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demand for ETH: contracts​ used​ for ICOs. These contracts lock up supply as ETH is held in​ reserve by companies raising capital to fund operations. ETH held in ICOs increases reservation​ demand​ at the time the capital is raised,​ but​ lowers​ it as the ETH is sold on exchanges to provide funding for operations.

In a bull market companies that have raised ETH may​ sit​ on it (increasing reservation demand) in hopes​ of extending their runway with the rising value of ETH.​ In​ a bear market companies will want to dump their​ ETH as fast as possible,​ hoping not to​ be last in line.

The most powerful reason for the crash in ETH is that the ICO​ market is now largely dead (it being apparent that almost all​ ICOs were complete scams),​ and those that did​ raise capital are trying to liquidate their ETH before their product​ runway​ vanishes before their eyes.

#Bitcoin on the​ other hand does not face the same​ problem because its primary​ use case is​ as a non-sovereign store of​ value, that is,​ the primary use case is HODLing - which​ is​ pure unalloyed reservation demand - and this will continue for a long time: until we see full adoption.

Addendum: Here​ is​ a list of companies that have raised ICO funding​ in ETH:

http://www.dappcapitulation.com/

If one or two large holders​ sell their ETH to​ protect their​ product​ runway, it will trigger a stampede. The bottom​ is not in.

This breakdown’s credits goes to the Twitter user @real_vijay.
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