🔥CHANCE OF FLARES TODAY: NOAA forecasters say there is a 25% chance of M-class solar flares today. The likely source, sunspot complex AR2907-09, is almost directly facing Earth, which means any explosions would be geoeffective.
DENSE SOLAR WIND: Today, Dec. 19th, Earth is entering a slow but dense zone of solar wind. Compressed magnetic fields in this region could link to Earth's own magnetic field, sparking geomagnetic activity around the poles. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
AN EXPLOSION ON THE SUN: Yesterday, an active region emerging from the sun's southeastrn limb exploded, producing a C6-class solar flare and a beautiful loop-shaped prominence:
Debris from the explosion will miss Earth. However future eruptions might be geoeffective as the unstable blast site moves into our planet's strike zone later this week.
Debris from the explosion will miss Earth. However future eruptions might be geoeffective as the unstable blast site moves into our planet's strike zone later this week.
GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: A CME is heading for Earth. The faint storm cloud left the sun on Dec. 20th (1136 UT), propelled by an M1.9-class solar flare in the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2908. NOAA forecasters expect a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 23rd, possibly sparking a G1-class geomagnetic storm. Christmas Lights, anyone?
Solar wind
speed: 438.0 km/sec
density: 5.0 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1230 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C5 0719 UT Dec24
24-hr: C7 0342 UT Dec24
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1235 UT
speed: 438.0 km/sec
density: 5.0 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1230 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C5 0719 UT Dec24
24-hr: C7 0342 UT Dec24
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1235 UT
CHANCE OF CHRISTMAS STORMS (UPDATED): Multiple M-class solar flares this week have hurled at least two faint CMEs toward Earth. NOAA forecast models predict glancing blows on Dec. 24th and 25th.
The impacts, albeit weak, could combine to produce G1-class geomagnetic storms and high-latitude auroras during the Christmas holiday.
The impacts, albeit weak, could combine to produce G1-class geomagnetic storms and high-latitude auroras during the Christmas holiday.
Solar wind
speed: 436.5 km/sec
density: 4.7 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2340 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C3 1905 UT Dec25
24-hr: C3 1905 UT Dec25
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2345 UT
speed: 436.5 km/sec
density: 4.7 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2340 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C3 1905 UT Dec25
24-hr: C3 1905 UT Dec25
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2345 UT
ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS A ... CME? A CME impact expected on Dec. 24th did not materialize. NOAA forecasters say the CME may still be coming, with a delayed impact on Christmas Day. The glancing blow could spark minor G1-class geomagnetic storms and auroras around the Arctic Circle