ATTENTION!

SITREP #12: A Ceasefire amid the 12 Day War between Israel & Iran. 

Ceasefires are always a difficult proposition even when the opposing sides are face to face across battle lines on the ground. There are many examples throughout history describing these type challenges.

 The immense sophistication of this war with all the advanced weaponry, long range air & missile systems, & artificial & human intelligence gathering made the negotiations for this ceasefire monumental. That said, ceasefires are always fragile & we pray this one is not simply aspirational. 

While we await the terms & conditions of the cease fire agreement mediated by the POTUS & the Emir of Qatar between Israel & Iran, let's review the bidding of the current state of play. 

During the next 24-72 hours there will be great strategic ambiguity. Both sides & many in the international community will make various pronouncements with differing degrees of acceptance. Regardless, the conditional acceptance by both sides is a POSITIVE indicator to end this war.

Specific terms & conditions of the ceasefire agreement are not fully known & ceasefires during periods of intense conflict are dicey anyway. Let's face it, the animosity between the belligerents is severe.

For Isreal & the United States, one very clear objective was the complete destruction of Iran's nuclear weapons capability. It remains unclear however if there are any terms calling for leadership changes or a dismantling of Iranian surrogate forces such as HZ, Hamas or the Houthis. 

Based on what we now know here is some of the framework:

1. Phased Implementation:

There will be a phased implementation over the next 24-48 hours (and beyond). A separation of warring parties & likely a stand down of certain type capabilities.

2. Cessation of attacks:

Mutual cessation of military attacks against each other, essentially, NO MORE FIGHTING!

3. Continued mediation:

Mediation by Qatar & U.S. Leaders will continue. Special envoy Steve Witkoff, Secretary Rubio , Vice President JD Vance , & direct intervention by President Trumphave been central to achieving the ceasefire. Qatar’s Prime Minister, Al Thani, also played a pivotal role in securing the ceasefire.

It is very clear the military strikes by the United States against the nuclear facilities inside of Iran were DECISIVE bringing this 12-Day War to an end.

May credit go to those steady hands on the triggers of diplomacy.

I am certain in the coming days more will become clear on the specific terms & conditions of the ceasefire. For now, pray for those who typically suffer the most. In this case, the citizens of Israel & Iran who felt the pain of war. 

I’ll leave readers with my somewhat nuanced perspective on avoiding further conflict. At times, it is wise in some situations to avoid further conflict while in others, it is not. Avoiding it here was very wise. Key, & always on the table is pursuing peace & reconciliation. This was made very clear by our President from day one of this war. And thank God for humanity it was.

ISAIAH 6:8 🙏🏼🇺🇸

Sometimes the best bomb to drop is the “F” bomb. Everyone knows how you truly feel. President Trump millions and millions of Americans stand shoulder to shoulder w/ you on this day!

AG Bondi & FBI Director Kash under constitutional authorities and for national security purposes, you can authorize and conduct respectively the detention of both these individuals immediately.

We must get to the bottom of who was in charge. These two (Brennan and Haspel) are soldiers for their anti-American cause (we want the leaders held accountable). A Marxist revolution is still underway and an attempted coup was conducted against President Trump.

Fixing our elections so they can be trusted by the American people and holding those accountable who led and participated in this coup MUST be at the top of your list of priorities.

Stray Electrons on America’s current political situation.

What we’re facing in America is a political ideology on the left that is akin to the Stalinist regime during the era of the Bolshevik revolution (different variables but same ideological underpinning).

The former “democrat” party demands power without accountability, they want to legislate without representation, and they want you to agree with their politics without ever giving you a choice.

Essentially the left wants to reduce democratic participation to symbolic pageantry that centralizes decision making in the hands of unelected nameless, faceless bureaucrats (ie., the deep state).

Central planners inside love this type system. The Federal Reserve adores it. Bureaucrats will defend it as the best way to govern our growing population with all of its complexities. All because it allows decision-making by unelected officials advising a corrupt legislative uniparty without disruption.

WAKE UP AMERICA!

Time to stand up, step up and speak up 🙏🏼🇺🇸

President Trump, you understand this. Many around you refuse to understand it.

Please share.

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ATTENTION!

SITREP #13.
Regime Change.

There has been a lot of discussion on regime change given the war between Israel and Iran. What does it mean, what are the challenges and what are the consequences.

I personally don’t believe the U.S. can deal with a fanatic Iranian regime screaming “death to America” whose people live as though they have a boot on their throat. BUT, it is the people of Iran that have to decide how to get that boot off their throat.

If they find it in them, America will be their best friend on all issues surrounding geo-politics (ie., opening trade, military to military relationships, even likely reopening our embassy which was destroyed and Americans held hostage).

Anyway, this is more of a FYI than a call to action but it’s clear our track record for regime change is poor.

Feedback appreciated.

Part 2 Continued Below

Part 2:


Regime change summary statistics (U.S. executed regime changes since the Iran regime change in 1953 to the most recent Syria regime change):

Total Regime Change Attempts: ~72

Successful Regime Changes: ~26 (~36% success rate)

Failed Attempts: ~46

Involving War or Military Force: ~16

Involving Assassination Attempts: ~10+

Involving Bribery/Election Meddling: ~30+

Likely Illegal under U.S. Law Today: ~20+

Major sources:
1. Lindsey A. O'Rourke, "Covert Regime Change: America's Secret Cold War" (2018)
2. William Blum, "Killing Hope"
3. Stephen Kinzer, "Overthrow"
4. U.S. Senate Church Committee Report (1975)
Declassified CIA documents and the FRUS series.

Line every single person up that even remotely touched that document and give them each a lie detector test. Don’t fire the leaker, indict them for treason.

DO IT NOW BEFORE ANOTHER DAY GOES BY!

NEW YORK NEW YORK

GOOD LUCK!

Some of the things Islamic socialist NYC mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani has previously called for:
- Abolishing NYPD
- Abolishing prisons
- Abolishing medical bills
- Abolishing private health insurance
- Banning all guns
- Legalizing sex work
- Safe injection sites
- Ending cash bail
- Decriminalizing drug possession
- Ending sentencing enhancements
- Ending all cooperation with ICE

ISLAM IS NOT A RELIGION, IT IS A POLITICAL IDEOLOGY THAT MASKS ITSELF AS A RELIGION. I HAVE NEVER WAVERED FROM THIS ISSUE.

WAKE UP AMERICA!

Secretary Rubio said there will be no further US sanctions against Russia (maybe now we can lure Russia away from CCP influence).

ATTENTION!

Do we have a cease fire between Israel and Iran or not?

SITREP #14

The exact number of ceasefire violations between Israel and Iran since President Donald Trump announced the ceasefire on June 23, is difficult to precisely pinpoint due to conflicting reports and a lack of independently verified data. However, based on available information, there have been clear violations on both sides. As I stated in a previous SITREP, ceasefires are dicey.

1. Both sides are pointing fingers.

2. Both sides have violated the ceasefire.

3. Khamanei is claiming victory (NOT A GOOD THING!).

4. Iran’s Supreme National Security Council stated that any Israeli attacks post-ceasefire would be met with a "decisive, firm, and timely response." We'll see how the fanatics respond.

Specific Incidents:

1. Of Israel acknowledged conducting strikes on Iran just before or shortly after the ceasefire’s start, including a targeted attack on a radar installation near Tehran, which was scaled back after a call between Trump and Netanyahu.

2. Iran reportedly launched a "last round of missiles" against Israel before the ceasefire (yeah right!), with some strikes occurring in the final hours leading up to the truce, potentially overlapping with the ceasefire’s start time. These included attacks that killed four people in Beersheba and injured others (cease fires are dicey).

3. Some reports that Iran is executing people accused of spying for Mossad (what's new?). Don't get caught with a cell phone!

Obviously, there are clear challenges and be careful listening to everyone on X (except yours truly 😎). What I'm providing is what is reported by legit sources.

Challenges determining violations:

1. Ambiguity in timing due to a phased ceasefire. This is why I say, ceasefires are dicey. The word doesn't get out quickly enough to every subordinate commander.

2. Both sides will lie (these will be referred to as "mutual accusations."

3. It is extremely difficult to verify because there is no neutral body to do so. The UN sucks and is anti-Israel anyway.

4. Propaganda and lies (enough said).

SO WHAT?

The most credible reports:

1. There were at least two confirmed Israeli actions post-ceasefire (e.g., the strike on a radar installation near Tehran and possible additional strikes reported by Iranian media).

2. There were at least two Iranian missile launches post-ceasefire, as claimed by Israel, though denied by Iran (sadly, people actually died in Beersheba).

This suggests a minimum of four violations total, though the exact number could be higher depending on unverified strikes or smaller incidents not widely reported.

My assessment: there were clear violations of the ceasefire destroying equipment and killing civilians. The situation remains very fluid. While the Iranian NUCLEAR program appears to have been setback months or years, the regional hatred remains and very little has changed. If the Iranian regime stays in place, very little will change.

Pray for our men and women in uniform because they're the ones who sacrifice and must respond to the gyrations of the political landscape.

God Bless America 🙏🏼