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DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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If you thought for one moment that you could escape the ghetto by taking your family on a beautiful winter vacation to the Val Thorens ski resort in the French Alps, I regret to inform you that you were sadly mistaken

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Several drones operated by the cartels in Mexico breached American Airspace overnight near El Paso, with electronic-warfare measures being utilized by the U.S. Army at Fort Bliss to down the drones, resulting in this morning’s Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR) issued by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). “Mexican cartel drones breached U.S. airspace. The Dept. of War took action to disable the drones. The FAA and DOW have determined there is no threat to commercial travel,” an official with the White House told NewsNation

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BREAKING: The odds of another US government shutdown in 3 days surge to a new high of 75%, per Polymarket.

Government shutdowns are becoming a bi-weekly event.

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NOW – WHO's Tedros says U.S. senior officials have not given WHO any intelligence reports on the origins of COVID, "We haven't still concluded the COVID origins, and knowing what happened with COVID helps because knowing what happened could help us prevent the next one."

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Clashes broke out in the Turkish Parliament between CHP and AKP lawmakers as Akin Gürlek took his oath of office following his appointment to the Justice Ministry

CHP member Mahmut Tanal got a nose injury during the fight

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Russian 'Doomsday Radio' station shows anomalous activity

23 coded messages in a single day — an absolute record, according to internet users tracking the station

The latest transmission included the words 'Caucasus' and 'Pimply'

Should we expect something big?

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'It's clear from the Epstein files, Epstein hated Trump, Trump didn't like Epstein' — Vance

'Doesn't that actually mean something good?'

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BREAKING - Indonesia president to join first meeting of Trump 'Board of Peace'

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It’s this quote over and over. It’s the beating heart of the left. They don’t just want to dance in the mud, they want to make sure no one travels the stars

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The moderators of r/TransGuns have deleted the post from the Canadian school shooter

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TRUMP JUST POSTED THIS!!

“GREAT JOBS NUMBERS, FAR GREATER THAN EXPECTED”

“We should be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE”

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In Russia, a 17-year-old student opened fire inside a school building, killing a security guard. This is already the fifth attack in Russian schools since the beginning of the year.

Today in Anapa, a 17-year-old college student, Ilya O., entered his technical school with a shotgun and opened fire in the lobby, killing a security guard who “took the first hit” and prevented the attacker from moving further into the building. Two other people were injured, including one student, both in moderate condition.

The shooter was detained by Russia’s National Guard. Before the attack, he posted on social media: “There will be no innocent people today. Any scum that crosses my path will die.”

This marks the fifth armed attack on a school or college in Russia since the beginning of the year.

On January 22, a 13-year-old student in Nizhnekamsk brought a knife to Lyceum No. 37 and attacked a janitor, leaving her with slash wounds.

On February 3, a 14-year-old schoolgirl in Kodinsk, Krasnoyarsk region, stabbed a classmate while attempting to attack a teacher. The same day, a ninth-grader in Ufa opened fire with an airsoft rifle at a teacher and classmates. No one was seriously injured.

On February 4, an eighth-grade student in Krasnoyarsk School No. 153 attacked classmates with a hammer. Seven students were injured.

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Polymarket & Kalshi’s calibration curves over time

Perfectly along the horizontal line = essentially impossible to make money

Spikes in miscalibration in 2024 are from presidential election markets

— Bam, knew it

Presidential elections are essentially the only times when normies can ever hope to make good bets on today’s prediction markets

Generally, unless you have some very special edge, getting involved in prediction markets is a horrible idea

They’re just too well calibrated outside of some rare events

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We have to talk about the judge problem

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