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The Library
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Harold Finch’s Library
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GET OUT AND VOTE! MAKE IT A LANDSLIDE!
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The 2024 presidential election simplified:

There is no election to be had based on every traditional predictor outside of the ability to cheat in exactly 8 states, plus the second CD of Nebraska.

The main states are NC, AZ, NV, PA, MI, WI, and GA.

FL and TX are not playable for Harris.

My measurements, even accounting for cheating detected in 2020, give Trump NV close, and NC, AZ, PA comfortably, which is enough to win the election with 271 electoral votes.

By extension of IA, WI also goes to Trump by 1.4 to 4.1%, that’s 281, and where I have the race pegged today.

That leaves MI, GA, NH, and NE-2 as possibles for Harris, and MI/GA only thanks to Auto Voter Registration and corruption.

All other numbers and all polling from the MSM is NOISE.

If she had this won, there would be no attempts on Trump or third world debates.
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The worst PA pollster (Suffolk) just put out a Harris +3 (49-46%). They had Biden +7 and Clinton +10.

Trump is going to win PA.
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PA Dems down over 303k mail requests from this point in 2020, and with 297k fewer Dems on the rolls than last time.

Bad bad bad if you’re a wack leftwinger from the Bay Area.
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Things are definitely looking up for Trump in Nevada, but what about all those legalized forms of election manipulation, including Automatic Voter Registration, universal mail in balloting, and a week to dump drop boxes?

I've crunched the numbers and in the most pessimistic scenario find a race within 17,000 ballots. What Trump does with Clark County will determine the fate of these 6 electoral votes that may be needed in a pinch.

Thanks for reading and supporting my work!

https://skeshel.substack.com/p/my-2024-nevada-17-county-trend-forecast
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Forwarded from The Aviationist
The NGAD Fighter Could Be Redesigned to Cost Less Than the F-35

The comments by Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall highlight a possible change of route from the 200 NGAD fighters expected to cost hundreds of millions.

Story: https://theaviationist.com/2024/09/17/ngad-redesigned/
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Forwarded from Disclose.tv
NOW - Hezbollah communication devices reportedly exploding across Lebanon. Hospitals are overflowing with injured people.

UPDATE - 2,800+ wounded so far following pager explosions, including senior high-ranking Hezbollah members and the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon.

https://www.disclose.tv/id/ycgvyzvb5x/

@disclosetv
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