Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period

“Given that this ratio has now reached the yellow-box region, which was the bottom of the 2024 correction period, it seems likely that the current market will follow a similar path as the 2024 correction period.” – Read More

By Crypto Dan | @cryptoquant_official

Difference Between a Bear Cycle and a Typical Correction

“In the current market, it's more likely a typical correction than a full bear cycle. The previous price increase was relatively modest, indicating limited market overheating, which also suggests the downside risk may be contained.” – Read More

By Crypto Dan | @cryptoquant_official

Bitcoin's Realized Cap Hits Record High: What Is the Market Telling Us

“The rise in Realized Cap is a positive signal, showing increasing confidence in both the network and the asset, and suggesting that we may not have reached the top of the market cycle just yet.” – Read More

By Carmelo_Alemán | @cryptoquant_official

Bitcoin spot demand is still falling, but not as fast.

Demand momentum just hit its most negative level since Oct ’24.

Until both recover, sustained upside remains unlikely.

Explore our weekly report for all the details.

@cryptoquant_official

Important Whale Movements on Binance Exchange

“Bitcoin is rising, and as shown by the red circles on the chart, each time there is an increase, there is a buying pressure from whales on the Binance exchange.” – Read More 

By Crypto Dan | @cryptoquant_official

Bitcoin's Decoupling Cycle

“Correlation with the S&P 500 reached 0.88 in late 2024, while it now has dropped to 0.77. The correlation with Nasdaq Composite has been reduced from January's 0.91 to the current 0.83.” – Read More 

By oinonen_t | @cryptoquant_official

Apparent Demand Indicator: Bitcoin Buying Interest Rebounds Sharply

“A strong bounce from extreme negative values (below -200K BTC) suggests that previously dormant capital is rotating back in.” – Read More 

By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official

Bitcoin Supply in Profit Approaching a Historic Euphoria Threshold

“Historically, when the supply in profit surpassed the 90% threshold, it consistently triggered euphoric phases and we are now approaching that level” – Read More 

By DarkFost | @cryptoquant_official

New All-Time Highs in Bitcoin's Realized Capitalization

“Historically, large accumulations of Realized Capitalization have been mostly followed by considerable price increases in Bitcoin.” – Read More 

By Carmelo_Alemán | @cryptoquant_official

Bitcoin is warming up: Three scenarios that could shape the next rally

“As of today, the on-chain momentum is in the "start" rally zone (Ratio ≈ 0.8 / 80%). Let's examine three scenarios for the next six months:

1. Optimistic (Bull)

If the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds above it - the NUPL/MVRV metrics will show a new impulse and the price could reach $150-175K, repeating the cycle logic of 2017 and 2021.

2. Base Case (Consolidation)

If the Ratio remains in the 0.8-1.0 range, the market will stay in a wide corridor of $90-110K: participants maintain positions but don't increase exposure.

3. Pessimistic (Correction)

If the Ratio drops to 0.75+, short-term holders will begin to take profits, and the price could correct to $70-85K. Considering that a correction has already occurred, the first two scenarios are more likely.” – Read More 

By AxelAdlerJr | @cryptoquant_official

25,177 BTC Moved from Binance Wallets: Real Outflow or Internal Transfer?

“Binance moved 25,177 BTC from one of their wallets. While the size of the transaction raised questions, all evidence suggests this was an internal movement, not a user withdrawal.” – Read More

By Maartunn | @cryptoquant_official