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DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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Favorite part is where she spends half of the video talking about how stupid she was for allowing others tell her what to think,

But then one day it all fortunately changed when finally

…some dude told her what to think instead.

Literally the meme.

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But probably also true.

AI bails out FTX.
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No twitter stats guy more fails to do proper analysis

— that could properly detecting midwit curves that slope up at the extremes,

Instead of concluding that the curve slopes the OPPOSITE direction,

than midwit Crémieux over here.

Been meaning to point this out,

— Has anyone ever explicitly realized that the classic linear regression curves essentially ALWAYS get the slope exactly backward,

whenever there’s a midwit curve?

And as we know, midwit curves have habit of surprisingly showing up virtually everywhere there’s some controversial.

About time to rise up against the midwits, and their intentionally-flawed analysis procedures.
You know what — autist time.

Got here the original data from that famous 2021 vaccine acceptance midwit curve study.

Let’s get ChatGPT graph it, and I’ll show you exactly what I mean

— Perhaps the biggest type of lie used by the midwit science scammers today,

And AFAIK, a lie that no one has ever explicitly pointed out, yet.

So simple, so extreme, so unrecognized.

Vaccine acceptance study
DoomPosting
You know what — autist time. Got here the original data from that famous 2021 vaccine acceptance midwit curve study. Let’s get ChatGPT graph it, and I’ll show you exactly what I mean — Perhaps the biggest type of lie used by the midwit science scammers…
Continued: The Smarter people more likely to believe X lie

So, then we paste in the exact data from the study,

and then do the 2 types of simple analysis we’re wondering about here:

(1) Regular linear regression — I.e. what today’s social “scientists” use to answer questions of the form:

“The smarter you are, the more likely you agree/disagree with X.”

(2) Midwit-aware linear regression — A slightly modified linear regression you’d need to use, were life full of midwit curves, to answer questions of the form:

“Once you cross a sufficiently smart threshold, where the getting smarter won’t make you flip your answer again anymore — then the more you continue toward unboundedly-high smartness, the more you agree/disagree with X.”

Basically, in both cases, we’re looking for:

“Smarter people believe X”.

So then we have ChatGPT run this analysis on the real data from the study

…and…

WTF IS THIS.

LOOK HOW OPPOSITE THOSE LINES ARE.

EVEN WORSE THAN I IMAGINED.

THEY’RE GOING TOTALLY OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS. WOW.

There you go.

Most prevalent type of lie in social science today.

What just happened?

Will explain in the next post.

OpenAI Chat Log
So, what happened here?

Why does is usual regression analysis that social scientists use (red line) — saying:

SMARTER -> LESS HESITANT

When clearly, with this midwit curve, the smartest people believe the complete opposite, and the more extreme you go into smartness, once you cross the midwit peak, the more that, clearly:

SMARTER -> MORE HESITANT?

Answer in next post.