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Bill Nye “The Science Guy” accepts the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
Fictitious president gives fictitious award to fictitious scientist
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Fictitious president gives fictitious award to fictitious scientist
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Kook replying with the most brain-dead response imaginable
Bro
This is about replacing having to ask other people how to use crypto tools
— Which 80% of normies badly struggle with
This is about replacing properly transforming signals into simple strategy and bet sizing recommendations, with EV and value at risk estimates, all with historical justifications
— Which ~100% of normies AND supposed pros couldn’t do half right if their lives depended on it
This is about letting people ask simple questions like
“When X happened before, what happened next?”
— And automatically do the extremely non-trivial work to properly answer simple questions like this
This is my quant
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Bro
This is about replacing having to ask other people how to use crypto tools
— Which 80% of normies badly struggle with
This is about replacing properly transforming signals into simple strategy and bet sizing recommendations, with EV and value at risk estimates, all with historical justifications
— Which ~100% of normies AND supposed pros couldn’t do half right if their lives depended on it
This is about letting people ask simple questions like
“When X happened before, what happened next?”
— And automatically do the extremely non-trivial work to properly answer simple questions like this
This is my quant
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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Thiel’s one question for identifying insights of significant value
= Most should think you are wrong, even though you are right
If everyone already thought your insight is right then likely the value of your insight would already be competed away to $0
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= Most should think you are wrong, even though you are right
If everyone already thought your insight is right then likely the value of your insight would already be competed away to $0
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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DoomPosting
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
As Andreesen pointed out long ago,
— Watch for the perma-bulls who finally flip bearish, because this is the ultimate sign that the bottom may finally be in
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
Similar counter-signals apply in all sorts of other cases too,
e.g. the AI agent perma-bulls who finally giving up on making AI agents happen,
after trying for years
— And then the AI Agent boom appears just as they give up
Nothing new under the sun
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— Watch for the perma-bulls who finally flip bearish, because this is the ultimate sign that the bottom may finally be in
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
Similar counter-signals apply in all sorts of other cases too,
e.g. the AI agent perma-bulls who finally giving up on making AI agents happen,
after trying for years
— And then the AI Agent boom appears just as they give up
Nothing new under the sun
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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