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DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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Prediction markets now giving $BTC only a 66% chance of breaking $100k within the next 7 days

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DoomPosting
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Crypto guys, all the way back to Satoshi, have talked about the evils of mass money printing

But what does that inflationary money printing look like?

Bank bailouts?

Nope.

US 2008 bank bailouts were “only” ~$700 billion.

— But TENS OF TRILLIONS are being printed.

There’s a reason no one ever talks about this,

And the answer is right in the majority of Americans’ & Canadians’ & Australians’ homes:

~21 Trillion USD = size of entire M2 money supply

~22 Trillion USD = size of outstanding mortgage debt

= INFLATION IS OVERWHELMINGLY CAUSED BY BAD QUALITY HOUSING LOANS

= Hundreds of millions of “innocent” citizens are heavily implicatied in the mass money printing, as they too are greatly profiting from it

Pact between the devil that is inflationary money printing, and the hundreds of millions of citizens

Even worse, those who refuse to get onboard with this evil, are very likely to get wrecked and left behind

= BAD LOANS ARE THE SOURCE OF INFLATION, AND REGULAR PEOPLE ARE THE BIGGEST BENEFICIARIES

Now, if you’re looking closely, you’ll see that this definition of whether money printing is inflationary or not depends on the definition of “bad” loans — which is objectively clear in the extremes, but gets hazy in the middle.

One solution to this definition problem would be to define it in an implicit, market-based way

= saying that those who create loans can define it however they want, but those who had sufficiently bad definitions of “bad” loans later get removed from the pool of those who can loan, when loans they made sufficiently default, leaving only those who had some “good” definition of a good loan

— Ok that implicit market-based definition would in theory work… except when bailouts remove the risk of default, upending what made such an implicit market-based definition work in the first place

In any case,

(1) BAD LOANS (i.e. bad investments where the money comes from fractional reserves not existing) — are the overwhelming true source of the vast majority of inflationary money printing

(2) REGULAR INNOCENT CITIZENS are heavily implicated

(3) THIS CANNOT EASILY BE FIXED just by demanding governments or citizens behave morally — because governments or citizens who do so get quickly wrecked by governments or citizens who refuse to

— And only some entirely different solution, e.g. crypto, can escape this cycle

(Though as governments become more communist, less of the bad loan money goes to regular people, instead more going to the communist insider circle. Above ratios applying mostly to not-yet-entirely-communist governments.)

So who is getting most of that bad inflationary printed money today?

Gaze long enough into the abyss,

abyss gazes back at you

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DoomPosting
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Bad home loans are the source of tens of trillions of dollars being printed

But at the same time, those governments or people who refuse to play the game get wrecked by those who do

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DoomPosting
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US outstanding mortgage debt

= ~20 Trillion USD

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DoomPosting
Same crypto tradeooors who said they’re done trading until the cycle top now saying one more trade, 12 hours ago — Shorting $BTC on the off chance it rejects $100k and goes down hard Ofc would be a very short-term play because only a matter of time until…
Indeed bad student loan debt is indeed a rapidly growing part of the problem:

= $1.7 tillion

Though that’s still far smaller than the bad home loans problem.

Note: Badness here being defined in terms of size of the loan minus the real value creation arising from the loan resulting in some negative number

— which is what matters for determining how inflationary money printing is

= Is the current real value of money that is printed for some loan less than the real value the loan helps create

— NOT defining “bad” loans by how likely the loans are to be paid back, here

Yes, you can force someone to repay bad inflationary money-printing loans… but that does not undo that they were badly inflationary money printing in the first place. Not to mention that the forced repayment often involves creation of even more bad inflationary loans.

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History always rhymes, but never exactly repeats

Yes, as in music, the next big thing SHOULD borrow things from past big hits, things shouldn’t seem 100% alien, to be the next big hit

But at the same time, the next big thing should NOT just be copy pasting, or doing a cheap cover of a classic hit

Analogy -vs- simile

Massive, massive difference between analogy & simile — that 99% seem too retarded to understand

Beware cleap clone derivative coins,

the cover version by some no-talent no-name band, of the crypto world

Analogy, not simile

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