Watching $BTC zigzagging across $100k for weeks

Wait, it’s only been happening for 4 days?

Pain

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Cozy in spot

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100k sellers vs 99k buyers

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When you buy the dip but it keeps dipping

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15 years later

Most still refusing to get aboard

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hmm

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👀 COIN ALERT:

Entry Cap: $10_090_923
Symbol: $JAIL
Name: JailbreakMe
Announced: 1733696503
Signal-1: 0.149 ⚠️
Signal-2: 1.587 ✅
Liquidity: $473_042
Created: 2.4h ago
Refreshed: 3.7m ago
Address: 8cNmp9T2CMQRNZhNRoeSvr57LDf1kbZ42SvgsSWfpump
From: 🌱New Launches
Links: Dexscreener | Twitter Search | Pumpfun

⚠️WARN: Low amount of LP Providers - Only a few users are providing liquidity

Note: Currently alerting on interesting signal thresholds. Not currently alerting based on what are likely good buys.
Note: experimental, still testing. Do not share.

Been saying for years beware of the bleached blondes in serious business

They’ll massively screw up everything in their favor

And then play retarded and innocent

Exactly like she did

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Sounds compelling at first, but nah,

$HAWK was REALLY BAD,

MUCH worse than you think

Objectively the worst celebrity launch of all time, which ofc is saying something

— And that market cap thing doesn’t mean as much as you think

(1) Why market cap is irrelevant —

Want an arbitrarily high market cap?

Simply sell & release a much smaller portion of the supply — Exactly as she did.

Will skip the math, but basically,

You can force the market cap to be arbitrarily high, just by selling much a smaller fraction of the supply, as long as you have non-zero demand.

Notice how her volume-to-cap ratio has remained extremely small this entire time?

Daily volume always vastly smaller than the market cap, since the start.

That’s one big clue that this is happening.

And now, more importantly,

(2) $HAWK HAD THE WORST MVRV OF ALL TIME, nothing else has been close

What is MVRV?

Intuitively, it’s a good estimate of the latest public-sale buyers’ ROI,

2.0 to 5.0 being typical for coins that are booming

1.0 being break-even,

Slightly below 1.0 for coins that are getting rekt

MVRV numbers for other celebrity memecoins, at 24 hours post-launch, along with $BTC’s current MVRV for reference:

$BTC = 2.609
$JASON = 2.067
$TOPG = 1.377
$WAP = 1.298
$RNT = 1.243
$MOTHER = 0.943
$JENNER = 0.562
$DAVIDO = 0.338
$HAWK = 0.105

0.105!!!?!!?!

$HAWK has one of the lowest MVRVs I’ve EVER seen,

FAR worse than lots of -95% totally-dumped projects

$HAWK absolutely destroyed retail, like no other celebrity coin before.

Even the disaster $DAVIDO was several times higher

Dumb bleached blonde scammer wrecking the field for everone else

Ofc I didn’t touch it, but what she did here was so bad that it may really come back to screw everyone else, even those who didn’t touch it

All fun and games with the bleached blondes, until they start getting into serious business

Record-topping bad, for no good reason at all

This wasn’t just a usual dump, this was something much worse

MVRV don’t lie

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FWIW, $HAWK’s current MVRV is even worse

= 0.098

Phenomenal

Never seen an MVRV so bad

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