The relative impact of vaccination momentum on COVID-19 rates of death in the USA in 2020/2021. The forgotten role of population wellness.
Abstract
It is widely accepted that individual underlying health conditions contribute to morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19; and by inference population wellness will also contribute to COVID-19 outcomes. In addition, over the last two years the predominant pharmaceutical public health response to COVID-19 has been vaccination momentum (i.e. mass and rapid inoculation campaigns). This paper aims to compare vaccination momentum throughout 2021 and measures of population wellness to estimate the relative impact of each on deaths attributed to COVID-19 across the 50 States of America, plus Washington DC, during 2020 (i.e. the pre-vaccination period) and 2021 (i.e. the vaccination period). Our analysis shows that: (a) COVID-19 rates of death in 2020 are more important, and statistically more significant, at predicting rates of death in 2021 than vaccination momentum during 2021; (b) vaccination momentum does not predict the magnitude of change in COVID-19 rates of death between 2020 and 2021; and (c) for several underlying heath and risk factors vaccination momentum is significantly less important than population wellness at predicting COVID-19 rates of death. Of particular interest are our observations that exercise and fruit consumption are 10.1 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum, obesity (BMI 30+) is 9.6 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum, heart attacks are 4.37 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum and smoking is 3.2 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum. If medical and health regulators are to deliver a quantum decrease in COVID-19 deaths they must move beyond the overwhelming focus on COVID-19 vaccination. They must have the courage to urge governments and private organisations to mandate greater exercise, weight loss, less junk food, and better nutrition. And a concerted effort at reducing chronic adverse health conditions.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.03.01.22271721v1
Abstract
It is widely accepted that individual underlying health conditions contribute to morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19; and by inference population wellness will also contribute to COVID-19 outcomes. In addition, over the last two years the predominant pharmaceutical public health response to COVID-19 has been vaccination momentum (i.e. mass and rapid inoculation campaigns). This paper aims to compare vaccination momentum throughout 2021 and measures of population wellness to estimate the relative impact of each on deaths attributed to COVID-19 across the 50 States of America, plus Washington DC, during 2020 (i.e. the pre-vaccination period) and 2021 (i.e. the vaccination period). Our analysis shows that: (a) COVID-19 rates of death in 2020 are more important, and statistically more significant, at predicting rates of death in 2021 than vaccination momentum during 2021; (b) vaccination momentum does not predict the magnitude of change in COVID-19 rates of death between 2020 and 2021; and (c) for several underlying heath and risk factors vaccination momentum is significantly less important than population wellness at predicting COVID-19 rates of death. Of particular interest are our observations that exercise and fruit consumption are 10.1 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum, obesity (BMI 30+) is 9.6 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum, heart attacks are 4.37 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum and smoking is 3.2 times more significant at predicting COVID-19 deaths than vaccination momentum. If medical and health regulators are to deliver a quantum decrease in COVID-19 deaths they must move beyond the overwhelming focus on COVID-19 vaccination. They must have the courage to urge governments and private organisations to mandate greater exercise, weight loss, less junk food, and better nutrition. And a concerted effort at reducing chronic adverse health conditions.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.03.01.22271721v1
medRxiv
The relative impact of vaccination momentum on COVID-19 rates of death in the USA in 2020/2021. The forgotten role of population…
It is widely accepted that individual underlying health conditions contribute to morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19; and by inference population wellness will also contribute to COVID-19 outcomes. In addition, over the last two years the predominant…
Please make sure you understand why space-Aliens are impossible. Anything UFO is necessarily human, terrestrial technology. https://culturalanalysisnet.wordpress.com/2020/12/09/why-alien-life-forms-are-impossible/
Dr Zelenko believes that “we are on the verge of messianic redemption”. It seems that almost every figurehead of the “freedom movement” is now also a raving Evangelist, and very superficial at that. Why? Ironically, a few days ago Dr Zelenko was calling for the death penalty for the collaborators of the Reset. Both of these propositions are unsupported by any comprehensive philosophical argument or evidence, unrelated to what the good Dr specialises in. These are articles of faith, appeals to anger and hope, incitements to (Christian) group formation. In short, cheap populism. Why?
Forwarded from Robin Monotti + Cory Morningstar
"Donbass - 2016. Documentary Anne-Laure Bonnel (subnoscripts EN FR SPA ITA)"
(Put CC EN subnoscripts on)
https://youtu.be/b8j0tJsKltg
(Put CC EN subnoscripts on)
https://youtu.be/b8j0tJsKltg
YouTube
Donbass - 2016. Documentary Anne-Laure Bonnel (subnoscripts EN FR SPA ITA)
Subnoscripts in Italian, English, Spanish and French are available. Click on "settings" (gear symbol on the desktop or three dots at the top right in the mobile app). Go to "Subnoscripts" and choose the desired language.
Sono i disponibili i sottotitoli in italiano…
Sono i disponibili i sottotitoli in italiano…
Technocrats tell us that machines will make most humans unemployable and redundant. This is a lie; the technocrats themselves, who own the machines, intend to make humans unemployable and redundant, by means of machines.
United States and Ukraine were the only two member states of the UN who recently voted AGAINST “Combating glorification of Nazism, neo‑Nazism and other practices that contribute to fuelling contemporary forms of racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia and related intolerance”. https://www.un.org/press/en/2021/ga12396.doc.htm
Any volunteer assistance for natural disaster victims ultimately serves the Government. It allows them to be just as negligent and corrupt on the next occasion, because they know they can rely on human compassion to mitigate public anger and convert the energy of outrage into the energy of collective euphoria when we have the opportunity and power to save others, and they know it. Rescue missions, food drops, the human bond in a crisis, all result in a powerful form of sedation. Charity is a drug, a biochemical high, and the government needs you on it for them to keep getting away with murder.
No Duty of Care to Protect the Public from Natural or Systemic Risks
The Full Court of the Federal Court of Appeal has ruled that the government does not have the duty of care to protect people from harm due to natural or systemic phenomena, such as “climate change”. The implication is that the government does not have the duty of care to protect people from natural pathogens or other systemic health risks, removing the last leg of the rationale for discriminatory risk mitigation policies associated with Covid. In short, nobody is liable if an employee of customer would catch Covid, even if no risk mitigation policies were in place. https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/environment-minister-wins-major-climate-change-case/news-story/0cdc3a68d724e6ed94740de123b67291
The Full Court of the Federal Court of Appeal has ruled that the government does not have the duty of care to protect people from harm due to natural or systemic phenomena, such as “climate change”. The implication is that the government does not have the duty of care to protect people from natural pathogens or other systemic health risks, removing the last leg of the rationale for discriminatory risk mitigation policies associated with Covid. In short, nobody is liable if an employee of customer would catch Covid, even if no risk mitigation policies were in place. https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/environment-minister-wins-major-climate-change-case/news-story/0cdc3a68d724e6ed94740de123b67291
Public officials responsible for vaccine mandates can be held personally liable for harm caused by vaccines.
A pubic official cannot be held personally liable for any harm caused in the exercise of their public duties unless it can be shown that they acted in bad faith (http://classic.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/vic/consol_act/phawa2008222/s165cu.html). Bad faith in relation to vaccine mandates can be demonstrated on three counts:
A) discrimination on the basis of healthy, innate characteristics of the human race;
B) discrimination against the unvaccinated (or a privileged treatment of the vaccinated) amounted to a violation of the right to life, because a small percentage of the population were expected to die as a result of the vaccine;
C) the removal of the right to free medical consent indirectly removes all human rights; every other right can be circumvented by medical coercion.
A pubic official cannot be held personally liable for any harm caused in the exercise of their public duties unless it can be shown that they acted in bad faith (http://classic.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/vic/consol_act/phawa2008222/s165cu.html). Bad faith in relation to vaccine mandates can be demonstrated on three counts:
A) discrimination on the basis of healthy, innate characteristics of the human race;
B) discrimination against the unvaccinated (or a privileged treatment of the vaccinated) amounted to a violation of the right to life, because a small percentage of the population were expected to die as a result of the vaccine;
C) the removal of the right to free medical consent indirectly removes all human rights; every other right can be circumvented by medical coercion.
I wonder whether the war in Ukraine was intended as a test of whether you have learned anything from the 2 year onslaught of easily verifiable lies, unjust discrimination and continuous psychological torture conducted by your government under the banner of Covid. If after this intensive course on practical ethics you would still believe the same culprits that a neo-Nazi regime with bio-warfare labs are the ‘good guys’, then perhaps your faith is sealed. You are unteachable and therefore irredeemable.
“Be true to yourself” is just a re-phrasing of Alister Crowley’s Thelema (“Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the law.”) Thelema stands in direct opposition to objective ethics, which can be expressed as ‘Do what is Right’. On a deeper level, “be true to yourself” is an attack on the essence of Humanity, on rational agency, which is social in its constitution and requires objective ethics to maintain itself. The law of Thelema is actually a logical fallacy, circular reasoning, non-sense: our subjective will cannot be subject to a law if that law is subject to our will. In short, Thelema is a rejection of all principles and laws, and therefore destruction of all meaning, self-destruction.
The war hypothesis can be stated as follows: persistent existential anxiety, grounded in violence and suffering, gave Homo sapiens a sufficiently focussed and sustained ‘attention’ to evolve consciousness and rational agency, and therefore the sense of reflexive, social Self. https://culturalanalysisnet.wordpress.com/2022/03/17/the-war-hypothesis-a-work-of-fiction/
Cultural Analysis & Philosophy
The War Hypothesis: a work of “fiction”
Existential emergencies and wars were without a doubt the primary motivating factor for human beings throughout the recorded history. In times of protracted peace, societies have atrophied, either …
Forwarded from Sanjeev Sabhlok PUBLIC CHANNEL (Sanjeev Sabhlok)
This is a really important: European Court of Human Rights has confirmed that general anti-COVID measures prohibiting events for a lengthy period were in breach of Article 11 of the Convention (freedom of assembly and association).
https://hudoc.echr.coe.int/app/conversion/pdf/?library=ECHR&id=003-7285299-9926890&filename=Judgment%20Communaut%C3%A9%20genevoise%20d%27action%20syndicale%20v.%20Switzerland%20-%20general%20anti-COVID%20measures%20prohibiting%20public%20events%20for%20a%20lengthy%20period.pdf
https://hudoc.echr.coe.int/app/conversion/pdf/?library=ECHR&id=003-7285299-9926890&filename=Judgment%20Communaut%C3%A9%20genevoise%20d%27action%20syndicale%20v.%20Switzerland%20-%20general%20anti-COVID%20measures%20prohibiting%20public%20events%20for%20a%20lengthy%20period.pdf
Why Vaccine Mandates are Unethical
Summary of the three strongest arguments against the ethical permissibility of vaccine mandates and why any medical procedure imposed by coercion must be refused.
1. Vaccine mandates imply that all humans are born in a defective, inherently harmful state that must be biotechnologically augmented to allow our unrestricted participation in society, and this constitutes discrimination on the basis of healthy, innate characteristics of the human race. This devaluation of the innate human constitution is not only universally dehumanising, but it perverts the very concept of human rights; discrimination against the unvaccinated implies that our innate human constitution is no longer a guarantee of full human rights. This point derives from my paper published here: https://jme.bmj.com/content/48/4/240.
2. Any discrimination against the unvaccinated is economic or social opportunity coercion, precluding the possibility of free medical consent. The right to free, uncoerced medical consent is not negotiable, under any circumstances, because without it we have no rights at all; every other right (including the right to life) can be subverted by medical coercion. Free medical consent is the most fundamental protection from crimes against humanity being committed under the guise of healthcare (several instances of such abuses have occurred in this century).
3. Vaccines are known to occasionally cause deaths of healthy people. When an employee is required to receive vaccination as a condition of employment, that employee is economically coerced to participate in an activity where some percentage of employees are expected to die ‘in the course of employment’ as a direct result of the mandated activity. This goes against the fundamental principles of medical ethics and workplace safety. It may be objected that infectious pathogens also kill people, but these two categories of deaths are not ethically equivalent. Infection with a pathogen for which there exists a vaccine is not mandated, whereas deaths resulting from mandatory vaccination are mandated deaths, a legalised killing of some people for the prospective benefit of the majority. Critically, any discrimination against the unvaccinated amounts to a violation of the right to life by coercing people to undergo a medical procedure where a small percentage of otherwise healthy people are expected to die as a direct result of that procedure.
I also object to the commonly made assertion that the people who do not comply with vaccine mandates are “unvaccinated by choice”. Apart from the fact that social and economic opportunity coercion removes our free choice in this matter, being unvaccinated is fundamentally not a choice; we were born this way. The premise of being “unvaccinated by choice” is as absurd as “having two hands by choice”. The right to preserve our innate characteristics without being discriminated against is paramount.
An earlier version of these arguments were formally submitted to the Inquiry into Public Health Amendment Bill 2021 (No 2) ACT and subsequently published here: https://jme.bmj.com/content/early/2022/04/26/medethics-2022-108229.responses#fundamental-values-are-not-defeated-by-utilitarian-calculus
Support my research: https://ko-fi.com/michaelkowalik
Join NORMAL
Summary of the three strongest arguments against the ethical permissibility of vaccine mandates and why any medical procedure imposed by coercion must be refused.
1. Vaccine mandates imply that all humans are born in a defective, inherently harmful state that must be biotechnologically augmented to allow our unrestricted participation in society, and this constitutes discrimination on the basis of healthy, innate characteristics of the human race. This devaluation of the innate human constitution is not only universally dehumanising, but it perverts the very concept of human rights; discrimination against the unvaccinated implies that our innate human constitution is no longer a guarantee of full human rights. This point derives from my paper published here: https://jme.bmj.com/content/48/4/240.
2. Any discrimination against the unvaccinated is economic or social opportunity coercion, precluding the possibility of free medical consent. The right to free, uncoerced medical consent is not negotiable, under any circumstances, because without it we have no rights at all; every other right (including the right to life) can be subverted by medical coercion. Free medical consent is the most fundamental protection from crimes against humanity being committed under the guise of healthcare (several instances of such abuses have occurred in this century).
3. Vaccines are known to occasionally cause deaths of healthy people. When an employee is required to receive vaccination as a condition of employment, that employee is economically coerced to participate in an activity where some percentage of employees are expected to die ‘in the course of employment’ as a direct result of the mandated activity. This goes against the fundamental principles of medical ethics and workplace safety. It may be objected that infectious pathogens also kill people, but these two categories of deaths are not ethically equivalent. Infection with a pathogen for which there exists a vaccine is not mandated, whereas deaths resulting from mandatory vaccination are mandated deaths, a legalised killing of some people for the prospective benefit of the majority. Critically, any discrimination against the unvaccinated amounts to a violation of the right to life by coercing people to undergo a medical procedure where a small percentage of otherwise healthy people are expected to die as a direct result of that procedure.
I also object to the commonly made assertion that the people who do not comply with vaccine mandates are “unvaccinated by choice”. Apart from the fact that social and economic opportunity coercion removes our free choice in this matter, being unvaccinated is fundamentally not a choice; we were born this way. The premise of being “unvaccinated by choice” is as absurd as “having two hands by choice”. The right to preserve our innate characteristics without being discriminated against is paramount.
An earlier version of these arguments were formally submitted to the Inquiry into Public Health Amendment Bill 2021 (No 2) ACT and subsequently published here: https://jme.bmj.com/content/early/2022/04/26/medethics-2022-108229.responses#fundamental-values-are-not-defeated-by-utilitarian-calculus
Support my research: https://ko-fi.com/michaelkowalik
Join NORMAL
"By terror I mean the efficiency gained by eliminating, or threatening to eliminate, a player from the language game one shares with him. He is silenced or consents, not because he has been refuted, but because his ability to participate has been threatened." Lyotard, Jean Francois. The Postmodern Condition: A Report on Knowledge. 1984
Lyotard, the original postmodernist, was right on many issues (as above), despite being fundamentally wrong about social ontology.
Lyotard, the original postmodernist, was right on many issues (as above), despite being fundamentally wrong about social ontology.
If a corporation wants to sell you a product or service to do X, you should always ask, ‘what else does it do?’
For example, if a photographer offers you prints of you photos at any time in the future, what else can they do with these digital files? Who owns the images? Oh, they didn’t tell you…
If a smart TV offers you the capacity to be controlled by your voice, what else can it do? Can it listen to your private conversations, to you having sex…? But they promised they wouldn’t, right?
If a smart meter can tell you how much power you are using at any time of the day, what else can it do? Who owns the data of your private usage patterns, of when you are home, and when you are not home? Oh, they didn’t tell you…
If a mobile phone can…
Your car…
Your fridge…
Your Bluetooth toothbrush…
But you did not even ask.
For example, if a photographer offers you prints of you photos at any time in the future, what else can they do with these digital files? Who owns the images? Oh, they didn’t tell you…
If a smart TV offers you the capacity to be controlled by your voice, what else can it do? Can it listen to your private conversations, to you having sex…? But they promised they wouldn’t, right?
If a smart meter can tell you how much power you are using at any time of the day, what else can it do? Who owns the data of your private usage patterns, of when you are home, and when you are not home? Oh, they didn’t tell you…
If a mobile phone can…
Your car…
Your fridge…
Your Bluetooth toothbrush…
But you did not even ask.