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BRICS now boasts 10 full members: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran, and Indonesia.
New membership:
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US, European intel now say ‘accidents’, not Russia, to blame for damaged Baltic cables
NATO intelligence has found “no indication” that the commercial vessels dragging their anchors across underwater infrastructure in the Baltic Sea “did so intentionally or at the direction of Moscow.”
There was an “emerging consensus” among US and European intelligence services that the cables were damaged by accident, officials cited by the Washington Post said.
NATO announced plans to boost patrols in the Baltic Sea this week after a string of incidents involving the severing of telecommunications and energy cables in the region, initially blamed on a Russian “hybrid campaign” against Europe.
Now, officials say intercepted communications and other classified info found that they were caused by “inexperienced crews serving aboard poorly maintained vessels.”
The investigations studied three incidents, involving:
🔸 The Eagle S, an oil tanker seized by Finland in late December after the vessel was accused of dragging its anchor across the Estlink 2 powerline linking Estonia and Finland. Finnish President Alexander Stubb earlier claimed the incident was “definitely” Russia-linked.
🔸 The Yi Peng 3, a Chinese bulk carrier accused of severing two Baltic Sea fiberoptic cables in Swedish waters in November, which was held for more than a month in a Danish shipping lane during an investigation. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius called that incident “sabotage.”
🔸 The Newnew Polar Bear, a Hong Kong-registered ship that damaged the Balticconnector pipeline linking Finland and Estonia in October 2023. China acknowledged the ship’s responsibility for the damage last August.
The conclusion that Russia was not responsible for attacking Baltic infrastructure is gratifying, if somewhat surprising, given the tendency of Western intel to blame Moscow first and ask questions later, exemplified by the claim that Russia blew up its own Nord Stream pipeline infrastructure in 2022 because…reasons?
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NATO intelligence has found “no indication” that the commercial vessels dragging their anchors across underwater infrastructure in the Baltic Sea “did so intentionally or at the direction of Moscow.”
There was an “emerging consensus” among US and European intelligence services that the cables were damaged by accident, officials cited by the Washington Post said.
NATO announced plans to boost patrols in the Baltic Sea this week after a string of incidents involving the severing of telecommunications and energy cables in the region, initially blamed on a Russian “hybrid campaign” against Europe.
Now, officials say intercepted communications and other classified info found that they were caused by “inexperienced crews serving aboard poorly maintained vessels.”
The investigations studied three incidents, involving:
The conclusion that Russia was not responsible for attacking Baltic infrastructure is gratifying, if somewhat surprising, given the tendency of Western intel to blame Moscow first and ask questions later, exemplified by the claim that Russia blew up its own Nord Stream pipeline infrastructure in 2022 because…reasons?
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Sputnik International
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An agreement with TikTok in the US could involve selling 50% of the social media platform to a new owner, Trump stated.
Trump said he is asking companies "not to let TikTok go dark."
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Three Israeli hostages handed over to IDF in Gaza
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'The three released hostages are being accompanied by IDF special forces and ISA forces on their return to Israeli territory, where they will undergo an initial medical assessment' the IDF stated
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The US president-elect, who spent much of his first term trying to oust Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, hasn’t lost his obsession with the Latin American nation, anonymous Trump advisors revealed to Axios on Saturday.
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Last week’s announcement of new Treasury sanctions against the Russian maritime oil trade was designed to target the up to 5.8 million barrels per day (bpd) worth of Russian oil and petroleum products shipped by sea. See fig. 1.
Currently, the world is running a surplus of about 0.8 million bpd of oil, with analysts expecting 2025 prices averaging $71 per barrel of Brent crude.
The Bank of America calculations show that changes to the supply-demand balance by 100,000 bpd affects oil prices inversely by $1.50-$2 per barrel.
That means if 5+ million bpd of Russian supplies were to disappear, oil prices would spike by $80-90, to $150-160 a barrel.
Russia’s budget has priced 2025 oil revenues at $65.90 per barrel. If the maritime embargo were successfully implemented and prices more than doubled, revenues to the budget would increase from $82.3 billion to $88.2 billion despite substantially lower exports.
On the campaign trail, Donald Trump promised to make the US into an oil superpower, and to lower oil prices to $50 a barrel.
Prices higher than that would impact the competitiveness of US industry, while squeezing ordinary Americans at the pump (with prices jumping to nearly $5 a gallon if Biden’s sanctions pan out). See fig. 2, 3.
Therefore, the new restrictions, while formally aimed at Russia, aren’t as “anti-Russian” as they are anti-Trump and anti-American – especially when combined with Biden’s executive order slapping a ban on new oil and gas drilling along wide swathes of the US Atlantic and Pacific coasts.
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⚡️New footage of the transfer of Israeli female prisoners to Red Cross vehicles in Gaza has emerged online
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⚡️Palestinian prisoners set to be released under the exchange deal with Israel are being prepared for their handover to the Red Cross.
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TikTok states that it is in the process of restoring its service in the US and has committed to working with the Trump administration on a long-term solution to ensure the platform remains operational in the country
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Earlier this month, the outgoing US Secretary of State Blinken said at the Atlantic Council conference in Washington that “Hamas has gained as many new operatives as it has lost since the Gaza war began”. He also called on Israeli government to accept that “Hamas cannot be defeated by a military campaign alone”, urging Tel Aviv to accept a “diplomatic end to the fighting”.
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