Crypto Mumbles – Telegram
Crypto Mumbles
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things I mumble to myself about crypto

basically my transparent crypto diary

education, analysis, and trades 🙂

Twitter: https://twitter.com/dpycm
Medium: https://medium.com/@dpycm
Lifemax (non-crypto): t.me/humblespace
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I started performing much better when I just traded momentum and strength as opposed to trying to predict future market rotations.

I used to always think ‘what’s next’ ‘what narrative can take off soon’ and try to position early. Now instead I focus on wherever has the clearest asymmetric returns.

People talking about ai cooling off. They’ve been saying this since October when the meta really took off. People said it in November. People said it in December. People are saying it now. People said it after goat, fartcoin and gnon ran big. Then came Ai16z. Then Zerebro, then arc. You get the picture.

I will keep playing ai until the market tells me there’s better returns elsewhere. I don’t mind losing on some of the last bets in this meta and switching later because switching too early and missing the runners we see right now is more costly.

In the last week alone there’s been 20+ ai plays on Sol running from sub 5mil to 30mil plus. Few plays have still run from sub 5mil to 50mil plus in the last two weeks. As long as returns like this are on offer I will not be switching my focus and attention.

At all times, I want to be 100% focused on where the most asymmetric returns are and I will let the market tell me when that time is, as opposed to trying to outsmart the market.


https://x.com/crypticd22/status/1875511119197909422
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Crypto Mumbles
reversion at best, but ill stick to what i believe in

will not try to catch every rotation, keeping it simple
keep it simple

just focus on what you think has the clearest asymmetric returns
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Crypto Mumbles
its over when its over, you're right until you're wrong
its over when its over, you're right until you're wrong
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Crypto Mumbles
ego check
i do feel like introspectiveness is very rare these days, especially in ct

probably a byproduct of making big money or a huge following that makes oneself feel immediately superior to others

i guess it happens in a space where money comes relatively 'easier'

many immediately absolve themselves of blame when things happen without spending some time mulling it over (whether intentional or not)

i've realised most things in life go two-ways whether the majority of the fault lies with you or the other

no smoke without fire or 无风不起浪

being able to recognise one's part or fault and taking responsibility for it no matter how big or small is a good stamp of character that signals maturity (at least it is to me)

i've probably seen way too many occurrences

just felt that this is really important in life esp outside crypto for one's character development and is something that i am constantly working on too cause sometimes things can be so frustrating

zen
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funny, because i've actually seen people that lean on wealth to make up for their fragile ego or brittle self-esteem

i believe more prevalent on social media where influencers lean on following and attention, which also leads them to believe that they are superior

classic fame/money getting to your head

conversely i also know of successful folks that remain humble, open-minded, and lowkey, which is the goal for me

because after awhile you'll realise no one really cares about the jenga tower you're leaning on
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Forwarded from Crypto Narratives
The main AI agent related coins have been underperforming since their top 3 days ago

If you believe this narrative remains hot, then you can accumulate them during their dip right now, especially if you've been sidelined so far
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Crypto Mumbles
heading into 2025: end game, keeping things very simple i'm only keen on AI and hyperliquid eco majority of pf will be just riding leaders and i will allocate 10% to small caps upon reaching cycle goal, i will likely be cashing out 90% and running with…
have to be away for 2 weeks, so will be slightly more inactive

the gameplan remains simple (at least imo) (refer to replied post)

try not to overcomplicate things and rotate everywhere timing tops & bottoms
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