between Iran and Oman.
💢The US Navy released a photo of oil tanker with traces of shelling by IRGCN during today's attempt to hijack ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
💢British defense ministry: Military formations drawn from across Russia are currently bearing the brunt of Ukraine's counter offensive. In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, the 58th Combined Arms Army is defending heavily entrenched lines; normally it secures Russia's volatile Caucasus region. Around Velyka Novosilka, the 5th Combined Arms Army and Naval Infantry hold the front; they are routinely based 7,000km away as a balance to Chinese power. Around Bakhmut, the defence is now largely formed around airborne regiments normally stationed in western Russia, who normally act as an elite rapid reaction force in case of tensions with NATO. The way Russia is accepting risks across Eurasia highlights how the war has dislocated Russia's established national strategy.
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💢Three suspicious objects appeared on the 4th power unit's roof of Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant on 5 July. Ukraine said that Russian forces planted explosives in this nuclear power plant before leaving fron this area