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Forwarded from Crowd Ctrl (ctrl)

I want to experiment with sharing general think pieces and investing insights in here. If you guys like them please let me know, if not I'll try to stick to analysis / calls and opportunities only.

A lot of us are probably too jaded from gripto influencers / pnl larps with brain damage to really take anyone seriously when they claim to be sharing genuine advice or insight but I'd like to help those of you that want to actually improve their performance. I'll start with this.

One piece of advice that I've noticed that 99% of you need after spending the past couple of days in the t.me/thectrlroom group chat is this. Do not take every profitable trade.

It seems like a no-brainer that you should be taking every profitable opportunity that presents itself, but this is one of the most common mistakes I see amongst traders and it has severe consequences. It feels more prevalent now than ever this cycle, so I think you could all use this reminder.

You are not a fucking index fund. If you have conviction in two potential trades, and you are certain that trade A will yield 300%+ returns and trade B will yield 200%+ returns, you do not go 50/50. You do not throw 90% into the former and 10% in the latter to have some exposure. You shove the stack into trade A and forget about trade B.

Too many of you fail to understand this and end up chasing every little thing that has a good thing going for it because you don't want anyone to make a dollar without you. And then you end up with 20 tokens in your portfolio at once, across multiple wallets, and it's so overwhelming and difficult to focus on your trading that you can't even keep up with all of them and you just end up sticking to the 3 you care the most about and letting the rest sit, never touching the ones that go down because maybe they'll go up eventually. And then you become a bagholder.

Sound familiar?

You need to not do that if you want to make it this cycle. You will see people win big on chains you've never used, altcoins you've never heard of, airdrops you don't qualify for, and technology you don't even understand. It does not fucking matter. Do not open 1000 tabs and fry your brain trying to understand hyperliquid quantum omnistaking while researching phygital mongolian NFTs and rehypothecated RWAs.

Your goal is not to hit 100% of the opportunities of this cycle. Your goal is to miss 90% of the opportunities because you were busy making sure that 10% of the bets that you took were right. You will make money if you are correct. Not if you are diversified.

The trading principle of risk-return tradeoff applies to even shitcoins just as much as it does to equities. All you should care about when comparing your adjacent options is risk-return ratio. Find opportunities with good R/R. Study them carefully and find the edge that improves your R/R. Take those bets.

If I find something that I believe has a risk-return ratio of 1:10 and you tell me that I should really get in $BONK because it's going to 2x I'm going to tell you to fuck off. Why the fuck would I put a single dollar into bonk that I could put into my winner.

Diversification is for people that are confused. The less confused you are, the less you'll hold at any given moment. Don't be diversified. Just be right and accept that if you're wrong you'll eat shit and try to improve your judgement before the next winner comes around.

Ctrl Room

Ctrl fan page for the millions of mentally ill ctrl fans around the world. It's all financial advice.

Channel ⤻ t.me/crowdctrl
Telegram ⤻ @ctrl_freak
Twitter ⤻ @maybectrlfreak

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