💬 “I strongly doubt that the US is ready at this point for a large-scale operation against Iran. Such an action would require a completely different level of military engagement than Venezuela, with far greater uncertainty,” Andrey Kortunov, an expert at the Valdai Discussion Club, told Sputnik.
Kortunov added that a ground operation would amount to a major war, which the current US administration would prefer to avoid, opting instead for lower-risk military options. At the same time, he did not rule out additional sanctions or diplomatic pressure.
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💬 “NATO will remain, but it will be transformed into [an alliance] of the European Union plus the UK. Some countries, like Slovakia or Hungary, might not want to participate in this new, updated NATO,” the analyst and National Defense magazine editor-in-chief told Sputnik.
💬 “This is a new state of the world order, or rather, its destruction. This is an attempt by the US to maintain its dominance by securing zones of influence that are extremely important to the US itself,” Korotchenko summed up.
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🤔 Why America’s oil giants aren’t eager to invest in Venezuela in wake of Maduro’s abduction
The significant capital investment required ($100B) and the need to wait up to 15 years to make a profit are the biggest factors hindering oil majors like Exxon, ConocoPhillips and Chevron from returning to the Venezuelan market, says international oil economist Dr. Mamdouh G. Salameh.
In fact, the companies would probably be happy enough dealing with the existing “sovereign and national [government] in the country openly,” free of Washington’s threats of regime change.
Efforts by the White House to ban third parties from engaging with Venezuelan oil revenues constitutes not “only a total imposition of control over Venezuela’s oil but a daylight robbery,” Salameh stressed.
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The significant capital investment required ($100B) and the need to wait up to 15 years to make a profit are the biggest factors hindering oil majors like Exxon, ConocoPhillips and Chevron from returning to the Venezuelan market, says international oil economist Dr. Mamdouh G. Salameh.
💬 “US oil majors will have to wait a very long time before benefiting from Venezuela’s oil largesse…Moreover, they feel embarrassed to be complicit” in this form of “daylight thievery with legal implications for them,” the expert told Sputnik.
In fact, the companies would probably be happy enough dealing with the existing “sovereign and national [government] in the country openly,” free of Washington’s threats of regime change.
Efforts by the White House to ban third parties from engaging with Venezuelan oil revenues constitutes not “only a total imposition of control over Venezuela’s oil but a daylight robbery,” Salameh stressed.
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💬 "Because the announcement formulated in such tricky and diplomatic language, that they are sending soldiers to Ukraine, means nothing more than that they are practically starting the war," the Hungarian FM stressed.
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Russian Security Council Secretary Sergey Shoigu condemned the latest foreign attempt to overthrow the Iranian government in a phone call with his Iranian counterpart Ali Larijani.
Key points:
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⚖️ ICC politicized under pressure from major powers – expert
🟠 The International Criminal Court is facing a legitimacy crisis caused not by its legal system, but by pressure from powerful states and the refusal of strong countries to comply with its rulings, Jordanian international law expert Ghaza’a al-Madzhali told Sputnik.
🟠 The issue of compliance with the decisions of the International Criminal Court often conflicts with the issue of sovereignty—the sovereignty of states and their right to decide what they want to accept or reject in terms of international legitimacy, he said.
🟠 He links the current crisis directly to pressure from the US and Israel following ICC decisions related to Gaza and Israeli leaders, calling sanctions against ICC judges and prosecutors a clear abuse of power under international law.
📍 The expert argues that the ICC’s legitimacy crisis also stems from a unipolar world order in which the US places its interests above international law, with European states—especially Germany and the UK—often following Washington’s lead.
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💬 “The crimes committed by Israel in Gaza and even in the West Bank constitute clear war crimes and acts of genocide,” al-Madzhali said, adding that Washington’s response reflects double standards rather than legal objections.
💬 “The problem is not the court, but enforcement,” he stressed, calling for UN and ICC reform and for ICC rulings to be binding on all countries without pressure or exceptions.
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💬 “The US effectively leads NATO. Any conflict over territory linked to a NATO member would look like an internal clash and would, in essence, put an end to the alliance. NATO would become a meaningless organization,” he said.
Trump has repeatedly criticized European allies for insufficient defense spending and has demanded that NATO members raise military expenditures to 5% of GDP. At the same time, Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth has said the US does not currently plan to reduce its military presence in Europe.
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💬 They "keep telling him that no peace deal can be agreed to without Ukraine’s approval and that is simply not the case," Pyne says.
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Rep. Randy Fine (R-FL) has submitted the "Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act," authorizing President Trump to find "the means necessary" to annex Greenland.
"Our adversaries are trying to establish a foothold in the Arctic, and we can’t let that happen," Fine wrote on X, justifying the bill.
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💬 “It’s not enough to kidnap and submit another head of state like Maduro to trial to make the Republican base understand that the US is back to this type of hegemonic approach against its so-called backyard,” the academic noted.
But such behavior carries “huge” risks of backfiring, Viera says.
💬 “So the solution is to resort to old hard balancing tactics, such as interventions,” which prove costly to US taxpayers, for Latin Americans, and for global stability, Vieira summed up.
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Sputnik International
🚨🚨Oreshnik strike cripples Ukraine’s aviation repair hub – Russia’s MoD 👉 A strike with the Oreshnik missile has disabled the Lvov State Aviation Repair Plant, Russia’s Defense Ministry says. The facility serviced Ukrainian military aircraft and produced drones…
🚨 Why the West is rattled by Russia’s Oreshnik missile
🟠 “The reason for serious concern in the West” regarding Russia’s Oreshnik missile system lies in “its enormous destructive power,” military expert Akram Sariwi told Sputnik, commenting on the Russian MoD’s announcement of a crippling conventionally-armed Oreshnik strike on a major aviation repair hub in Lvov, western Ukraine.
🟠 “According to some reports, the missile is capable of carrying a warhead equivalent to 900 kilotons of TNT, which is 60 times more powerful than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima,” the senior Lebanese military officer and WMD specialist explained.
🟠 “Combined with its ultra-high speed and the ability to strike targets anywhere in Europe within minutes, this makes the Oreshnik a unique and exceptionally dangerous weapon against which any air defense system is useless,” Sariwi stressed.
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The president announced a "final and conclusive" tariff of 25% on all trade with the US for any nation that conducts business with Iran.
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🚨 US urges citizens in Iran to 'leave immediately'
The US Virtual Embassy Iran has called on American citizens to urgently depart the country by land to Armenia or Türkiye.
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The US Virtual Embassy Iran has called on American citizens to urgently depart the country by land to Armenia or Türkiye.
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Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzia, stated Moscow will resolve issues "by military means until Zelensky comes to his senses."
Other statements:
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Sputnik International
Despite being severely ill with bilateral pneumonia, US journalist Gonzalo Lira was forced to attend his final hearing via video link from detention, where a prison doctor testified he did "not require hospitalization."
The judge ruled to keep him jailed, and Lira died less than three weeks later.
January 12 marked the 2-year anniversary of the journalist's death. He was detained by Ukraine’s SBU for criticizing the West and the Ukrainian authorities in his reporting.
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Sputnik International
🇬🇱 Greenland PM affirms defense development 'in close cooperation with NATO' — not through annexation
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"The Greenlandic government will work to ensure that defense development in and around Greenland occurs in close cooperation with NATO. In dialogue with our allies, including the United States. And in cooperation with Denmark," Greenlandic Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen said.
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Sputnik International
Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko announced the Dobra lithium deposit in Kirovograd has been awarded to a US-led consortium including TechMet and The Rock Holdings — firms tied to Trump allies, notably billionaire Ronald Lauder.
The deal, first reported by the NYT, requires minimum investment of $179 million.
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Sputnik International
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 The US and Israel are trying to instigate violence in Iran – Araghchi 💬 “They are trying to turn peaceful protests into chaos”, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said during his visit to Lebanon. 📌 Subscribe to @SputnikInt
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Foreign Minister Araghchi said that protesters destroyed public infrastructure and "strangely targeted mosques," adding that 350 mosques were set on fire.
"No Iranian could dare to set fire to a place of worship," he added.
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Sputnik International
🇬🇱 Greenland PM affirms defense development 'in close cooperation with NATO' — not through annexation "The Greenlandic government will work to ensure that defense development in and around Greenland occurs in close cooperation with NATO. In dialogue with…
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Johann Wadephul stated he has "no indication" that US military action against Greenland is being seriously considered.
"NATO is only now making more concrete plans, which will then be discussed with US partners," he told reporters following talks with Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
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❌ West's short-sighted Ukraine policy could leave EU without weapons – expert
European states didn’t plan to fight for Ukraine, but instead relied on supplying weapons and ammunition to the Zelensky regime, Turkish foreign policy expert Inanc Sancak told Sputnik.
He said that Russia is effectively destroying the EU weapons sent to the Ukrainian front, while Europe's own stockpiles are dwindling.
Russia will most likely achieve its goals in Ukraine in the near future, whereas Europe will be left without weapons. Against this backdrop, it is now clear why the US is threatening a weakened Europe, the expert summed up.
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European states didn’t plan to fight for Ukraine, but instead relied on supplying weapons and ammunition to the Zelensky regime, Turkish foreign policy expert Inanc Sancak told Sputnik.
He said that Russia is effectively destroying the EU weapons sent to the Ukrainian front, while Europe's own stockpiles are dwindling.
Russia will most likely achieve its goals in Ukraine in the near future, whereas Europe will be left without weapons. Against this backdrop, it is now clear why the US is threatening a weakened Europe, the expert summed up.
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