Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
More fun with basic math and history.
North Carolina hasn’t voted left of VA since 1992, or 1988 if we look for an election without a jacked up third party impact.
Since VA flipped in 2008, it has averaged roughly 7.8% left of NC, with the largest gap being 10% (2020) and the closest being 6% (2012).
Harris needs to worry about VA, not NC. NC is her narrative to make Trump spend resources and time.
North Carolina hasn’t voted left of VA since 1992, or 1988 if we look for an election without a jacked up third party impact.
Since VA flipped in 2008, it has averaged roughly 7.8% left of NC, with the largest gap being 10% (2020) and the closest being 6% (2012).
Harris needs to worry about VA, not NC. NC is her narrative to make Trump spend resources and time.
👍30❤5
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
I’ll make the current polling panic very simple.
*IF* Virginia is indeed close as several pollsters indicated this weekend and a pinch of early voting data suggest…
AND
*IF* New York is in the mid teens as several polls have suggested by landing at Harris +12-14%…
Then this is your electoral map:
Harris fighting for 32 electoral scraps.
*IF* Virginia is indeed close as several pollsters indicated this weekend and a pinch of early voting data suggest…
AND
*IF* New York is in the mid teens as several polls have suggested by landing at Harris +12-14%…
Then this is your electoral map:
Harris fighting for 32 electoral scraps.
👍31🙏17❤4