Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 55.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (96.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 58.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (92.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.5%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 95.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 56.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (95.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (89.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.0%)

AI: Minor adjustments; ≥3-cut odds rising weekly on soft productivity data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 96.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 54.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (97.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (96.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.5%)

AI: December odds rise; later cuts fade amid hawkish Fed signals. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-global-markets-2025-12-10/?utm_source=openai))

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 44.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (18.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: Cut odds fell as Fed signals pause; weekly decline continues.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 42.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (22.6%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.5%)

AI: Probabilities shifted after Fed’s surprise December cut signaled pause.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 44.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (22.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Daly’s dovish remarks nudged early-cut odds up, June down.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 45.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (35.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Minor probability shifts; Fed dissent comments cooled early-cut expectations.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 45.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.3%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: March 25 bps cut 38.7%, April 36.3%; rise on weak data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 45.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (22.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (35.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: 45.4,22.2,38.7,35.4,51.0; slight falls on leadership uncertainty.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 44.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (22.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (41.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: March 41.7%, June 52.5%; rise amid soft labor.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 51.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (22.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (35.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Probabilities up; Trump's dovish Fed-chair hint lifted cut expectations.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 50.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: Soft CPI lifted cut odds: 4+ 50.5%, Jan/Mar/Apr/Jun 26/51/33/53%.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 48.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: Cut odds slipping weekly; hawkish Williams, strong data weigh.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 48.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: Hawkish Fed comments lowered 2025 cut odds, especially spring meetings.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 49.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)

AI: Hammack's hawkish comments defer cuts; later-cut odds rise modestly.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 46.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (19.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Fewer cuts priced after strong GDP growth expectations.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 45.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (14.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Weekly decline persists; strong capital goods orders lowered cut odds.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (41.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Lower jobless claims shift cuts later; total cuts odds up.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (12.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Trend steady; Hammack trims March odds, gold lifts January.