Forwarded from Disclose.tv
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JUST IN - Israeli military announces that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah was killed in the Beirut strikes yesterday.
IDF says that alongside Nasrallah, the commander of Hezbollah's Southern Front Ali Karaki was also killed, along with other commanders.
The name of the Israeli military operation that reportedly assassinated Nasrallah was named "New Order."
UPDATE - Hezbollah confirms the death of Nasrallah.
https://www.disclose.tv/id/hx4adcmmdd/
@disclosetv
IDF says that alongside Nasrallah, the commander of Hezbollah's Southern Front Ali Karaki was also killed, along with other commanders.
The name of the Israeli military operation that reportedly assassinated Nasrallah was named "New Order."
UPDATE - Hezbollah confirms the death of Nasrallah.
https://www.disclose.tv/id/hx4adcmmdd/
@disclosetv
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Forwarded from Disclose.tv
NOW - Jawad Nasrallah, the son of Hassan Nasrallah, screams in anguish at the site of the death of his father.
Meanwhile, the black flag has been raised at the Imam Reza shrine in Iran following the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.
@disclosetv
Meanwhile, the black flag has been raised at the Imam Reza shrine in Iran following the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.
@disclosetv
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This is a big deal. The lebanese govt has been a Hezbollah owned entity for decades. That plane was likely carrying the replacement iranian govt masters of Hezbollah & the Lebanese govt just refused them permission to enter the country. Something big is happening.
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Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Sanity check on NC.
When NC flipped for Obama, the telltale sign was a 1.6% shift in registrations toward Dems, 205,853 in net number.
Since then, NC has swung heavily toward Rs in registration. This is a 5 cycle trend out since 2004 on voter registration, which ALWAYS runs right of the Dem voter registration advantage, which is hanging like a thread by just D+123,053 as of today's update.
The lowest that differential got was in 2020 in the "fortified" election, and Trump ran 465,897 ahead of the Dem registration advantage.
I think with an influx of north easterners it isn't likely to see Trump at the average 2004-20 differential of 704,887 this year, which would be about a 12.8% win, but the average Trump number of 624,729 comes up to a 9.4% win. If Trump gets that differential cut in half this year, he would still win by 110,000 votes, or 2.0%.
If NC is supposed to be flipping, this data does not show it whatsoever, nor do the current mail request data.
I continue to foresee a 4-6% Trump win in NC.
When NC flipped for Obama, the telltale sign was a 1.6% shift in registrations toward Dems, 205,853 in net number.
Since then, NC has swung heavily toward Rs in registration. This is a 5 cycle trend out since 2004 on voter registration, which ALWAYS runs right of the Dem voter registration advantage, which is hanging like a thread by just D+123,053 as of today's update.
The lowest that differential got was in 2020 in the "fortified" election, and Trump ran 465,897 ahead of the Dem registration advantage.
I think with an influx of north easterners it isn't likely to see Trump at the average 2004-20 differential of 704,887 this year, which would be about a 12.8% win, but the average Trump number of 624,729 comes up to a 9.4% win. If Trump gets that differential cut in half this year, he would still win by 110,000 votes, or 2.0%.
If NC is supposed to be flipping, this data does not show it whatsoever, nor do the current mail request data.
I continue to foresee a 4-6% Trump win in NC.
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Forwarded from Mannie's War Room
The IDF releases images showing F-15i fighter jets of the Israeli Air Force's 69th Squadron taking off from the Hatzerim Airbase to carry out the assassination of Hezbollah terror chief Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut on Friday.
Dozens of bunker busting bombs were dropped by the fighter jets on Hezbollah's underground headquarters in the Dahiyeh suburb of Beirut in the attack, according to the military.
Dozens of bunker busting bombs were dropped by the fighter jets on Hezbollah's underground headquarters in the Dahiyeh suburb of Beirut in the attack, according to the military.
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