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The Paradigm Shift Channel
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Topics covered are Geopolitics, Energy, USD Reserve Currency Status, Food Security, CBDC's, Cyber Attacks, Gold/Silver markets. Welcome to The Paradigm Shift Channel. Leave a comment in https://news.1rj.ru/str/TheParadigmShiftGroupChat
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Shipping giant Maersk has warned ongoing port delays mean supply chain strains will “continue for some time”. “Unfortunately, 2022 has not started off as we had hoped. “We do foresee the strain to continue for some time still.” UK's Felixstowe’s dwell times were double those of Antwerp’s 2-4 days, the port with second highest delays in Europe. https://www.cips.org/supply-management/news/2022/january/shipping-freight-delays-not-set-to-ease-for-some-time/
Suspected members of the cyber criminal REvil ransomware gang have been detained and the group has been dismantled following raids by Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB), REvil was also accused of being responsible for a major ransomware attack against food supplier JBS, which paid $11 million in Bitcoin to the attackers. https://www.zdnet.com/article/russian-authorities-take-down-revil-ransomware-gang/
Beijing is trying to fortify the Chinese economy against a prolonged period of tension with the U.S. and other countries, stockpiling some essentials and planning on more domestic production as it accelerates efforts to make China less dependent on the world. China’s stockpiling is already pushing up global prices for grains and other commodities. Xi stressed the need to produce in China, for China, everything from toilets to satellites. China had poured resources into its own research labs, universities and companies to try to wean the country off its addiction to foreign technologies like American semiconductors. https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-looks-to-secure-supplies-as-strains-with-u-s-and-its-allies-grow-11642075381
Those increases were attributed to dry weather affecting large grain producers, including a drought in the U.S. and a fire in Russia that destroyed its grain crop. The impact was magnified in Middle Eastern countries where bread is a staple, with some geopolitical analysts saying it contributed to the Arab Spring. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-14/food-prices-are-back-to-where-they-were-in-the-2011-crop-crisis
A collective global effort is needed to deal with the problems posed by cryptocurrenices. "The kind of technology it is associated with, the decision taken by a single country will be insufficient to deal with its challenges. We have to have a similar mindset," Modi said at the World Economic Forum's virtual Davos Agenda conference. https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-working-signing-free-trade-deals-with-many-countries-modi-says-2022-01-17/
A VPN service used by criminals to distribute ransomware, malware and facilitate other forms of cybercrime has been taken offline following a coordinated international operation by police. As part of the joint action by Europol, Germany's Hanover Police Department, the FBI, the UK's National Crime Agency (NCA) and others, the 15 servers used by the VPNLab.net service have been seized or disrupted, rendering it no longer available. https://www.zdnet.com/article/this-vpn-service-used-by-cyber-criminals-to-deliver-ransomware-has-just-been-taken-down-by-police/
Turkey- The process of de-dollarizing the Turkish economy will be accelerated in the coming weeks. The government will step up the conversion of the nation’s foreign currency holdings into Turkish lira, he said, adding that more than 131 billion lira ($9.69 billion) had been deposited in accounts under the plan. The government program, unveiled last month, is intended to protect lira deposits from further forex depreciation, as well as to make citizens feel more secure when holding their savings in a bank. https://www.rt.com/business/546201-turkey-ditching-dollar-lira-crisis/
Malaysia’s central bank recently completed a proof-of-concept for a CBDC with three other nations and may consider developing its own cross-border payment system using the blockchain. It also stated that the ostensible reason for the current research effort was to ensure it is prepared to launch a CBDC program “should the need to issue CBDC arise in the future.” https://cointelegraph.com/news/malaysia-s-central-bank-actively-assessing-cbdc-options?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=social
Russian state energy giant Gazprom said it has not booked any capacity to pump gas to Europe through the Yamal pipeline next month, underscoring a sharp drop-off in Russian exports to the region so far this year. Gazprom said pipeline exports of Russian gas have tumbled 41% from a year ago so far in January, underlining the impact of a reversal in the Yamal-Europe pipeline, which usually pumps Russian gas into Europe, from Germany to Poland. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/yamal-gas-pipeline-flows-still-heading-eastward-germany-poland-2022-01-17/
China's 2021 corn imports almost tripled in volume from the previous year, hitting a new record, as buyers turned to cheaper alternatives overseas amid soaring prices and a domestic supply crunch. The world's top grains market brought in 28.35 million tonnes of corn in all of 2021, up 151% from an annual record figure of 11.3 million in 2020. Imports of wheat in the first 12 months of the year also hit a record at 9.77 million tonnes, and were up 16.6% from 8.38 million in 2020. China's corn prices hit record highs in 2021 after Beijing whittled down its massive temporary stockpile of the grain and bad weather hit output in the main production region the previous year. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/chinas-corn-imports-soar-to-new-record-in-2021
The most populous county in the United States is becoming too dangerous for freight trains to pass through without being looted. This debacle throws another wrench into supply chains. Union Pacific is looking to avoid that stretch of track entirely, and FedEx and UPS may route their shipments to avoid Los Angeles County. https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/train-robberies-in-la-up-356-percent-in-2021/
Hot, dry weather in December and early January has analysts and trade groups lowering their estimates for soy production in key producers Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay, helping push up prices of the oilseed by about 12% since the end of November. https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/paraguay-soybean-giant-girds-for-worst-harvest-in-two-decades
Germany’s gas storage facilities are 50.6% full (as of January 11, 2022),” the German Ministry of Economy said, “This corresponds to a theoretical working gas availability of 17.7 days,” https://www.rt.com/business/546399-germany-reveals-gas-reserves/
Oil prices rose for a 4th day to a 7 year high as an outage on a pipeline from Iraq to Turkey increased concerns about an already tight supply outlook amid worrisome geopolitical troubles in Russia and the UAE. Brent crude futures to $88.30 per barrel. Turkey’s state pipeline operator Botas said that it cut oil flows on the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after an explosion on the system. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/19/oil-markets-middle-east-tensions-iraq-turkey-pipeline.html
Canadian border agents began refusing entry to unvaccinated American truckers just days ago, and it’s already causing chaos -- particularly in fruit and vegetable markets. The mandate is adding to Canada’s supply chain turmoil that was already abundant due to recent storms as well as the pandemic. The Canadian Trucking Association estimates the mandate will take as many as 16,000 drivers off the road. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-19/fruit-and-veggie-outages-in-canada-get-worse-with-trucker-shortages
Russia has climbed the ranks to become the largest wheat exporter in the world. There would still be a risk to Russian gas flows via Ukraine to Europe. Potential impact on the production and export of Ukrainian corn and wheat. China, is a large importer of Russian oil. Russian primary aluminium production makes up around 6% of global output, and 15% of ex-China output. Russia is the world's largest palladium producer, while it is also an important nickel producer. Russia is the world's largest palladium producer, while it is also an important nickel producer. https://menafn.com/1103575558/Commodity-prices-could-soar-if-the-Russia-Ukraine-crisis-escalates
US- A digital dollar may also hold tremendous power in terms of tracking every transaction made. This could potentially result in a serious threat to privacy, so safeguards should be put in place to protect individuals from intrusions that threaten their civil liberties. “Every purchase or donation has the potential to be recorded by the government and misused in a number of disturbing ways. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-releases-long-awaited-digital-185221957.html
Diammonium phosphate, or DAP, cost $745 per metric ton in December—more than double its 2020 average price. December prices for Eastern European urea, were nearly four times the 2020 average. Inflation rose in about 80% of emerging-market economies last year, with roughly a third seeing double-digit food inflation. https://www.wsj.com/articles/farms-are-failing-as-fertilizer-prices-drive-up-cost-of-food-11642770182
The data accessed came from at least 60 Red Cross and Red Crescent National Societies located around the world. The hackers targeted a Swiss company that the ICRC hires to store its data. The organization said it was most concerned that the confidential information people shared with them was leaked in the breach. https://www.zdnet.com/article/red-cross-hit-with-cyberattack-that-compromised-data-of-515000-highly-vulnerable-people/ #ICE9
Russia- ... banning transactions from the Russian market, prohibiting digital denominations from being issued, and preventing financial institutions from investing in them. The mining of cryptocurrencies would be banned under the proposed rule change, as would the ability for investors to cash out. Those falling foul of the laws could face prosecution. https://www.rt.com/russia/546628-moscow-proposes-complete-ban-cryptocurrencies/
Late last year was the Cyber Polygon simulation with the IMF, WEF and major nations and the simulated shutdown of the global financial infrastructure. Ireland is now taking part in a large-scale simulated cyberattack by hostile actors on the EU, in a bid to beef up the union’s cyber defences. The massive operation, runs for a total of six weeks. https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40791447.html