$BTC macro-cycles:

2015–2017 bull: 12 Jan ’15 -> 11 Dec ’17 (1064 days)
2017–2018 bear: 11 Dec ’17 -> 10 Dec ’18 (364 days)

2018–2021 bull: 10 Dec ’18 -> 8 Nov ’21 (1064 days)
2021–2022 bear: 8 Nov ’21 -> 7 Nov ’22 (364 days)

2022–2025 bull: 7 Nov ’22 -> 6 Oct ’25 (1064 days)

Hope history won't repeat this time...

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1976341269921296653

I hope you listened

We’re entering bull market’s most dangerous yet rewarding stage:

Some will make millions from $0 in weeks
Many will lose years of gains overnight

I’m at $7M now. But last cycle I went $130k down to $8k by playing it wrong.

Here's how to play it right 🧵👇

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1978928359536054439

Haven’t posted a thread in a while. Show some love if you’ve been waiting - I’ll start dropping more

- 3 days
- +240%

I hope you listened

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1981861739500364152

Biggest mistakes buying alts rn:

1: Trying to catch the exact bottom (you’ll miss it)
2: Going in too heavy at once - you’ll either get shaken out on the next dip or sell breakeven later because the size feels too big to hold through fear of another dump

The only right way:

DCAing every dip with a smol/mid (=comfortable) size.

1: you’ll build a position for sure without missing a bottom
2: you won’t get shaken out by overleverage
3: if that isn't just a "quick correction" and the market nukes lower - you’ll still survive.

This isn’t my first cycle, and one thing I’ve learned for sure:

It doesn’t matter how big is your green PnL number on the screen - until it’s realized and withdrawn into real life, it’s not yours.

Crypto investing isn’t a sprint, it’s a marathon.

Winning short-term doesn’t mean you’ll win long-term - it doesn’t even mean you’ll make it to the finish line.

Even if you perfectly catch the bottom, go all in on alts, and make multiple Xs - it still doesn’t prove anything.

Because the next time you try the same move and the market doesn’t forgive, you’ll lose everything.

Every truly wealthy person I know in crypto plays ultra-conservative.

They under-risk, under-earn, and miss a ton of potential profits - but they always win long-term.

Because it doesn’t matter how many Xs you make if one mistake multiplies your portfolio by zero.

10k + twenty +20% trades (10k * (1.2)^20) = $383,376
10k ×100x ×0 = $0

That's the lesson

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1985396492073410695

Tried more 6 different crypto cards over the last month.

Tria is #1 in my opinion:

- 6% rewards on every purchase (the best cashback rate I’ve found)
- Worldwide ATMs
- Physical metal card

You’ll get extra rewards in the future via this link

Bought a bag of $LTC here.

Looks heavily undervalued vs other majors and it barely moved against $BTC.

It has no tech?

In crypto, price drives the narrative, not other way around.

$SOL at $8 was “useless”

Then they suddenly found “the tech” and it became “future of finance.”

When $PUMP was dumping, everyone also thought it was a piece of shit, even though there were already buybacks.

Then after it pumped - everyone started calling it the “future of finance” because “there are buybacks!” (same buybacks as at 3x lower fdv)

Ethereum at $1,500 was literally being compared to Nokia and sentenced to go to $0 - people said the tech was dead.

Then when it was already $3k - they suddenly “found the tech” and started calling it the “future of finance” - but the tech was exactly the same.

And Litecoin doesn’t pump this whole cycle exactly because everyone thinks there are no “tech” and that it’s just a “memecoin”.

I think with Litecoin, as another dino coin, they’ll soon “discover the tech”

My prediction is something like: insanely low FDV, fair distribution, all coins already on the market, cheap transactions - everything BTC has, just even better.

Most people have their stables doing nothing.

Everyone wants yield, but 5% APY isn’t worth the risk.

But in the right places, yield is still alive and oversized.

Here's how to earn <80% APY with minimal risk 👇🧵

https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/1994127217971085729

Here’s the quick strategy for 80% yield (if you are lazy to read a full thread):

1) edgeX eStrategy vault (eLP) – 200k

- Historically around 80% APY from fees, funding and liquidations
- On top you farm points that can realistically push total returns toward 150%+ APY if the token is priced well

Main risk: you are the counterparty to traders. In a bad scenario the vault can be liquidated and you lose the whole deposit. So this is risk capital, not a savings account.

How to enter:

Head over to: pro.edgex.exchange/referral/549563819 (free points via this link)
Deposit USDT/USDC → eStrategy → eLP vault → deposit
Keep in mind there is roughly a 48h cooldown on withdrawals.

2) StandX – DUSD

Mint DUSD from USDT/USDC
DUSD in Perps Wallet or vaults earns yield + points automatically

You stack:

- DUSD yield
- vault / market making fees
- points for the future StandX token

Built by ex-Binance Futures team, so my main focus here is points farming rather than base APY
Risks: DUSD or the StandX model can break (depeg, model failure, contract issues), so I size this more conservatively than spot stables but still meaningfully.

How to enter:

Head to standx.com/referral?code=cyclop
Deposit USDT/USDC → mint DUSD → move DUSD to Perps Wallet (and optionally into a vault for extra yield).

Simple idea: stop parking stables for 5% & allocate a sane slice into perp DEX liquidity (a bit higher risks, but 16x higher apy)