Amidst macro headwinds, #Bitcoin investors have opted to close out leverage, buy put option insurance, and de-risk ahead of Fed rate hikes expected in March.
We also analyse whale, miner and investor on-chain supply dynamics to assess the prevailing accumulation and distribution trends. Finally, we introduce a number of #Bitcoin supply sinks including ETF holdings, wrapped $wBTC, and the coins held by the Mt Gox Trustee
Read more in The Week Onchain
We also analyse whale, miner and investor on-chain supply dynamics to assess the prevailing accumulation and distribution trends. Finally, we introduce a number of #Bitcoin supply sinks including ETF holdings, wrapped $wBTC, and the coins held by the Mt Gox Trustee
Read more in The Week Onchain
The #Bitcoin market has matured significantly over recent years, with derivatives markets offering new instruments to hedge risk.
With Fed rate hikes expected in March, we explore how derivatives have impacted spot $BTC holdings.
Watch our video report here.
With Fed rate hikes expected in March, we explore how derivatives have impacted spot $BTC holdings.
Watch our video report here.
YouTube
The Week On-chain: Investors De-Risk Ahead of Rate Hikes - Week 7, 2022 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
Bitcoin investors have de-risked as global macro headwinds increase. In particular, traders eye the proposed Fed rate hikes in March, opting for protective insurance over speculative calls.
Topics for Discussion:
- Derivatives pricing signal uncertainty…
Topics for Discussion:
- Derivatives pricing signal uncertainty…
#Bitcoin hash-rate has continued to climb in 2022, pushing to a new ATH of 194EH/s on a 30-day moving average basis.
Application of a longer term moving average helps smooth out the natural variability in day-to-day block production times.
Live Chart
Application of a longer term moving average helps smooth out the natural variability in day-to-day block production times.
Live Chart
#Bitcoin Short-Term Holders are the most likely cohort to spend their coins in response to volatility.
With weakness across #Bitcoin markets, we analyse STH behaviour from a number of angles, including on-chain activity, supply dynamics, and profitability
https://youtu.be/gIUGmrMJZhQ
With weakness across #Bitcoin markets, we analyse STH behaviour from a number of angles, including on-chain activity, supply dynamics, and profitability
https://youtu.be/gIUGmrMJZhQ
YouTube
Bitcoin: Short-Term Holder Shake Out? (On-chain Market Analysis)
In this analysis, we use on-chain spending and supply dynamics metrics to identify Short-Term Holders as the primary sell-side entities on the Bitcoin network. When markets sell-off, we can use these tools to investigate the behaviour and fear of this cohort…
#Bitcoin Short-Term Holders currently own 54.5% of all coins held at an unrealized loss (2.56M $BTC, creating sell-side headwinds for price.
Read our full analysis in The Week On-chain
Read our full analysis in The Week On-chain
With over 33% of $BTC supply held at an unrealized loss, and a large portion held by Short-Term Holders, #Bitcoin bulls are faced with numerous headwinds.
Watch our latest video report where we deep dive into the supply side risks observable on-chain.
Watch our latest video report where we deep dive into the supply side risks observable on-chain.
YouTube
The Week On-chain: Bitcoin Faces Sell-Side Headwinds - Week 8, 2022 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
Bitcoin bulls face numerous headwinds, from dwindling demand on-chain, to over 4.7M BTC held at an unrealized loss. In this edition, we explore the potential sell-side energy carried by underwater investors.
Topics for Discussion:
- On-chain activity as…
Topics for Discussion:
- On-chain activity as…
#Bitcoin Realized Cap HODL Waves show the maturation of supply, related to its 'stored USD value'.
During past bears, 6-12mth supply peaked approx. half-way through the bear cycle.
We are now 90-days past the 6m-12m peak, with supply now maturing into the 1yr+ age band.
Live Chart
During past bears, 6-12mth supply peaked approx. half-way through the bear cycle.
We are now 90-days past the 6m-12m peak, with supply now maturing into the 1yr+ age band.
Live Chart
Part 1 of the #Bitcoin Bear Market Survival Guide is now available.
JoIn us to explore how we apply T1 and T2 on-chain metrics to navigate bearish market trends.
Watch our analysis here
JoIn us to explore how we apply T1 and T2 on-chain metrics to navigate bearish market trends.
Watch our analysis here
YouTube
Bitcoin Bear Market Survival Guide, Part 1 - Navigation (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis 101)
This guide is part 1 of a series seeking to navigate a Bitcoin Bear Market. On-chain tools provide insight into investor sentiment, and models for valuation. In a Bear market, this can help us identify the turning of the tide, and when investor outflows reverse…
#Bitcoin top buyers have largely capitulated, with holders of young coins selling heavily over the last week.
In this edition, we perform a deep dive into coin distribution and what it tells us about the HODLer base
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
In this edition, we perform a deep dive into coin distribution and what it tells us about the HODLer base
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
Our latest video analysis is live, where we analyse the underlying #Bitcoin on-chain fundamentals supporting this rally.
A divergence between Short-Term and Long-Term Holder behaviour has been increasingly evident in recent weeks.
Watch our deep dive here.
A divergence between Short-Term and Long-Term Holder behaviour has been increasingly evident in recent weeks.
Watch our deep dive here.
YouTube
The Week On-chain: All-Time-High Buyers Capitulate - Week 9, 2022 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
Amidst kinetic conflict in Ukraine, investors who purchased around the Bitcoin ATH have almost completely capitulated. On the flip-side, the cohort of HODLers continue accumulate, seemingly unfazed by macro and geopolitical risks.
Topics for Discussion:…
Topics for Discussion:…
The second instalment of the #Bitcoin Survival Guide is now live, where we cover the concept of #Bitcoin Floor models.
There is no single answer to a Bear Market bottom, which is why analysts seek confluence across numerous on-chain metrics.
Watch our video analysis here.
There is no single answer to a Bear Market bottom, which is why analysts seek confluence across numerous on-chain metrics.
Watch our video analysis here.
YouTube
Bitcoin Bear Market Survival Guide Part 2 - Spotting Undervaluation (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis 101)
This guide is part 2 of a series seeking to navigate a Bitcoin Bear Market. There are many models for the valuation of Bitcoin, and on-chain tools allow us to identify confluence between fundamentals, and investor sentiment.
Watch Part 1 of the Guide: h…
Watch Part 1 of the Guide: h…
#Bitcoin continues to consolidate around the $38k level as the bulls attempt to put in a price floor.
In this edition, we analyse inflows to exchanges, with a particular focus on whether $BTC holders are fearful.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
In this edition, we analyse inflows to exchanges, with a particular focus on whether $BTC holders are fearful.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
The #Bitcoin bulls are working hard to create a price floor, whilst the bears continue to apply sell-side pressure.
As #Bitcoin consolidates in a delicate equilibrium, we deep dive into $BTC flows into exchanges to gauge the characteristics of sellers.
Watch our Video Analysis here.
As #Bitcoin consolidates in a delicate equilibrium, we deep dive into $BTC flows into exchanges to gauge the characteristics of sellers.
Watch our Video Analysis here.
Tracking on-chain #Bitcoin accumulation can be complex and nuanced to accurately analyse.
We are pleased to release the #Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score, a metric designed to track when larger players or a large part of the market is accumulating.
The Accumulation Trend Score trades between values of 0 and 1 with the following interpretation:
1 = Whales and/or large parts of the market are accumulating.
0 = Macro distribution by the market.
This metric is calculated by combining wallet participation in different cohorts, with balance change to assess buy-side pressure.
Out methodology and example interpretation is available on Glassnode Academy.
See the Accumulation Trend Score on studio.
We are pleased to release the #Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score, a metric designed to track when larger players or a large part of the market is accumulating.
The Accumulation Trend Score trades between values of 0 and 1 with the following interpretation:
1 = Whales and/or large parts of the market are accumulating.
0 = Macro distribution by the market.
This metric is calculated by combining wallet participation in different cohorts, with balance change to assess buy-side pressure.
Out methodology and example interpretation is available on Glassnode Academy.
See the Accumulation Trend Score on studio.
The ETH 2.0 deposit contract has hit 10M $ETH staked.
According to our data, at least 66% of these funds were deposited by exchanges and staking services, rather than individual stakers.
The largest deposited volume comes from Lido (22%), Coinbase is runner up with 15%.
Total ETH Staked Live Chart
According to our data, at least 66% of these funds were deposited by exchanges and staking services, rather than individual stakers.
The largest deposited volume comes from Lido (22%), Coinbase is runner up with 15%.
Total ETH Staked Live Chart
To support the release of the #Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score, we have just released a video metric guide.
In this session, we take you through the history of #Bitcoin accumulation, as it happened, on-chain.
Check out our Video Guide and the Live Metric
In this session, we take you through the history of #Bitcoin accumulation, as it happened, on-chain.
Check out our Video Guide and the Live Metric
YouTube
New Metric: Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score for tracking Whale Buyers (On-chain 101)
The Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score is an indicator which reflects the relative size of entities that are actively accumulating/distributing coins on-chain in terms of their BTC holdings. The scale of the Accumulation Trend Score represents both the size…
Over 82% of #Bitcoin Short-Term Holder supply is held at a loss, suggesting the potential energy for capitulation is in play.
The bulls however continue to stack sats, at an incredible rate of 7.6x $BTC issuance to miners.
Read more in The Week Onchain
The bulls however continue to stack sats, at an incredible rate of 7.6x $BTC issuance to miners.
Read more in The Week Onchain
The Week Onchain Video Report #11 is live.
We analyse:
- Short-Term softening of accumulation
- Near All-time-Lows of young $BTC supply
- Long-Term Holder trends and conviction
- The potential risk of a capitulation event
Watch our video report now
We analyse:
- Short-Term softening of accumulation
- Near All-time-Lows of young $BTC supply
- Long-Term Holder trends and conviction
- The potential risk of a capitulation event
Watch our video report now
YouTube
The Week On-chain: Short Term Bitcoin Supply Dwindles - Week 11, 2022 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
Bitcoin accumulation trends softened in the short term, despite extremely constructive long-term demand trends. The potential energy for a capitulation event is in place, but is yet to manifest as it has in previous market cycles.
Topics for Discussion:…
Topics for Discussion:…
#Bitcoin has traded into a narrow price range for over 2 months, as more traders move risk neutral cash-and-carry positions.
But derivatives markets are now pricing in a high volatility move just over the horizon.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
But derivatives markets are now pricing in a high volatility move just over the horizon.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain
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Over the course of this #Bitcoin drawdown, buying pressure has been mainly during US and EU trading hours.
Meanwhile, the majority of sell-side pressure has occurred during Asian market hours, suggesting a divergence in regional strategy.
Read more in The Week On-chain
Meanwhile, the majority of sell-side pressure has occurred during Asian market hours, suggesting a divergence in regional strategy.
Read more in The Week On-chain