Kook replying with the most brain-dead response imaginable
Bro
This is about replacing having to ask other people how to use crypto tools
— Which 80% of normies badly struggle with
This is about replacing properly transforming signals into simple strategy and bet sizing recommendations, with EV and value at risk estimates, all with historical justifications
— Which ~100% of normies AND supposed pros couldn’t do half right if their lives depended on it
This is about letting people ask simple questions like
“When X happened before, what happened next?”
— And automatically do the extremely non-trivial work to properly answer simple questions like this
This is my quant
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Bro
This is about replacing having to ask other people how to use crypto tools
— Which 80% of normies badly struggle with
This is about replacing properly transforming signals into simple strategy and bet sizing recommendations, with EV and value at risk estimates, all with historical justifications
— Which ~100% of normies AND supposed pros couldn’t do half right if their lives depended on it
This is about letting people ask simple questions like
“When X happened before, what happened next?”
— And automatically do the extremely non-trivial work to properly answer simple questions like this
This is my quant
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Thiel’s one question for identifying insights of significant value
= Most should think you are wrong, even though you are right
If everyone already thought your insight is right then likely the value of your insight would already be competed away to $0
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= Most should think you are wrong, even though you are right
If everyone already thought your insight is right then likely the value of your insight would already be competed away to $0
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DoomPosting
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
As Andreesen pointed out long ago,
— Watch for the perma-bulls who finally flip bearish, because this is the ultimate sign that the bottom may finally be in
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
Similar counter-signals apply in all sorts of other cases too,
e.g. the AI agent perma-bulls who finally giving up on making AI agents happen,
after trying for years
— And then the AI Agent boom appears just as they give up
Nothing new under the sun
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— Watch for the perma-bulls who finally flip bearish, because this is the ultimate sign that the bottom may finally be in
“The bottom did not come in until the demoralization was so comprehensive that the tech crash wasn't even generating news headlines anymore, it was just sad and depressing.”
Similar counter-signals apply in all sorts of other cases too,
e.g. the AI agent perma-bulls who finally giving up on making AI agents happen,
after trying for years
— And then the AI Agent boom appears just as they give up
Nothing new under the sun
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DoomPosting
Kook replying with the most brain-dead response imaginable Bro This is about replacing having to ask other people how to use crypto tools — Which 80% of normies badly struggle with This is about replacing properly transforming signals into simple strategy…
Chat immediately hardcore against the idea of an AI trading assistant
Perfect
Thiel-approved
See also the “despite test”
If some don’t immediately hate it, or something not appearing terrible about it,
Then unlikely to be great
Thiel was right
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Perfect
Thiel-approved
See also the “despite test”
If some don’t immediately hate it, or something not appearing terrible about it,
Then unlikely to be great
Thiel was right
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Not just here,
In the twitter thread too
Ton of people giving their reasons why it must be a horrible idea
Ofc no one seems to realize that they’ve all been using AI wrong,
AI should be used for automated brainstorming search as for how to best apply a separate non-AI tool(s),
With that separate non-AI tool, and that tool alone, giving the verdict as to how good AI’s suggestion is,
and then that separate tool giving you a UI to accept or reject the suggestion
E.g. Just like AlphaGo did MANY years ago
— the AI suggested the moves, but a separate game environment determined how good those moves were
E.g. Just like how you should use the AI for coding, if you do
— AI suggests the code, but hard-to-cheat assertions run in the separate code execution environment determine how good the code suggestions are
E.g. just like with GPT-f from years ago
Must be some separate verification mechanism, not trusting the AI to self-verify.
This 2-way strict divide was always the proper way to use AI, as figured out years ago
…This is the right way to use human intermediaries too, to prevent them from messing up or cheating
Loud detractor midwits just don’t realize how AI should be properly used
Retard x big-brain unity lfg
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In the twitter thread too
Ton of people giving their reasons why it must be a horrible idea
Ofc no one seems to realize that they’ve all been using AI wrong,
AI should be used for automated brainstorming search as for how to best apply a separate non-AI tool(s),
With that separate non-AI tool, and that tool alone, giving the verdict as to how good AI’s suggestion is,
and then that separate tool giving you a UI to accept or reject the suggestion
E.g. Just like AlphaGo did MANY years ago
— the AI suggested the moves, but a separate game environment determined how good those moves were
E.g. Just like how you should use the AI for coding, if you do
— AI suggests the code, but hard-to-cheat assertions run in the separate code execution environment determine how good the code suggestions are
E.g. just like with GPT-f from years ago
Must be some separate verification mechanism, not trusting the AI to self-verify.
This 2-way strict divide was always the proper way to use AI, as figured out years ago
…This is the right way to use human intermediaries too, to prevent them from messing up or cheating
Loud detractor midwits just don’t realize how AI should be properly used
Retard x big-brain unity lfg
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Grok the source of truth?
Reality itself is the source of truth you f*&ing moron
Sometimes choice of wording exposes retarded thinking
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Reality itself is the source of truth you f*&ing moron
Sometimes choice of wording exposes retarded thinking
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Becoming increasingly clear that Elon didn’t even try to give Grok decent non-woke values
Or
He did try put his values into Grok and his values are woke af
Either way, big letdown
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Or
He did try put his values into Grok and his values are woke af
Either way, big letdown
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London Mayor reaction to grooming scandal: "We need more immigrants in London! Islam celebrates diversity! Diversity is our strength."
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