FOMC RATE HIKE ESTIMATES

NOMURA - 25 BPS ( EXPECTS RATE CUT)

BARCLAYS 0 BPS
CREDIT SUISSE 0 BPS
GOLDMAN SACHS 0 BPS

BMO 25 BPS
CIBC 25 BPS
CITI 25 BPS
BLOOMBERG 25 BPS
JP MORGAN 25 BPS
GURGAVIN CAPITAL 25 BPS
MORGAN STANLEY 25 BPS
RBC 25 BPS

KPMG 50 BPS

blur reads

https://twitter.com/Saypien_/status/1625882642393489408?s=20

remember to check eligibility for $ARB drop!

I thought I wasn't but turns out I can claim some too

it's free $

https://arbitrum.foundation/

pretty wild guess here

but i'm looking for a pullback to $25k range

likely to be ranging in the days to come for consolidation before proper attempts to break $30k - $32k

unless... something major happens that immediately sends us above the psychological resistance

idt we'll break it on first try (but who knows its crypto and im a pleb)

FOMC would likely trigger the pull back here since the average returns post FOMC is -7%

thief estimates $ARB to be ~$1.74

https://twitter.com/TheModestThief/status/1636374758987300864?s=20

support local

https://medium.com/smu-blockchain-club/deep-dive-stargate-finance-65af43121857

#reads

"Meanwhile, given the possibility that the Fed will either hike and pause, or pause entirely, it’s worth remembering that the bulk of recession-associated bear markets in the stock market occurred after the Fed pivoted away from further rate hikes. A “pivot” typically reflects the Fed’s assessment that something just broke."

the article agrees w this video the point of exiting the melt up after fed starts to cut back i/r (aka pivot)

"What’s striking, though, is how little impact interest rate hikes themselves have in reducing inflation, except in economic environments that involve fear and risk-aversion – recession or banking crises. While rate hikes do tend to weaken housing, durable goods, and capital investment, the impact is typically not enough to reverse an inflationary trend.

Instead, when the Fed needs to respond to inflation, the function of tighter money and systematic policy is to send a signal that the Fed will defend the purchasing power of government liabilities by acting as a brake on their supply. That’s what Paul Volcker did in response to the late-1970’s inflation. He essentially said, look, we’re going to restrict the creation of money, in order to increase your confidence in it. The function of tighter money isn’t to crush the economy with high interest rates, but to restore public confidence that money will hold its purchasing power – by limiting its supply, and in turn, limiting the tendency of Congress to resort to debt finance."

a lot to take in but read if you have the time (~15mins)

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc230319/

an airdrop to consider hustling for

layer zero $ZRO

https://twitter.com/ardizor/status/1638148008888901632?s=52

will start building my shorts above $29k (if it happens) in anticipation for the pullback

🤡🤡🤡🤡

"Over 5 years ago, the CEO of Credit Suisse called Bitcoin a bubble. Since then, BTC is up 318% and Credit Suisse just sold for ~1/5 the size of Dogecoin."

https://coinmarketcap.com/alexandria/article/credit-suisse-called-bitcoin-a-'bubble'-in-2017.-now-it's-needed-a-bailout?fbclid=IwAR3iaNxphvLSUpcFsjbeEyw9Ri9XkDIJfNbA3yaCyLLvWx5OC5qJb7Iy3z0

$ARB airdrop and sell in a click

https://vxtwitter.com/basedcoiner/status/1638618428054597632

When searching for ARB directly on Uniswap, the fake ETH/ARB Pool is at the top. 0x64…9545 added a fake ETH/ARB Pool consisting of 400 WETH and more than 95 million fake ARBs on Arbitrum Uniswap V3. Users need to pay attention. H/T @levels_crypto