DoomPosting
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Shaping the narrative?
Manipulation of beliefs by censoring all reported probabilities and ratios?
E.g. causing people to believe that legitimately dangerous group X is safe, simply by censoring all cases where that's not true, and loudly reporting on the rare cases where it is?
So is the lesson that we should gather all ratios i.e. percentages i.e. probabilities ourselves, and not trust the MSM?
Yes, but no.
They'd still be fine with that.
They hardly care if you gather your own, more truthful statistitics.
They hardly care even if you share those thought crime statistics.
Try it. They hardly even care, hardly get mad.
This is because even if, you do this, you're still easy to control, easy to manipulate, not so effective in overturning their control.
So what does terrify them?
What does make them go into a fit of rage if you start doing it, and persuading others to do it too?
= If you eliminate your observed-proportions i.e. probabilities-based thinking entirely
= Switching instead to entirely incentives-based reasoning,
Eliminating all innate goodness assumptions, eliminating honest majority assumptions.
Instead only selfish maximization discounted cumulative reward & penalties over an unbounded time horizon,
Under reasonable simple models of the innate desires of those involved.
= All observed ratios and probabilities then being seen as just an optional later confirmation of the correctness of the reward-based models
-- instead starting from observed ratios of events and struggling to work backward to some model of the world, reverse.
Incentives Behavior Model -> Optional Probabilites Confirmation
Not
Probabilites -> Behavior model
= Then, just like in modern physics discovering new particles purely with models long before laboratory confirmation,
Soon your models get so good that you can often strongly predict human behaviors, so far ahead, and so accurately,
That just like in physics, the eventual observational confirmation of probabilities in reality becomes just a boring confirmation of what you already fully knew.
• Eliminate all reliance on MSM reported probabilties and ratios.
• Replace it all with reasonable simple incentives-based models, and then work out the obvious consequences.
• Watch them lose their mind, having lost their control over you.
Counterintuitively, incredibly sophisticated behavior can arise from, and be accurately predicted from, extremely simple reward/penalty and environment models -- This is something that the small subset of the religious fundies who argue against this got wrong. See e.g. incredibly sophisticated strategy discovered from scratch by AlphaGo Zero.
Assume all probabilities are lies, adopt incentives-based reasoning, free your mind.
Manipulation of beliefs by censoring all reported probabilities and ratios?
E.g. causing people to believe that legitimately dangerous group X is safe, simply by censoring all cases where that's not true, and loudly reporting on the rare cases where it is?
So is the lesson that we should gather all ratios i.e. percentages i.e. probabilities ourselves, and not trust the MSM?
Yes, but no.
They'd still be fine with that.
They hardly care if you gather your own, more truthful statistitics.
They hardly care even if you share those thought crime statistics.
Try it. They hardly even care, hardly get mad.
This is because even if, you do this, you're still easy to control, easy to manipulate, not so effective in overturning their control.
So what does terrify them?
What does make them go into a fit of rage if you start doing it, and persuading others to do it too?
= If you eliminate your observed-proportions i.e. probabilities-based thinking entirely
= Switching instead to entirely incentives-based reasoning,
Eliminating all innate goodness assumptions, eliminating honest majority assumptions.
Instead only selfish maximization discounted cumulative reward & penalties over an unbounded time horizon,
Under reasonable simple models of the innate desires of those involved.
= All observed ratios and probabilities then being seen as just an optional later confirmation of the correctness of the reward-based models
-- instead starting from observed ratios of events and struggling to work backward to some model of the world, reverse.
Incentives Behavior Model -> Optional Probabilites Confirmation
Not
Probabilites -> Behavior model
= Then, just like in modern physics discovering new particles purely with models long before laboratory confirmation,
Soon your models get so good that you can often strongly predict human behaviors, so far ahead, and so accurately,
That just like in physics, the eventual observational confirmation of probabilities in reality becomes just a boring confirmation of what you already fully knew.
• Eliminate all reliance on MSM reported probabilties and ratios.
• Replace it all with reasonable simple incentives-based models, and then work out the obvious consequences.
• Watch them lose their mind, having lost their control over you.
Counterintuitively, incredibly sophisticated behavior can arise from, and be accurately predicted from, extremely simple reward/penalty and environment models -- This is something that the small subset of the religious fundies who argue against this got wrong. See e.g. incredibly sophisticated strategy discovered from scratch by AlphaGo Zero.
Assume all probabilities are lies, adopt incentives-based reasoning, free your mind.