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What was the Lannister’s plan to hold power when Joffrey’s children ascended?

In name he’s a Baratheon. What ties can they draw to the crown in the long term? Surely Tywin had some sort of plan to get a Lannister in name on the Throne.

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Hot take :(Final season spoilers)

Hot Take :Tyrion plan to capture a wight from beyond the wall, and use it to convince Cersei, was rationnal.


Let me explain.

Firstly, Tyrion plan had an extreme payoff. Had it suceeded, Cersei's army would had bolstered the forces of the living, greatly evening up the odds against the white walkers. Considering losing to the night king would have meant the extermination of the seven kingdoms, it was sensible to Tyrion to pick an option even when the odds of it working where low, as it was still better than guaranteeing Cersei wouldn't help by not attempting that at all.

Secondly, the cost of the operation should had been negligible compared to the potential earnings. Tyrion just needed to capture a wight to start his plans, something relatively easy to do without undefendable losses.It was not, but it happened due to elements outside Tyrion's knowledge, that is the Night King being capable of killing a dragon by himself.

Thirdly, and more importantly, the plan was a win win for Tyrion.He simply has to spread everywhere the news of the white walkers attacking, showing the captured wight to every noble and smallfolk on the way.

Then, Cersei has two choices, which are both disastrous for her. Either she sends her forces to help the army of the livings, costing her valuable soldiers.

Or even worse, she refuse, taking a massive hit to her already shaky legitimacy as she decide to do nothing against a existential threat, while her rival, Daneyris, fight bravely.

As a result, not only did Tyrion actually have a decent chance of convincing Cersei to join forces with the armies of the living, even if he failed it would still help him.

So, that is why I think Tyrion plan was actually smart. Any counter-arguments ?


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