Recidivism Norway Part 3

Part 1 https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/620

Sverige og Finland har ifølge statistikken ti prosent høyere tilbakefall enn oss. Men de har også en annen sammensetning av innsatte i sine fengsler, forteller han.

According to the statistics, Sweden and Finland have a ten percent higher relapse rate than us. But they also have a different composition of inmates in their prisons, he says https://perma.cc/A83J-LQ6P

Related https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/116

Tilbakefallet, målt som ny påbegynt fengselsdom i anstalt for et lovbrudd begått innen to år etter løslatelse, utgjorde 20 prosent i 2015, 21 prosent i 2016 og 15 prosent i 2017.

Recidivism, measured as a newly started prison sentence in a detention center for an offense committed within two years of release, amounted to 20 per cent in 2015, 21 per cent in 2016 and 15 per cent in 2017.

Blant alle løslatte siden 2015 som har hatt minst fem år på seg til å begå ny kriminalitet, ligger tilbakefallet på 32 prosent, fordelt på 44 prosent hos løslatte fra høy sikkerhet og 23 prosent for løslatte fra lavere sikkerhet.

Among all those released since 2015 who have had at least five years to commit a new crime, the recidivism rate is 32 per cent, divided into 44 per cent for those released from high security and 23 per cent for those released from lower security.

Tilbakefall som medførte dom som ikke avsones i fengsel er ikke medregnet i målingen. Dersom disse hadde vært medregnet, ville antallet med tilbakefall økt med ca. 18 prosent.

Recidivism that resulted in a sentence that is not served in prison is not included in the measurement. If these had been included, the number of relapses would have increased by approx. 18 percent https://perma.cc/Z2LF-3VWK

Recidivism Norway Part 4

Part 1 https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/620

Tallene i vår undersøkelse varierer mellom 10 og 55 prosent, avhengig av hvordan gjengangerne blant lovbryterne er gruppert og analysert.

The figures in our survey vary between 10 and 55 per cent, depending on how the repeat offenders are grouped and analysed.

Andelen som begår kriminalitet på ny er høyest i gruppen som er løslatt fra fengsel, sammenlignet med gruppene som er siktet eller dømt for begåtte forbrytelser.

The proportion who commit crimes again is highest in the group that has been released from prison, compared to the groups that have been charged or convicted of committed crimes.

Hvis vi sammenligner resultatene på tvers av både utvalg, mål og observasjonsperiode, er det tydelig at det ikke finnes noe enkelt svar på hvor stort tilbakefallet er i Norge. Sammenligner vi på tvers av utvalg og tid, men med samme mål på tilbakefall, kan resultatene variere mellom 29 og 55 prosent for ny siktelse, 17 og 42 prosent for en ny dom, og 10 og 33 prosent for gjeninnsettelser i fengsel.

If we compare the results across both sample, target and observation period, it is clear that there is no simple answer to how big the recidivism is in Norway. If we compare across samples and time, but with the same measure of recidivism, the results can vary between 29 and 55 per cent for a new charge, 17 and 42 per cent for a new sentence, and 10 and 33 per cent for reinstatement in prison.

Sammenligner vi resultatene på tvers av utvalg og mål, men med samme observasjonstid, varierer andelen som har begått ny kriminalitet, mellom 10 og 34 prosent etter ett år og 21 og 55 etter fire. Sammenligner vi til slutt resultatene på tvers av tid og mål, men ikke utvalg, varierer andelen med tilbakefall mellom 10 og 49 prosent for siktede, 13 og 53 prosent for dømte og 20 og 55 prosent for løslatte.

Recidivism Norway Part 5

Part 1 https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/620

If we compare the results across samples and targets, but with the same observation period, the proportion who have committed a new crime varies between 10 and 34 per cent after one year and 21 and 55 after four. Finally, if we compare the results across time and targets, but not samples, the proportion with recidivism varies between 10 and 49 per cent for accused persons, 13 and 53 per cent for convicted persons and 20 and 55 per cent for released persons.

Samlet sett innebærer dette at tilbakefallet til kriminalitet i Norge – slik det er målt her – varierer mellom 10 og 55 prosent avhengig av hvordan vi definerer utvalg, mål og oppfølgingsperiodens varighet.

Overall, this means that the rate of recidivism in Norway - as measured here - varies between 10 and 55 per cent, depending on how we define the sample, the target and the duration of the follow-up period https://perma.cc/AYN8-FVQY

Rusmiddellovbrudd er imidlertid det mest vanlige forholdet for personer med straffegjennomføring med elektronisk kontroll, og i 2019 var andelen som var dømt for rusmiddellovbrudd, på i overkant av 50 prosent.

Drug offences, however, are the most common case for people with sentences carried out with electronic control, and in 2019 the proportion who were convicted of drug offenses was over 50 per cent.

De som har gjennomført straff i fengsel med høyt sikkerhetsnivå, har vesentlig høyere tilbakefall enn personer som har gjennomført straff på lavere sikkerhetsnivå.

Those who have served sentences in prisons with a high security level have significantly higher recidivism rates than people who have served sentences at a lower security level.

Det kan være ulike årsaker til denne ulikheten. Risiko for tilbakefall henger blant annet sammen med hva slags lovbrudd som er begått, om man er tidligere straffedømt, og hva slags straffegjennomføringsform som benyttes.

Recidivism / Prison Facts in Norway Part 6

Part 1 https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/620

There may be various reasons for this disparity. The risk of recidivism is linked, among other things, to the type of offense committed, whether you have previously been convicted, and the type of punishment used

Dette har naturligvis sammenheng blant annet med hvem eller hvilke grupper som gjennomfører straff på de ulike sikkerhetsnivåene, mv. For øvrig må tall om tilbakefall leses med det forbehold at ny kriminalitet faktisk blir registrert.

This is naturally related, among other things, to who or which groups carry out punishment at the various security levels, etc. Furthermore, figures on recidivism must be read with the caveat that new crime is actually registered.

En relativt stor andel av innsatte i norske fengsler er utenlandske statsborgere. Gjennomsnittet i Europa for 2019 var 23 prosent av alle innsatte, mens i Norge hadde 31 prosent av innsatte utenlandsk statsborgerskap

A relatively large proportion of inmates in Norwegian prisons are foreign nationals. The average in Europe for 2019 was 23 percent of all inmates, while in Norway 31 percent of inmates had foreign citizenship

I 2010 var gjennomsnittlig antall dager med ubetinget fengselsstraff på 167 dager, mens tilsvarende tall i 2019 var 198 dager.

In 2010, the average number of days with an unconditional prison sentence was 167 days, while the corresponding figure in 2019 was 198 days https://perma.cc/S2Y3-TN72

I 2020 var gjen- nomsnittet i Europa 124 innsatte per 100 000 i befolkningen, mens tilsvarende tall for Norge var 58,8.1 Likevel har Norge lenge vært det landet i Norden med høyest antall innsatte i forhold til befolkningen, men forholdstallet har falt kraftig etter 2016.

In 2020, the average in Europe was 124 inmates per 100,000 in the population, while the corresponding figure for Norway was 58.8.1 Nevertheless, Norway has long been the country in the Nordics with the highest number of inmates in relation to the population.

Conclusion related to the stats showed in the video about Norway and USA prisons.

a) Recidivism is not so low!
Scroll from
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/620 to
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/630
and depends from many factors
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/617
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/618
and previous posts

Plus, let we exclude USA for a minute! that apply death sentence with no sense! and discrimination ...
https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/391
https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/351
https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/674

b) Incarceration. Again we are talking about USA ...
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/630

There were 106 prisoners per 100 000 inhabitants in the EU in 2021, slightly more than in 2020, when the rate was 104 https://perma.cc/H6N8-27UF

The U.S. prison population was 1,204,300 at yearend 2021, a 1% decrease from 2020 (1,221,200) and a 25% decrease from 2011 (1,599,000).

At yearend 2021, the imprisonment rate was 350 sentenced prisoners per 100,000 U.S. residents, down 2% from yearend 2020 and 29% from yearend 2011.

c) About homicides
https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/778
https://news.1rj.ru/str/PrisonFacts/714
and previous posts ...

d) About rape
https://news.1rj.ru/str/RapeTelegram/1641
https://news.1rj.ru/str/RapeTelegram/1642

This is an additional analysis fact check from the main post
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/617
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/618

In plotting the overall recidivism rates we find that the five-year rate is 21.45%, 35%, 48%, 55.3%, and 60.2%. In contrast, the recidivism rates for ordinary crime in Israel are 18%, 27.9%, 34.1%, 37.9%, and 41.3%

For each additional prior security offence incarceration, the five-year recidivism rates increase significantly, to 50%, 67% and 94%, respectively (see Fig. 2).

First-timers, or offenders that were only incarcerated once for security o enses, represented the majority of cases in the data (61.1%). Proportional hazards regression was used to assess how the different risk factors affected the odds of a released first-time security prisoner to be a recidivist for another terrorism-related o ense (see Table 3). The like-lihood of security recidivism decreases as age upon release from incarceration increases (PH = 0.95, p = 0.0015). Similarly, longer sentence length decreased the likelihood of security offending by similar odds (PH = .97, p < 0.0001). Terrorist group affliation had a large and significant effect in increasing the likelihood of security recidivism.

That is, for offenders who had known affliations with one of the primary terrorist groups (Fatah and Hamas), there is a 319% increase in the likelihood to be a recidivist compared to unaffliated offenders.

Remember: terrorists should REMAIN IN PRISON FOR THE WHOLE LIFE WITHOUT PAROLE! (especially if related to racism!) and if not affiliated to big terror group they can even get a death sentence with a death execution after 20-35 years of prison
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LawsTelegram/28
https://news.1rj.ru/str/DefenceTelegram/476
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AndersBehringBreivikTelegram/466
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AndersBehringBreivikTelegram/467
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AmnestyBullshit
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AndersBehringBreivikTelegram

BUT AGAIN, NOT FOR BIG TERRORISTS!!!!
https://news.1rj.ru/str/TerrorismTelegram/477
https://news.1rj.ru/str/HamasTerroristTelegram/35

and yes, NO VIP SUICIDE FOR KILLERS!
https://news.1rj.ru/str/DefenceTelegram/152

for all other crimes, it depends from case to case, amount of proofs, indirect factors, etc.