Pascal's Wager scam
Expected value is roughly
probability * value
Problem is, there’s zero cost for the scammer to claim the value to be arbitrarily high, easily overwhelming the probability half.
So for retards who arbitrily translate “low chance” into something like 1% chance — trivial for a scammer to overwhelm that just by claiming the thing has a gigantic payoff if true.
(This isn’t actually the name of the scam, and AFAIK it may not have any name coined for it, but very common statistical scam.)
Expected value is roughly
probability * value
Problem is, there’s zero cost for the scammer to claim the value to be arbitrarily high, easily overwhelming the probability half.
So for retards who arbitrily translate “low chance” into something like 1% chance — trivial for a scammer to overwhelm that just by claiming the thing has a gigantic payoff if true.
(This isn’t actually the name of the scam, and AFAIK it may not have any name coined for it, but very common statistical scam.)