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My thread on Border Security and counter drug operations will be up soon!

#mexico #buildthewall narco #terrorism counter #terrorism
Time for a Thread! Let's delve into the issue of Securing the US Southern Border and conducting real, meaningful Counter Drug/Counter Narcotics Operations.

Last night, Tucker Carlson had a very interesting segment on border security and counter drug operations. His guest for the four-minute segment was Lt Col Doug MacGregor. MacGregor is a highly decorated, and well respected soldier. Among his many exploits was as commander of the Bradleys involved in the 2nd Armored Cavalry Regiment's famous 'Battle of 73 Eastings' during the first Persian Gulf War.

The segment with Lt. Colonel Douglas MacGregor can be found here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLQyneBixQw&feature=youtu.be

In the Battle of 73 Eastings, Eagle Troop, a company strength unit from 3rd ACR, crested a ridge as they advanced and ran directly into an armored Brigade of the Iraqi Republican Guards Tawakalna division. In 23 minutes, then Col H.R. McMaster and Major Doug MacGregor's force of 9 M1A1 Abrams main battle tanks and 12 Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles destroyed 28 Iraqi tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 30 trucks in 23 minutes with no American losses. Lt Col MacGregor (retired) is an expert on Infantry and Mechanized warfare.

In his segment on the Tucker Carlson show, Lt Col MacGregor makes some very interesting points that most of the general public is not aware of. Doug makes the point that the Cartels in Mexico have always had the ability to commit atrocities, but why NOW?? What has changed?

In his discussion with Tucker, he asked a very, VERY pertinent question: who is working with the Cartels that stands to benefit from starting a war between the US Military and the drug cartels that spills over onto American soil? Doug points out that Russia, China and Iran stand to gain a LOT from starting such a war; a war that would tie up huge amounds of resources for the US Military, have a dramatic impact on our economy, and possibly shift the political outlook for President Trump against him.

We saw recently that El Chapo Guzman's sons have taken over the family business and their cartel by itself wields more power now than the Mexican Governemt. Make no mistake, Mexico is a third-world failed state on the US border. The paramilitary forces the cartels can muster rivals that of a more sophisticated nation state. It is a fact that the Cartels have virtually an unlimited budget to pay paramilitary mercenaries and to buy military equipment, from small arms like M240 belt fed Squad Automatic Weapons, to heavier arms like M2 50-caliber heavy machine guns mounted on makeshift armored fighting vehicles, to sophisticated Russian and Chinese made Man Portable Air Defense Missiles, known as MANPADS similar to the US Stinger missile.

An excellent article discussing the power and flexibility of the Cartels and the inability of the Mexican Government to deal with the effectively was written by Joseph Trevithick at the War Zone, here:

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/30494/cartel-narco-tanks-heavy-weapons-on-full-display-during-battle-over-el-chapos-son

This threat is real and it is imminent. The Cartels are not simply organized crime syndicates peddling illicit wares and engaging in vice- they are much more accurately described as Narco Terrorist Organizations capable of full scale terrorist attacks, as well as paramilitary insurgency and direct attacks against soft and hard targets within the United States. For a look at what the Narco Terrorist Organizations are capable of, have a look at what they did in Culiacan, the Capital of Mexico's Sinaloa state.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmMqGL6Jmfo

Lt Col MacGregor makes the case that no action against these Cartels is possible until we seal the border and provide REAL AND MEANINGFUL security on the border. That doesnt mean re inforcing the Border Patrol, or even supplimenting them with noncombatant military forces. It doesn't mean simply building a wall and calling it good. Those things help, but they are not in themselves the answer. LtCol MacGregor makes the point that you need combat troops deployed with Rules of Engagement that permit combat actions against the Paramilitary forces of the Cartels, and in sufficient numbers to hold ground and conduct real security operations. Security operations mean patrolling, raids, building outposts and listening posts. It means having enough forces deployed in the field to not only deter, but to overmatch and defeat the kind of forces you saw in the video i shared of the Sinaloa Cartel acting in Culiacan. Imagine that same scenario playing out in downtown Phoeniz AZ, or Tuscon, or MacAllen TX. You must have enough forces and of sufficient combat power to overmatch those Paramilitaries of the Narco Terror Orgs.

Its important to understand that the Cartels use the philosophy of getting people to either look the other way, or help them by offering them 'the gold or the lead' meaning take the bribe or take a bullet. This is serious problem on both sides of the border, and a military force would need to work in this environment.

LtCol MacGregor makes the case you would need 40-50 thousand combat troops secure the border. I think that number is high. The Corp of Engineers is building the wall at a phenomenal pace, and the funding was already secured. The wall WILL be built by 2020. That physical barrier will make the job the Cartels and their paramilitary forces much harder. Access will be restricted to a much smaller number of points to cross the border, and some of them are tunnels. This would cut down on the number of troops required. The other factor at play here is the size of the US Military, its current obligations, and the ability to deploy these troops at any length of time. Currently I do not believe we have the ability to field what amounts to three US Army Mechanized Infantry divisions.

The fact is, the US Army isnt the same Leviathon it was in 1991- it is much smaller. At the time of the 1991 Persian Gulf War, the US Army was 21 full strength, fully staffed and equipped Divisions, some Infantry, some Mechanized Infantry, and some Armored divisions, as well as Armored Cavalry Regiments which were overstaffed with infantry, armor and mechanized equipment making them essentially 'short' divisions that were high on mobility and firepower. This army was meant to meet the Soviet Army in the Fulda Gap in Germany in the mother of all conventional battles. Those days are gone, and the US Army is a fraction of what it was in '91. The idea of deploying 3 of the 10 US Army divisions to the border indefinitely is simply not feasible.

A more realistic plan follows on Lt Col MacGregor's ideas, but in a scaled down way. The Lt Col is right: of paramount importance is completion of the Wall. PHYSICAL ACCESS MUST BE CUT OFF. The Wall accomplishes this. It turns open, unmonitored, unpatrolled land into land that is 'access denied'. It takes much of the border out of play for the Cartels. This means instead of having to Garrison troops in these areas, patrolling and observation is suffient to secure these areas. And you dont really even need people to be there to do this.