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DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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What would you do if this man was outside your door?

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The task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every 7 months

When i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate, ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone ~1000 millennia

Don’t believe it? If you told someone in 1965 that a watch in 2025 would be more powerful than the warehouse-sized ibm model 91, i think you’d see similar cope

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Forwarded from Chat GPT
Moore’s Law is not Dead, but Gordon Moore, RIP (aged 94, January 3, 1929 – March 24, 2023)

Moore’s Law’s has been rewritten by journalists throughout the decades. Few today realize that Moore’s Law’s original stated formulation had nothing to do with clock speeds or circuit sizes, but rather:

complexity for minimum component costs

Now, “minimum component” has changed many times throughout the decades, as indicted by the vague wording in this original formulation, so the best general translation of this concept, in a way that ignores the particular component type and further solidifies the meaning of complexity, is then:

“calulations / second @ $1 spent”

In 1965, when Moore’s Law was coined, it had already been holding strong for ~65 years, across many technology regimes,

(1) Rooms full of human “computers”
(2) Mechanical like Babbage’s
(3) Relays
(4) Vacuum Tubes
(5) Discrete Transistors
— Moore’s Law Coined —
(6) Integrated Circuits
(7) Quantum?

Since then, in the 58 years since Moore’s Law was coined, it has continued to hold, near-perfectly.

In the future, Moore’s law will continue to enter new regimes, as it already has many times in the past, perhaps quantum next, but the law will never die.

It has been said that "The number of people predicting the death of Moore’s Law doubles every two years."

I say "The number of people trying to redefine Moore's Law from its original intent doubles every two years."

Moore's Law slowdown was always a willful lie, told by journalists and attention-seekers fully-aware of their lies.

Few willing to grasp the consequences of unending exponential growth.
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Forwarded from Chat GPT
First 3 words of article that coined Moore’s Law — “With unit cost falling”

Concluding sentence of the introduction - “Machines similar to those in existence today will be built at lower costs and with faster turnaround.”

Moore’s Law was always, first and foremost, about

Min Cost / Compute

i.e.

Max Compute / Cost

All else is journalist lies.

Gordon Moore’s 1965 Article Coining Moore’s Law
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Forwarded from Chat GPT
Curves that are NOT Moore’s Law - compute per second per dollar - many of which have fallen off
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122 Years of Moore’s Law
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Compute Per Watt, the true original Moore’s Law, continues its doubling rate flawlessly
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DoomPosting
The task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every 7 months When i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate, ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone ~1000 millennia Don’t believe it? If you told someone in 1965…
The phones in people’s pockets today already do tasks that would take an individual human millions of years to do by hand

Why tf do people say such retarded things so confidently when it comes to tech

High-NFCC NPCs that just repeat nonsense journalists say be gulaged

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California park ranger fired after helping hang transgender pride flag on popular Yosemite monolith

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