Crypto Mumbles – Telegram
Crypto Mumbles
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things I mumble to myself about crypto

basically my transparent crypto diary

education, analysis, and trades 🙂

Twitter: https://twitter.com/dpycm
Medium: https://medium.com/@dpycm
Lifemax (non-crypto): t.me/humblespace
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Forwarded from Wu Blockchain News
The suspected Virtuals Protocol official address: 0xBe…c126 withdrew 4 million VIRTUAL (worth about $16.28 million) from Virtuals Protocol: LP Wallet at 13:47-13:48 UTC+8 today, and then transferred 1 million VIRTUAL ($4.07 million) to Bybit Deposit. Since December, the suspected Virtuals Protocol official address: 0xBe…c126 has transferred about $62.56 million worth of VIRTUAL to CEX. — link
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Forwarded from Wu Blockchain News
The Usual protocol experienced a massive USD0 sell-off today triggered by a single whale’s trade on the secondary market, which raised doubts about the USD0 peg. USD0 briefly dipped to $0.99 before re-pegging to $1 within a few seconds, initially with some bps deviation due to constant sell-offs, and then re-pegging after a few hours. — link
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- while hype outperformance is over, doesn't mean hype eco cannot flourish or provide some potential plays
- underperforming in 2024 does not mean outperformance in 2025 -> this logic is very flawed like a gambler's fallacy
- looking forward to new ai winners in 2025. i don't plan to catch them early, i just need to catch with size (reduce losses)
- don't try to call the top on the hottest narrative of the cycle, just like how you don't try to short the strongest assets

its over when its over, you're right until you're wrong

just practice discipline in taking profits
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Crypto Mumbles
https://tangentventures.substack.com/p/2024-tangent-letter-to-team
1. Process over outcomes. Making one good call is luck. Focus on building a repeatable process that lets you keep getting lucky. This is what separates one-cycle wonders from winners. That means regular self-assessments, meticulous note-taking, and documenting processes so that others can learn or refine.

2. Maintain your confidence. People in authority don’t always know the answer. This is especially true for your “seniors” or anyone you deem as competent. Assert your views, take mistakes as part of the process and don’t let them discourage you.

3. Disagreement between smart people is alpha, embrace it. Value being proven wrong, and always bang the table if you feel strongly about something that others do not yet see. Independent thought drives investment outcomes, and disagreement is the basis of independent thought. Whenever there is a vehement disagreement, one side is usually right in a big way.

4. Pain + Reflection = Progress. When you make a mistake, do not attempt to hide it or explain it away. Mistakes are expected in a game where losing 49% of the time is still considered winning. When you make a mistake, make a habit of writing them down in Post Mortem logs so your team can learn as well.

5. Know your spikes, hone your edge. A strength in one context is almost always a weakness in another. Learn your spikes - personality traits, temperament, instincts, modes of reasoning - that are more useful in some situations than others.
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wow gm ai coins getting a really good pump
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i think a branch of ai with no lid rn is ai x gaming

this will be a very good subsector to trade with high potential as well

i have already positioned much earlier, but am looking for more rn
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Crypto Mumbles
i think a branch of ai with no lid rn is ai x gaming this will be a very good subsector to trade with high potential as well i have already positioned much earlier, but am looking for more rn
and ofc, that position is $farm

also creating new ath today on hl

as we lead up to phase 2 we see price slowly creeping up

then phase 3 full execution i wonder how it'll go
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virtual $5 ath, zerebro ath as well

its a good day
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i've also started buying some hfun

while i'm not fully confident that hfun will dominate when hyperevm is out, i think some exposure is still warranted

why i'm not confident:
1) hyperevm has a low barrier to entry for competitors to launch a pf, whereas hfun's edge is in the L1
2) loracle is a one-man team to my knowledge and hence ship times are not fast nor perfect -> even rn hypurr is still buggy whether site or bot

there will be a gap on hyperevm launch for the fastest fingers to fill on deploying a pumpfun equivalent and don't even talk about tg bots because current winners like bananagun can simply bridge over yet another evm and provide service

so if you lose the tg bot side, while being unable to execute well on the platform, then what do you really have to offer other than hypurr on L1?

if that's the case, then its a topic for another day regarding hypurr on L1 and sustaining valuations

we've yet to consider whether hyperevm will be as successful as projected as well
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Crypto Mumbles
i will be a net seller in 2025
this is the endgame where 80% of the gains come from

you will make big money if you hold, yes

but its exactly that mentality that kills most eventually, because the way to lose what you've made is also to hold

hold for higher, hold through drawdowns until the drawdowns eventually become permanent

be able to discern when its time to sell

remember: net seller in 2025
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probably a good time to start hitting the ai trenches given how hot things are

started dabbling again yesterday
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i would hate it if these three assets local top here
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i feel like this time it works more of an accelerant tho not immediately

just feel that q1 seasonality + the biggest narrative of the cycle + leaders of said narrative

feels like dynamite to me, so i really don't expect to see fartcoin pa post binance perps listing

to me, fartcoin is after all a trad meme no matter how you sell it
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