решил почитать дополнительно по моделям информационным каскадов, не зря же доклад делал
насколько же модели у экономистов и логиков отличаются, но сама интуиция по причинам возникновение этих каскадов схожа
насколько же модели у экономистов и логиков отличаются, но сама интуиция по причинам возникновение этих каскадов схожа
🤡1
By observing the epistemic decisions of the previous people in a sequence, an individual may rationally form an opinion about the information that the others might have, and this opinion may even come to outweigh her other (private) information, and thereby affect her epistemic decision. In this way, individuals in a sequence might be “rationally” led to ignore their own private evidence and to simply start following the crowd, whether the crowd is right or wrong. This is not mindless imitation, and it is not due to any irrational social-psychological influence (e.g. group pressure to conform, brainwashing, manipulation, mass hysteria etc). Rather, this is the result of rational inference based on partial information: it is not just a cascade, but an “informational” cascade.
The theoretical models (known as informational cascades or cascades) introduced in these papers propose the idea that when agents with imperfect information act in a sequence and observe the actions (not the private information) of predecessors, they may rationally suppress their private information and imitate the action of predecessors, thus initiating a cascade.
The theoretical models (known as informational cascades or cascades) introduced in these papers propose the idea that when agents with imperfect information act in a sequence and observe the actions (not the private information) of predecessors, they may rationally suppress their private information and imitate the action of predecessors, thus initiating a cascade.
In such contexts, a cascade can only be stopped by an external or “irrational” force, acting as deus ex machina: an“info-bomb”. This can be either an intervention from an outside agent (with different interests or different information that the agents engaged in the cascade), or a sudden burst of “irrationality” from one of the participating agents.
Вот по этой причине в группе людей, принимающих решения, всегда должен быть долбоеб, который может принять соответствующее хуевое решение
как же меня заебало что я не могу дать читать на занятии тексты на английском, хотя бы жижек второй раз подряд спасает (но и он не вечен)
The other episode concerns a younger philosopher; namely, A. J. Ayer.
His biographer reports that while sailing to Africa in 1943 to undertake a special-operations exercise Ayer undertook to reread Kant's Critique of Pure Reason, and, in the early stages of sunstroke, underwent a remarkable epiphany during which he understood for the first time the full force of Kant's argument.
Unfortunately, once he had recovered from his fever he was unable to regain the insight.
His biographer reports that while sailing to Africa in 1943 to undertake a special-operations exercise Ayer undertook to reread Kant's Critique of Pure Reason, and, in the early stages of sunstroke, underwent a remarkable epiphany during which he understood for the first time the full force of Kant's argument.
Unfortunately, once he had recovered from his fever he was unable to regain the insight.
Empty Name
сижу в зале на семинаре с Сильвером Бронцо, спасибо технологиям
Вот есть у нас SIlver Bronzo, реально шарит в предмете, часто публикуется в топовых журналах, весь курс продуман, подробные презентации, все организовано максимально качественно
Но в формуле оценивания не учитывается посещение семинаров, поэтому на них почти никто не ходит