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DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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99_553/819_430

= $0.12 each

But the charts show $TRUMP launching at a price of

= $0.63 each

And so,

$0.12 < $0.63

= Impossible to have gotten in that early?

I.e. these screenshots claiming huge fumbles are massive lies too?

Beware subscribing to the feeds of these massive frauds

— And this is the big problem of someone showing real receipts,

Real receipts for incredible massive 250x to 750x wins look pathetic next to these fraudulent 1,000,000x nonsense

— If everyone is falling for these nonsense

Suddenly the legit great wins look bad next to the fakes

Market for lemons if you blindly believe whoever shows the biggest number — which will end up being 100% frauds, because lying about the biggest number is trivial to do when no one checks the receipts

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Ok on the DLMM pool there was $0.18

Still above $0.12

Beware the fakers, who take the faking way too far into pure nonsense territory

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Dude who posted it

Lambo and flipping people off in profile header

500 followers

Supposedly constantly hitting 100x’s on huge bets

…but doing a paid discord for scraps

Math simply not adding up at all on his supposed wins

Yeah, 100% larp, I’d bet big

Math on these these lambo fraud dudes just doesn’t add up

Beware

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DoomPosting
Why are influencers constantly calling cycle-top? Why are some memecoin community members constantly spreading easily-disprovable morale-destroying lies? — They love the attention, simple as that They know they’re lying They just don’t care who or what…
“There were also those who added to our real perils by inventing fictitious gainz. Some claimed to have bought $TRUMP at $0.12 or that another $ETH was on fire. It was untrue, but they could always find somebody to believe them.”

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$TRUMP ~10x was good — but not (yet) great, for those taking the classic VC-style investing approach, which you should


In fact 10x would still be considered a “failure”, by the classic VC rules of thumb

= 50x has always been the rule-of-thumb minimum to be considered “success” in classic VC portfolio strategy

Because need to overcome all the losers too

So, by itself, so far, $TRUMP was good but definitely not enough for success on its own

What IS great is that it has huge liquidity, enabling far more of those with 10x gains to reinvest into other coins, which could quickly 100x.

— Still entirely possible $TRUMP does >50x, but at the same time, 10x is FAR too early, by the classic VC rules of thumb, to call it a huge success yet

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Not exaggerating to say that 50x is the bare minimum in classic early-stage VC strategy,

And if you try to lock in a guaranteed win at e.g. 5x or 10x, rather than shooting for 50x+

— The VCs will tell you, “bro, wtf are you doing”

Shoot for the stars is the rule in the early-stage regime

Not because they’re moon-chasers

But literally because the math of early-stage investing requires it

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Memecoiners —

What business are you in?

Extreme outcomes drive returns

50x+ are all that matters

Nature of the beast

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Another classic VC rule of thumb, “1/3, 1/3, 1/3”

i.e.

33% — are 100% loss, straight to $0
33% — are ~1x, break-even
33% — are the bulk of returns

Which turns out to be partially right, in that ~66% either return 0 or break-even

— But off on that last 33%,

Because in practice it’s really more like just ONE SINGLE INVESTMENT, maybe 2,

MAKING THE RETURNS THAT SAVE THE WHOLE REST OF THE PORTFOLIO

— And if you miss that one 500x or 2000x big one, then you’re dead, just completely dead

Finito

— Which is why in these things you really can never sleep,

Always must be watching

Because you miss that 1 huge hit and your whole portfolio is

DEAD

This is also why it can make sense to partially outsource such a thing to competent people instead of all doing yourself, to have someone always watching, not miss the big one in your sleep

Miss the 1 or 2 big ones and you’re DEAD

Nature of the beast

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Trump announces plan to give TikTok a 90 extension

Which briefly dumps prediction market app store ban odds

But then odds shoot right back up

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Forget about VPNs to get around the TikTok ban

There will be no VPN workaround

TikTok pulling the plug

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