won't rule out gen 2 ai leaders taking over
non zero chance, will keep track when i can
non zero chance, will keep track when i can
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roundtripped a huge upnl on zerebro unfortunately
a mistake to reflect on
will trim and allocate to stronger projects, while still holding a smaller bag cause i like jeffy
a mistake to reflect on
will trim and allocate to stronger projects, while still holding a smaller bag cause i like jeffy
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punted $masco, looks like a first mover in ai security
seems like it has found a floor and its pretty overlooked
hoping for an opportunity here on a new subsector
r/r seems great at current levels for a small bag
seems like it has found a floor and its pretty overlooked
hoping for an opportunity here on a new subsector
r/r seems great at current levels for a small bag
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anyw, will only be back at desk proper next week onwards so for now im not checking markets much
probably the best thing to do rn
probably the best thing to do rn
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farm flipped vapor
hfun flipped purr
can't help but have certain expectations for farm now
hfun flipped purr
can't help but have certain expectations for farm now
👍11
Forwarded from QCP Broadcast
QCP Asia Colour – 14 January 25
The global market has caught up with the recalibration of the Fed rate cut outlook. The 10Y yield surged to 4.8%, its highest since late 2023, with markets now pricing no rate cuts until October. Equities futures opened 1.5% lower, sending Bitcoin below $90k before a steady recovery to above $95k.
What’s Next?
Key PPI and CPI data are on the horizon. We think potential surprises could come on the upside, as markets begin to adjust to the reality of a prolonged higher-rate environment, with some even entertaining the possibility of a rate hike.
The momentum in rising yields could test financial market resilience. In crypto, cautious sentiment is evident in BTC options flows, with puts rolled below the key $90k support. Front-end vols and flies remain elevated, while the VIX stays high at 18.68 - suggesting volatility to persist through January.
Still, there’s hope for a catalyst. Reports suggest Trump may sign executive orders on day one, addressing “de-banking” and repealing a contentious crypto accounting policy, which could provide a boost to the market.
The global market has caught up with the recalibration of the Fed rate cut outlook. The 10Y yield surged to 4.8%, its highest since late 2023, with markets now pricing no rate cuts until October. Equities futures opened 1.5% lower, sending Bitcoin below $90k before a steady recovery to above $95k.
What’s Next?
Key PPI and CPI data are on the horizon. We think potential surprises could come on the upside, as markets begin to adjust to the reality of a prolonged higher-rate environment, with some even entertaining the possibility of a rate hike.
The momentum in rising yields could test financial market resilience. In crypto, cautious sentiment is evident in BTC options flows, with puts rolled below the key $90k support. Front-end vols and flies remain elevated, while the VIX stays high at 18.68 - suggesting volatility to persist through January.
Still, there’s hope for a catalyst. Reports suggest Trump may sign executive orders on day one, addressing “de-banking” and repealing a contentious crypto accounting policy, which could provide a boost to the market.
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Forwarded from Walter Bloomberg
*US DEC. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US DEC. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 3.3% Y/Y; EST. +3.4%
*US DEC. CORE PPI UNCHANGED M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US DEC. CORE PPI RISES 3.5% Y/Y; EST. +3.8%
(@WalterBloomberg)
*US DEC. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 3.3% Y/Y; EST. +3.4%
*US DEC. CORE PPI UNCHANGED M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US DEC. CORE PPI RISES 3.5% Y/Y; EST. +3.8%
(@WalterBloomberg)
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reduced my book, because i feel like i run better w a smaller book
also feel like i need to spend some time to familiarise myself with the intermediate steps before moving to the advanced levels
gotta grow my glass
largely because i feel a lot of real world absolute value of the numbers
an old article i wrote on what i'm talking about:
https://medium.com/@dpycm/the-glass-of-wealth-1140df3a8057
also feel like i need to spend some time to familiarise myself with the intermediate steps before moving to the advanced levels
gotta grow my glass
largely because i feel a lot of real world absolute value of the numbers
an old article i wrote on what i'm talking about:
https://medium.com/@dpycm/the-glass-of-wealth-1140df3a8057
Medium
The Glass of Wealth
How wealth depends on the glass holding it
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