Bitcoin Intelligence Report 07 is now live!
In this edition, we explore why capital is fleeing U.S. markets and where it’s going. With equities, bonds, and the dollar all down, investors are turning to global neutral assets—gold and Bitcoin.
We also revisit the V-shaped market playbook, assess the likelihood of rate cuts and tax extensions, and highlight on-chain signals showing Bitcoin's sell pressure has faded, setting up a bullish opportunity.
https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/capital-is-fleeing-the-us-to-a-new-home-in-gold-and-bitcoin
In this edition, we explore why capital is fleeing U.S. markets and where it’s going. With equities, bonds, and the dollar all down, investors are turning to global neutral assets—gold and Bitcoin.
We also revisit the V-shaped market playbook, assess the likelihood of rate cuts and tax extensions, and highlight on-chain signals showing Bitcoin's sell pressure has faded, setting up a bullish opportunity.
https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/capital-is-fleeing-the-us-to-a-new-home-in-gold-and-bitcoin
21Stcapital
21st Capital - Financial Services
Secure Your Bitcoin with Expert Security, Analytics, and Sovereign Control Solutions
A new chapter at 21st Capital begins.🧡⚡️
We’re excited to welcome @Eric29420226 former Swiss banker, fintech founder, and transformation expert—as Partner & Chairman.
Eric brings decades of experience in finance, strategy, and innovation—and a deep belief in Bitcoin’s potential.
With him, we’re doubling down on:
🛠️ World-class self-custody solutions
📊 Leading #Bitcoin research and intelligence
🚀 Native services that unlock what’s next
His vision is a perfect match for where we’re headed. Welcome on board, Eric.💪
We’re excited to welcome @Eric29420226 former Swiss banker, fintech founder, and transformation expert—as Partner & Chairman.
Eric brings decades of experience in finance, strategy, and innovation—and a deep belief in Bitcoin’s potential.
With him, we’re doubling down on:
🛠️ World-class self-custody solutions
📊 Leading #Bitcoin research and intelligence
🚀 Native services that unlock what’s next
His vision is a perfect match for where we’re headed. Welcome on board, Eric.💪
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🚨 New Bitcoin Intelligence Report Published: Profit Pileup: Can the Rally Push Through Resistance?
Emailed to subscribers and accessible here:
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/profit-pileup-can-the-rally-push-through-resistance
Emailed to subscribers and accessible here:
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/profit-pileup-can-the-rally-push-through-resistance
21Stcapital
21st Capital - Bitcoin Intelligence
Secure Your Bitcoin with Expert Security, Analytics, and Sovereign Control Solutions
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🚨Big Announceme: We will be upgrading Business Intelligence and launching a premium service:
- Additional models
- More video analyses
- BI report with more extensive research
We have received fantastic response to our work and are ready to invest more time in it.
Publish 9 issues of the report already. All you need to know the quality of the reports, is in what readers have said in the comments.
The basic platform features will always remain free.
As Bitcoin rises and approach the cycle top, you need to be equipped with knowledge to handle the volatility and protect your stack and gains.
If you are interested, open a free account (https://21stcapital.com/bi/) and tune in for the launch of premium.
- Additional models
- More video analyses
- BI report with more extensive research
We have received fantastic response to our work and are ready to invest more time in it.
Publish 9 issues of the report already. All you need to know the quality of the reports, is in what readers have said in the comments.
The basic platform features will always remain free.
As Bitcoin rises and approach the cycle top, you need to be equipped with knowledge to handle the volatility and protect your stack and gains.
If you are interested, open a free account (https://21stcapital.com/bi/) and tune in for the launch of premium.
21st Capital
Bitcoin Intelligence - 21st Capital
BITCOIN INTELLIGENCE Decode the Data, Master the Market Turning complex Bitcoin data into clear, actionable insights. Getting Started Starter Access Essential Data and Insights Free Basic Bitcoin Data & Models Curated Valuation Models (Limited Access) The…
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We review today's FOMC meeting, macro trends, GDP data, unemployment, labor market, Bitcoin cost basis distribution, profit taking, accumulation, and buy-the-dip behavior.
Access to Bitcoin Intelligence platform: 21stcapital.com/bi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyVtHME9SpM
Access to Bitcoin Intelligence platform: 21stcapital.com/bi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyVtHME9SpM
YouTube
Spot in "Buy the Dip" Mode, Derivatives Undecided
🔍 Bitcoin Market Analysis | FOMC Insights, Macro Trends, and On-Chain Signals | 21st Capital x Glassnode
In this detailed market breakdown, the team from 21st Capital is joined by Glassnode’s lead analyst VizArt to explore the current state of the Bitcoin…
In this detailed market breakdown, the team from 21st Capital is joined by Glassnode’s lead analyst VizArt to explore the current state of the Bitcoin…
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New Issue of the Bitcoin Intelligence Report Released!
The market needs to catch its breath. We break down the sharp macro pivot following a 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause and examine its market impact. Equities surged, sentiment flipped, and Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating. On-chain, Bitcoin is entering a euphoria phase: over 99% of supply is in profit, realized profits are surging, and the $94K–$103K zone is now critical support. We assess whether demand can absorb this profit-taking wave—or if the rally risks exhaustion near $110K.
Emailed to subscribers.
Read here.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
The market needs to catch its breath. We break down the sharp macro pivot following a 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause and examine its market impact. Equities surged, sentiment flipped, and Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating. On-chain, Bitcoin is entering a euphoria phase: over 99% of supply is in profit, realized profits are surging, and the $94K–$103K zone is now critical support. We assess whether demand can absorb this profit-taking wave—or if the rally risks exhaustion near $110K.
Emailed to subscribers.
Read here.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
21st Capital
I Need to Catch My Breath
The market needs to catch its breath. This week’s report breaks down the sharp macro pivot following a 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause and examines its market impact. Equities surged, sentiment flipped, and Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating. On-chain…
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The $94K-$103K is a very strong on-chain support.
Very high transaction volume with a cherry on top:
these buyers are already tested – they held through the draw-down to $75K and back.
High quality and high quantity.
Read the full report here:
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
Very high transaction volume with a cherry on top:
these buyers are already tested – they held through the draw-down to $75K and back.
High quality and high quantity.
Read the full report here:
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
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Another issue of the Bitcoin Intelligence Report is published. This Issue features a rich set of Bitcoin data points showing a resurgence of demand and strong fundamentals.
BI Report 12 – "A Tale of Two Trumps; How Will It End for Bitcoin?"
This week’s Bitcoin Intelligence Report explores the clash between Trump’s protectionist and capitalist agendas, revealing deep macro contradictions. Meanwhile, Bitcoin displays growing structural strength: institutional inflows have pushed ETF holdings to all-time highs, spot demand is surging, and corporates are still buying above $100K. On-chain data shows conviction across investor cohorts, with long-term holders holding firm and derivatives just beginning to catch up. We analyze whether this wave of demand can power the next leg higher as investors vacillate between pricing two Trump policy sets.
Read the report here. 🔗
BI Premium subscribers have access to the full article and the upcoming video analyses throughout the week, which will be posted in the Video Library.
BI Report 12 – "A Tale of Two Trumps; How Will It End for Bitcoin?"
This week’s Bitcoin Intelligence Report explores the clash between Trump’s protectionist and capitalist agendas, revealing deep macro contradictions. Meanwhile, Bitcoin displays growing structural strength: institutional inflows have pushed ETF holdings to all-time highs, spot demand is surging, and corporates are still buying above $100K. On-chain data shows conviction across investor cohorts, with long-term holders holding firm and derivatives just beginning to catch up. We analyze whether this wave of demand can power the next leg higher as investors vacillate between pricing two Trump policy sets.
Read the report here. 🔗
BI Premium subscribers have access to the full article and the upcoming video analyses throughout the week, which will be posted in the Video Library.
21Stcapital
21st Capital - Financial Services
Secure Your Bitcoin with Expert Security, Analytics, and Sovereign Control Solutions
❤🔥3👍1
BI Report 13 is Published
Holding the Line: Bitcoin in a Transition Phase
This edition offers a unified macro, on-chain, and liquidity view of where Bitcoin stands—and where it’s headed. We track weakening inflation, Trump’s policy pivot, and mounting signs of investor exhaustion as BTC tests critical support.
Meanwhile, our new Monetary Mechanics section dives into the plumbing behind liquidity.
With rate cuts likely ahead and fiscal stimulus on deck, this is a market in reset mode—poised for a decisive second-half breakout if key conditions align.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/holding-the-line-bitcoin-in-a-transition-phase
Holding the Line: Bitcoin in a Transition Phase
This edition offers a unified macro, on-chain, and liquidity view of where Bitcoin stands—and where it’s headed. We track weakening inflation, Trump’s policy pivot, and mounting signs of investor exhaustion as BTC tests critical support.
Meanwhile, our new Monetary Mechanics section dives into the plumbing behind liquidity.
With rate cuts likely ahead and fiscal stimulus on deck, this is a market in reset mode—poised for a decisive second-half breakout if key conditions align.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/holding-the-line-bitcoin-in-a-transition-phase
Bitcoin Intelligence Report 15 is Released
This edition of the Bitcoin Intelligence Report evaluates the risks in Bitcoin’s short-term setup amid historic profitability levels and highlights the important price levels. Over 99% of the supply was in profit at $110K making the rally unsustainable. The structural support zones at $104K, $95K, and $83K are now key. Long-term holders are gradually exiting, while short-term profit-taking accelerates. In our macro segment, we review CPI data that surprised to the downside, reinforcing the disinflation trend and raising the odds of Fed cuts. The market awaits renewed spot demand to absorb profits and sustain the rally into H2 2025.
Premium Access: https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/above-historic-norms-fragile-gains-waiting-for-fuel
This edition of the Bitcoin Intelligence Report evaluates the risks in Bitcoin’s short-term setup amid historic profitability levels and highlights the important price levels. Over 99% of the supply was in profit at $110K making the rally unsustainable. The structural support zones at $104K, $95K, and $83K are now key. Long-term holders are gradually exiting, while short-term profit-taking accelerates. In our macro segment, we review CPI data that surprised to the downside, reinforcing the disinflation trend and raising the odds of Fed cuts. The market awaits renewed spot demand to absorb profits and sustain the rally into H2 2025.
Premium Access: https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/above-historic-norms-fragile-gains-waiting-for-fuel
21Stcapital
21st Capital - Financial Services
Secure Your Bitcoin with Expert Security, Analytics, and Sovereign Control Solutions
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New Video
https://youtu.be/mxbHUTC_aR0
https://youtu.be/mxbHUTC_aR0
YouTube
FOMC June 2025: Everything You Need to Know (Full Recap in 12 Minutes)
📊 June 2025 FOMC Meeting Recap – Top 10 Takeaways
In this video, we break down the latest Federal Reserve decision into 10 key points. From the interest rate pause to updated inflation and unemployment forecasts, here’s what you need to know.
Access our…
In this video, we break down the latest Federal Reserve decision into 10 key points. From the interest rate pause to updated inflation and unemployment forecasts, here’s what you need to know.
Access our…
A piece of our track record. On May 19, we wrote: "For now, optimism reigns, but we anticipate a few weeks of weakness before the next leg."
A quick look at our track record should make the value of Bitcoin Intelligence apparent.
The only directional BTC research that also gets it right!
Bitcoin Intelligence Report, May 19: https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
A quick look at our track record should make the value of Bitcoin Intelligence apparent.
The only directional BTC research that also gets it right!
Bitcoin Intelligence Report, May 19: https://bi.21stcapital.com/blog/i-need-to-catch-my-breath
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Bitcoin Intelligence Report 18 is out!
Just emailed to subscribers. And, I think this is our best work so far!
The fundamentals we were looking for are finally here!
We cover the arrival of full-stack stimulus:
- Trump’s push for 1% rates,
- Treasury’s stealth QE through curtailed long-term issuance,
- Aggressive fiscal expansion via the Big Beautiful Bill.
- A stablecoin bill adds structural Treasury demand.
- Onchain, Bitcoin shows resilience at key cost basis levels despite persistent profit-taking.
- Perp markets remain cautious but poised.
- With liquidity expanding, policy aligned, and Bitcoin supply capped, the stage is set for a breakout.
The setup is calling us to lean in!
Access here: https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/full-stack-stimulus
Just emailed to subscribers. And, I think this is our best work so far!
The fundamentals we were looking for are finally here!
We cover the arrival of full-stack stimulus:
- Trump’s push for 1% rates,
- Treasury’s stealth QE through curtailed long-term issuance,
- Aggressive fiscal expansion via the Big Beautiful Bill.
- A stablecoin bill adds structural Treasury demand.
- Onchain, Bitcoin shows resilience at key cost basis levels despite persistent profit-taking.
- Perp markets remain cautious but poised.
- With liquidity expanding, policy aligned, and Bitcoin supply capped, the stage is set for a breakout.
The setup is calling us to lean in!
Access here: https://account.21stcapital.com/blog/full-stack-stimulus
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Bitcoin Intelligence Report 20
Above the Clouds: Post-Rally Outlook
Bitcoin has broken out to new all-time highs, fueled by strong spot demand and institutional inflows. On-chain metrics show momentum is rising, but profit-taking remains moderate, suggesting room for further upside. Valuation models confirm Bitcoin is now in the acceleration zone, with targets as high as $200K. Short-term risk stems from the Treasury’s liquidity drain via the TGA refill, which could create volatility. Still, the long-term thesis remains intact. This is a rally with more to run.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blogs
Above the Clouds: Post-Rally Outlook
Bitcoin has broken out to new all-time highs, fueled by strong spot demand and institutional inflows. On-chain metrics show momentum is rising, but profit-taking remains moderate, suggesting room for further upside. Valuation models confirm Bitcoin is now in the acceleration zone, with targets as high as $200K. Short-term risk stems from the Treasury’s liquidity drain via the TGA refill, which could create volatility. Still, the long-term thesis remains intact. This is a rally with more to run.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blogs
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Bitcoin Intelligence Report 21 is Published!
Bitcoin: The Clearest Beneficiary of the New Fiscal Era
This issue maps the unfolding macro and on-chain story behind Bitcoin’s breakout.
Global spending is about to surge, bonds are breaking, and liquidity is migrating to digital assets.
The GENIUS Act marks a regulatory turning point, institutions are devouring coins, and it will only accelerate with the potential unlocking of the $9T retirement market.
Despite new all-time highs, risk models show Bitcoin remains far from overheated.
With the Fed cornered, fiscal firehoses open, and the digital dollar system taking shape, Bitcoin is emerging as the clearest beneficiary of this new regime.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blogs
Bitcoin: The Clearest Beneficiary of the New Fiscal Era
This issue maps the unfolding macro and on-chain story behind Bitcoin’s breakout.
Global spending is about to surge, bonds are breaking, and liquidity is migrating to digital assets.
The GENIUS Act marks a regulatory turning point, institutions are devouring coins, and it will only accelerate with the potential unlocking of the $9T retirement market.
Despite new all-time highs, risk models show Bitcoin remains far from overheated.
With the Fed cornered, fiscal firehoses open, and the digital dollar system taking shape, Bitcoin is emerging as the clearest beneficiary of this new regime.
https://bi.21stcapital.com/blogs
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Bitcoin Intelligence Report 23 is Published!
Air Gapped: How the Narrative Collapsed in Days
Markets just witnessed one of the sharpest narrative shifts of the cycle.
GDP headlines masked weak underlying growth, payrolls collapsed to the weakest levels since 2020, and consumer spending is slowing.
Truflation data points to cooling inflation, yet Powell refused to cut, leaving the Fed cornered.
Bitcoin dropped into the $112K “Air Gap” before bouncing, but ETF outflows, fading short-term holder profits, and weak new investor liquidity highlight fragility. Still, U.S. fiscal maneuvers and Chinese stimulus confirm liquidity tailwinds remain intact for risk assets.
Subnoscription Link
Air Gapped: How the Narrative Collapsed in Days
Markets just witnessed one of the sharpest narrative shifts of the cycle.
GDP headlines masked weak underlying growth, payrolls collapsed to the weakest levels since 2020, and consumer spending is slowing.
Truflation data points to cooling inflation, yet Powell refused to cut, leaving the Fed cornered.
Bitcoin dropped into the $112K “Air Gap” before bouncing, but ETF outflows, fading short-term holder profits, and weak new investor liquidity highlight fragility. Still, U.S. fiscal maneuvers and Chinese stimulus confirm liquidity tailwinds remain intact for risk assets.
Subnoscription Link