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Crowd Ctrl
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Watch me yell into the void about stuff too egregious to post on Twitter.

Chat ⤻ t.me/thectrlroom
Telegram ⤻ @ctrl_freak
Twitter ⤻ @maybectrlfreak
Download Telegram
rEMEShH9JMJixvouzRXYEoXqN3UhFfxBx3Xt4v1BUv4 is fucking teleporting upwards out of nowhere so I just aped

Looks like a possible revival. High risk.
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Again, if you're not in the t.me/thectrlroom discussion channel you're missing out.

If you bought this when we were degening you're up 30x now.
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I'm going to provide a very rough analysis on a token I literally just discovered and am researching as we speak called Whirl

$WHIRL

Analysis

Put simply, Whirl is a dApp for anonymous transactions. It's core USP is privacy / anonymity when moving funds. Their product intends to allow users to move funds anonymously between multiple chains, in any desired amount, with a single transaction.

None of the above really matters. The USP is decent and useful in theory, but we're trading in the midst of a zeitgeist that has normalized launching "buy token now, use product later when we build it" utility tokens to the extreme and what you need to know about these projects is that they usually benefit seed round participants, private sale buyers, LBP buyers etc far more than people that actually buy the token on launch. Half the time the product never sees the light of day.

As a result, when I see on chain launches like this the majority of my analysis and due diligence revolves around the above and attempting to distinguish projects with legitimate potential and a material product from projects where seed investors will dump on me for 20x on day one.

As I said, I literally just found this token. But I've decided to keep my eye on it and punt 2 ETH in because of something I noticed while scanning their Twitter.

In the roadmap thread that was posted a few days prior to launch, Whirl mapped out a few next steps following TGE and what we can expect. What's interesting to me is that the timeline given for actual product rollout kicks off immediately post-TGE and seems to also detail MVP feature inclusion to some degree of specificity, making me think that perhaps the core functionality of this product will already be live and accessible at launch and that the devs actually have something ready to ship. This sounds like the bare minimum you'd expect but honestly recently so many things have launched that are 100% "coming soon" and that throw dates out at least a few weeks from TGE that this is surprising to me.

So here is my thesis in very simple terms.

I think there is a chance that people will price this token as a typical on-chain vaporware "product soon" launch that will nuke very hard and that the token will reprice as they ship rapidly because there is an actual product ready to ship that's further along than what most on chain launches have brought to the table in the past month or two. If this is the case, I would assume it means that the developers care about their project on a longer timescale which hopefully means that they've done a good job at establishing terms and curating a seed round cap table that isn't infested with certified dumpers. That's the bull thesis I am beginning to form.

I think there is also a chance that the above may not pan out smoothly, as well as a chance that even if it does perhaps investor terms are egregiously in favor of early investors and we end up seeing so much sell pressure that no matter what they ship we go down a bit before we go up at all. I don't really know, since I don't know who's backed this and what the terms were as of right now. That's the bear thesis I am beginning to form.

My takeaway at the end of the day is that this is at least worth keeping an eye on, especially if they end up seeing substantial adoption considering that revenue share is slated for the first week following launch. I punted 2 ETH at 0.20 to have exposure because I like to have exposure to new things in current market conditions. That does not mean you should to, but it's worth looking at in my opinion. Proceed with caution.

Links

Twitter

https://twitter.com/WhirlPrivacy

Website

https://whirlprivacy.io/

Telegram

https://news.1rj.ru/str/WhirlPortal

Chart

https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0x241119ed19043e432e2480ec93b5209ba178eb2d

Risk

8/10
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Crowd Ctrl
I'm going to provide a very rough analysis on a token I literally just discovered and am researching as we speak called Whirl $WHIRL Analysis Put simply, Whirl is a dApp for anonymous transactions. It's core USP is privacy / anonymity when moving funds.…
According to someone in t.me/thectrlroom vesting terms are a 5 month linear vest with a 1 month cliff.

For those of you that are unfamiliar this would mean that 0 tokens unlock for the first month, which would be very bullish on the above because my biggest tailrisk here was sell pressure from the successful seed round. This is a trade and not a long term conviction play, so I don't intend to hold my bags for a month without seeing profits. We're already up 2X and this is probably why because if there was no cliff we would see some big sells by now.

Reducing risk assessment here to 7/10.
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https://twitter.com/maybectrlfreak/status/1744806872907944301

I want to start easing into a conversation about a coin I've been chucking ETH at since last July/August

$RLB

Analysis

This is a very strong conviction play for me and a trade that unlike many I have never doubted or second guessed. I've been in RLB since $0.07 (Prior to new tokenomic model and bear market hype) with size, averaging up to probably over $0.13 at this point.

It's honestly hard for me to even write an analysis about $RLB because I've written about this token at length to such an extent over the past several months that I don't think I'd capture every point in one message here without making it obnoxiously long so I'll start by saying that my general thesis is that this coin is tremendously undervalued, it is coiled up like a tight spring, and it is destined for a disgustingly hated rally that could make even $1 price targets seem conservative.

Rollbit makes money hand over first and captures both the online casino demographic as well as substantial volume and revenue via it's futures trading platform. It's sportsbook does serious volume too, and it's revamping it entirely any day now which will certainly boost stats even further in terms of sportsbet revenue.

I'll give you the short version. The RLB buyback & burn that everyone knows about by now is currently a buffer. It makes the immense amount of sell pressure from impatient hands that bought the hype as well as people up hundreds of Xs from TGE feel more like a slow grind than an aggressive dump. When that same buyback & burn turns into a tailwind this coin can run like mad, which I am convinced it will because it is undervalued as fuck.

It has meaningful utility, amazing value capture that is aligned with the best interests of the actual business as it correlates directly to revenue, and it is hyperdeflationary at this point. 0.1% of supply was burnt in a single day alone last week.

Rollbit is literally in the top 5 for daily gross revenue. And that's only now that volume on things like Uniswap have picked up a ton. During the bear, I remember a point where it was literally #2 across revenue generating protocols / products in crypto. #1 was literally the Ethereum network lmfao.

I could give you a million reasons why this coin will be a kingmaker and could randomly explode on any given day for it's pre-ordained teleportation to 0.50+ but there's plenty in my Tweet history and all over the internet already as is. Perhaps this thread I wrote a good while back is a start:

https://twitter.com/maybectrlfreak/status/1704408681880682756

I get excited when I remember that I hold a massive bag of RLB and it's still quietly going sideways and burning supply every single hour. I'm so comfy it's insane. Today it spiked up to monthly highs and I figured I'd post this because it might mean we'll see some movement soon, in which case it's a good time to share. And if it doesn't move I'll be buying some more, which also makes it a good time to share.

I'm pretty schizophrenically bullish on this coin.


Links

Twitter

https://twitter.com/rollbitcom

Website

https://rollbit.com/

Discord

https://discord.com/invite/Mwx3zqH

Chart

https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0x510100d5143e011db24e2aa38abe85d73d5b2177

Risk

7/10
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I've been researching this airdrop / farming opportunity for the past hour and I think there's a high chance you can do quite well on it if you get started this early. It's extremely early.

Category: Airdrops

BounceBit

Analysis

I think this might be an opportunity to get into a passive airdrop farming opportunity like Manta / Blast very early with potential for high returns.

BounceBit is a BTC staking chain designed for Bitcoin and backed by Breyer Capital, Binance Custody(CEFFU) and Mainnet Capital.

It features a unique dual-token staking system enabled by PoS that pairs native BTC security with full EVM compatibility.

Basically, validators are selected from stakeholders who stake either BTC or their upcoming BounceBit token. BounceBit's token has already been confirmed and appears to be promising utility via both revenue distribution and governance.

Now let's talk about why I think this airdrop might print.

It's worth noting that this will be a first mover as it's the first BTC native staking chain. This fits quite well within the continuously expanding narrative / trend cycle of projects developing X or Y common EVM application but for BTC. Personally I think this fixation is silly, but that doesn't matter. What matters is that it's a trend and pretending that BTC is EVM is hot right now.

Moving onto the interesting part of the thesis, let's focus on Bounce Launchpad.

Bounce is already quite known thanks to $AUCTION, Multibit / MUBI, and SatoshiVM. What these things have in common is that they printed and it's no surprise that Bounce is running this hot considering it's pretty known at this point that they're fairly auxiliary to the "Binance Cartel" and Bounce itself has some hot backers including Binance Labs, CB Ventures, Pantera and the like.

In short, it's been pumping out some printers and this seems to be the next in a long line of random excuses to launch tokens to pump.

That's pretty much all it takes to sell me on a passive opportunity for what might be a fat airdrop. With Blast, people who decided to farm by depositing Blur did best by getting in early thanks to their multiplier mechanic. With Manta, generally most people got in too late to see sizeable rewards and people in early did much better. This is basically next in line in the "please deposit money and farm this" niche, and I'm serving it to you on day 1. Similar to the above the mechanics of this one also heavily favor those that got in early, so getting a head start on this now is probably wise and I'm already set up and farming.

You'll need an invite to join, so I'll include some below. Full disclosure that these are also reflinks that benefit me if you deposit 0.1 BTC/WBTC or more, but I'm pretty sure you benefit off my deposits as well and I'll be adding to this. I'm quite optimistic that this will be worth our time and would recommend depositing at least 0.1 BTC to get a spin for point bonuses.

There are a few options to deposit, but I would recommend WBTC via Metamask as the easiest. It's just wrapped BTC on eth chain, and you can use Uniswap or whatever you prefer to swap ETH without having to actually have anything on BTC chain. Funds will be locked until at least April if you choose to deposit but our funds are safe. Same deal as Blast / Manta.

Please do not waste these if you aren't actually going to farm.
If you had $AUCTION, use that wallet. I think you get a bonus.

Some codes you can use.

https://bouncebit.io?code=4406B
https://bouncebit.io?code=I6W18
https://bouncebit.io?code=0ZPBP
https://bouncebit.io?code=8JEZX
https://bouncebit.io?code=H5BK7
https://bouncebit.io?code=ICRK9
https://bouncebit.io?code=P4SY0
https://bouncebit.io?code=C1UD8
https://bouncebit.io?code=1G9MR
https://bouncebit.io?code=J82LM
https://bouncebit.io?code=XT1VM
https://bouncebit.io?code=UZ4O6

If these are gone and anyone needs one and is actually going to farm, DM me and I'll hook you up. Trying not to dump all of mine here and waste them on people that'll insta claim and do nothing.

Links

Twitter

https://twitter.com/bounce_bit

Risk

2/10
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Crowd Ctrl pinned «I've been researching this airdrop / farming opportunity for the past hour and I think there's a high chance you can do quite well on it if you get started this early. It's extremely early. Category: Airdrops BounceBit Analysis I think this might be an…»
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Crowd Ctrl
I've been researching this airdrop / farming opportunity for the past hour and I think there's a high chance you can do quite well on it if you get started this early. It's extremely early. Category: Airdrops BounceBit Analysis I think this might be an…
Woke up to a bunch of DMs saying all the codes got used so added a new batch here.

This was posted at like 1,000 users and <20M TVL, looks like TVL doubled and users are up to nearly 4,000 overnight. From what I've been seeing it seems like we got in super early and TVL is headed much much higher, think we'll do pretty well on this 💫
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I just want to say this officially regarding the t.me/thectrlroom gc since I've said it in chat a few times and people still seem to ignore and I don't want to have to ban anybody.

We have no official rules. You need to use common sense.

I know who's active and genuinely trying to contribute, and who literally never talks here unless they're going gc to gc looking for exit liquidity.

If you are the former, feel free to share shit you ape that you think you're early to if you're trying to help the homies win.

If you are the latter and I see you post a random ca or shill absolute dogshit at the pico top with no chat history, I will ban you because we don't do that here.

Please use your brain to distinguish between the two. If someone like @CashMonkey444 or @smolzooomer posts "alpha" you can probably assume that they're trying to share value, they're active all the time. If GemFinder591823 posts some random ca and says "send it" tell them to fuck off. Don't get played.
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Your daily reminder that we keep safe, sophisticated alpha for the channel and we cook a lot of shitcoin degen plays in t.me/thectrlroom so you're missing out if you aren't in the discussion group.

@yanniksood called this play within 20 minutes of launch and we're up bigly. Proud of the community we're forming.
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Wasn't going to post here because it's a low cap shitcoin but if you missed the $BALENCI call in general chat now is actually a decent time for me to be pinging since a few large holders just jeeted the fuck out of the chart and buy volume is still nice.

Might see a nice bounce, 2x from here if it retests ATH. Lots of good channels and traders seem to be supporting heavily still so I'm scooping some on the dip for a swing.

7kFdu4Ndn2FDqghuePs3mpg8SU6WG6aJ396cHicUssFK
Some brief bullet point thoughts on a few tokens called prior or discussed in thectrlroom chat group. Basically market updates on stuff I'm watching.

$RSC
Noticing that this has been grinding up very slowly every since my post, I don't want to read too deeply into that because it very well may just be exposure from this group trickling down since not many people have talked about this coin, but I've noticed a few one off buys from HNW wallets so it's possible that something is indeed cooking.

$WHIRL
Very unfortunate Black Swan today that sent it down from nearly 0.4 to 0.08. I did not cover it in the channel since I woke up at like 7 PM but I did buy the bottom with another 1E and suggested it in the general chat for a few people that were asking for my take. Looks like that was the right call, it's slowly grinding back up and personally I think the dev's response is plausible and the product does seem to be functional so hoping for a full turnaround. Still some risk here considering the bad PR but if it does retain momentum I think we see new ATHs considering they shipped the product and FUD totally negated what should have been a run up to new highs.

$RLB
Not much to update on, started coming back to life which is great. That's about it. Waiting for the inevitable face melting rally as per usual.

$BOUNCEBIT (Future airdrop)
This is the airdrop I posted about. 100% was spot on with us being early to a cook after doing more research today. TVL now over 30M, users grinding up past 5K, seeing more smart money start to try to shill me their reflink lol. We got in early. Good shit.

$VEC
Chart looks amazing. Price is great. Still currently my favorite bag / conviction play in the near term.

$MND
Never called this but we talked about it in general chat. This coin has been bottomed for a long time now and most people forgot about it while devs have actually been shipping. Been buying recently and today a lot of smart money wallets bought in and the coin is spiking in mcap and volume. Imo anticipate a big move here, either to reclaim a much higher mcap or to see confirmation that coin is dead regardless of news and grind down to 0. Imo R/R is good I'm a buyer at these levels.

Shitcoin recap:
Community members cooked like crazy in t.me/thectrlroom today. Really proud to see quality alpha outside of my own posts instead of you guys fighting each other for exit liquidity. Some shoutouts.

@yanniksood gave us $BALENCI at 100k, topped at 800k.
@predictiveprogram gave us (blank name lol) at 31k, topped at around 160k
@smolzooomer gave us $SILKROAD at like 240k, currently at 1M+

Will post some new analysis soon on a few other coins like RSC and RLB (coins I've already been holding with size but that haven't popped yet that I'm convicted in) as well as some other stuff I think you should be farming like BounceBit. Trying to trickle info slowly because I don't want to encourage people to overdiversify and lose focus. Lots of opportunity in the market right now though.

Let me know if I missed anything or you have any questions <3
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If anyone is interested in having $JUP sniped on launch for them tomorrow contact me. Serious inquiries only. 50 SOL minimum contribution and 50 SOL increments only so that organization isn't a mess. You get your initial back + 50% of profits, the other 50% goes to the friend doing me this favor who is a very successful botter that runs size on big launches.

1000 SOL filled so far, capping this at 10000 SOL if we reach it. Anything more and it's a liquidity issue.
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Got about 5000 SOL so far committed

Will close at 10000 SOL or at 8:30 (2 hours from now)
Closed - all 10,000 SOL filled. Don't send any more SOL.
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Forwarded from Operation Jupiter
I'm very regretfully announcing that in light of these new developments and the added uncertainty that it's presented, after consulting a few people that I trust to advise on the matter I don't feel comfortable with the variance in the opinions I've gotten and even though I think there's a solid chance this all might have worked out and that snipers will eat, my promise was that there would be no risk aside from a potential refund and I feel that new risk vectors have potentially been introduced that we simply do not have the time to reconcile at all.

I'm going to be refunding everybody that contributed effective immediately, starting with the largest contributors and working my way down to people that sent minimum deposits.

You will all be contacted directly to confirm a recipient address. USDC will be used to buy back SOL and any difference in our balance will be made up by myself to ensure that everyone receives 100% of their funds.

If this impacted your ability to participate manually because you committed your liquidity here, I'm sorry for the inconvenience but my #1 priority is protecting investor funds here.

Good chance I'll regret this but not going to take risks that nobody signed up for.
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Forwarded from Operation Jupiter
Everybody that's sent a recipient address to me via DM has received a full refund. Appreciate your patience.

Those of you that haven't, I presume you're probably asleep but as soon as I get a recipient address from you I'll process your refund immediately if I'm still online. If I fall asleep before I receive an address from you I'll send funds as soon as I'm awake.

We'll hit the next one. Last minute launch changes threw things off and while I'm usually very good with adapting in these situations it's a very different story with external funds.

I think in the future what I'll do is set more concrete terms that are a bit less risk averse and allow the people willing to risk capital / trust me to do whatever is best to have that option because had we done that we would have printed but I didn't want to risk other people's funds on a last minute plan so we missed the opportunity.

When we saw the post we moved quickly and formed a new plan with the thesis that price wouldn't move much in the first 3 minutes anyways because the site would be fried, and we'd still hit around .45 by the time 3 minutes had passed. We also had an alternative to attempt to get some buys through at the bottom during those first 3 minutes. Ultimately I decided we couldn't take this approach because there wasn't enough time to inform people and ask if they'd still like to participate with revised plans and I had promised all of you that the outcome would either be buying in the first pool or getting a full refund, so I felt calling it off was best for the sake of honoring that and not risking 7 figures on a subjective risk assessment. That being said had we done this we would have already been up nearly 2X on a $1,000,000 position so I do think in the future I'll set some looser risk parameters to allow for us to adapt if needed without me feeling like I'm doing something wrong lol.

Appreciate you all for your trust. Shocked we raised $1M in under 2 hours at 5 in the morning, but now that I know that there's interest I look forward to bringing you guys more opportunities and hitting the next one.
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