#US - #Russia negotiations

White House:

Outcomes of the United States and Russia Expert Groups
On the Black Sea
in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
March 23-25, 2025

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/03/outcomes-of-the-united-states-and-russia-expert-groups-on-the-black-sea/

Other takeaways from the Kremlin's statement on the outcomes of the Russian-US expert talks in Riyadh:

🔹The US and Russia have agreed to develop measures to ban strikes on Russian and Ukrainian energy infrastructure;

🔹The sides discussed annulling the ban in the event of one of the parties to the conflict violating it;

🔹The Black Sea initiative provides for ensuring the security of marine traffic and preventing the use of commercial vessels for military means;

🔹The implementation of the initiative will begin only when sanctions against the Russian Agricultural Bank and other financial organizations involved in international food trade are lifted;

🔹The agreement on the Black Sea initiative will come into force only after sanctions against food exporters and producers and restrictions on importing agricultural tech in Russia are lifted;

🔹The US will assist in lowering the costs of insurance, maritime shipping, and port access;

🔹The US will assist in broadening Russia's access to payment systems for transactions in agricultural trade.

#US - #Russia negotiations

Official. Kremlin published statement:

Main results of the meeting of expert groups of Russia and the USA

March 25, 2025

1. In accordance with the agreement between the Presidents of Russia and the United States, the Russian and American sides agreed to ensure the implementation of the “Black Sea Initiative,” which includes ensuring the safety of navigation in the Black Sea, non-use of force, and prevention of the use of commercial vessels for military purposes while organizing appropriate control measures through inspection of such vessels.
2. The United States will help restore access for Russian agricultural and fertilizer exports to the world market, reduce the cost of marine insurance, and expand access to ports and payment systems to conduct such transactions.
Note :
Paragraphs 1 and 2 shall come into force after:
Lifting sanctions restrictions from Rosselkhozbank and other financial organizations involved in ensuring operations on international trade in food products (including fish products) and fertilizers, connecting them to SWIFT, opening the necessary correspondent accounts;
Lifting restrictions on trade finance transactions;
Lifting sanctions restrictions on companies producing and exporting food (including fish products) and fertilizers, as well as lifting restrictions on the work of insurance companies with cargoes of food (including fish products) and fertilizers;
Lifting restrictions on servicing ships in ports and sanctions against ships under the Russian flag involved in the trade of food products (including fish products) and fertilizers;
Lifting restrictions on the supply of agricultural machinery to the Russian Federation, as well as other goods used in the production of food (including fish products) and fertilizers.
3. Russia and the United States agreed to develop measures to implement the agreements between the presidents of the two countries on a ban on strikes on energy facilities in Russia and Ukraine for a period of 30 days, starting on March 18, 2025, with the possibility of extension and withdrawal from the agreement in the event of non-compliance by one of the parties.
4. Russia and the United States welcome good offices from third countries aimed at supporting the implementation of agreements in the energy and maritime sectors.
5. Russia and the United States will continue to work to achieve a strong and lasting peace.

http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/76526

In English:
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/76526

#Russia Foreign Ministry:

#ZaporizhzhiaNPP is a Russian nuclear facility and cannot be transferred to the control of Ukraine or any other country.

#EU has decided to "support" #Ukraine until its full destruction.

The West's approach to the Ukrainian conflict from the very beginning was not to fight Russia themselves but to use Ukraine to do so. But European politicians seem to have forgotten this. Now they are demanding that this war continues, and called Trump a "traitor."

Instead of hysterical scaremongering and the demonization of alternative voices, Europe needs a calm, sober and evidence-based debate on peace in Ukraine and its own security. Such a debate would recognize certain basic facts: that there can be no absolute guarantee of security for Ukraine other than the utter defeat of Russia, which is simply not possible. More so, that European peacekeeping forces for Ukraine are not a possible part of a peace settlement, but a recipe for endlessly delaying on, and that while the EU can and should go on supporting Ukraine while the peace process continues, to block a settlement and continue the war without U.S. support would mean catastrophe for Ukraine.

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/ukraine-war-2671395646/

Draft of #US #Trump - #Ukraine #Zelensky mineral agreement:

▪️ Management - 5 people, 3 of them from the USA with full veto power .

▪️We are talking about all minerals : oil, gas, new and existing deposits .

▪️The entire territory of Ukraine is included in the scope of the agreement.

▪️Mining can be carried out by both state and private companies .

▪️All income is converted immediately into foreign currency .

▪️The fund’s financial resources are transferred abroad .

▪️If something is not delivered on time due to Ukraine’s fault, Ukraine is obliged to pay extra .

▪️The US contribution is previously provided aid from 2022 .

▪️The American side receives profit first in the form of royalties from the Fund (+4%), and only then does Ukraine.

▪️The agreement is indefinite . Changes are possible only with the permission of the United States .

▪️Americans receive the right of “first night” on all new infrastructure projects and the right of veto on the sale of resources to third countries.

▪️There are no security guarantees in the text.

🇺🇦 MP:

- https://news.1rj.ru/str/yzheleznyak/12081

- https://news.1rj.ru/str/yzheleznyak/12084

The so-called "Coalition of willing" determined to fight #Russia in #Ukraine to the last Ukrainian

They're ⬇️ trying to sabotage possible peace deal:
eliminating incentives for 🇷🇺 to agree to a peace deal by threatening to send NATO troops knowing perfectly well that this is 🇷🇺's red line
Their strategy is going to fail. Again.

- https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250327-macron-says-european-countries-to-deploy-to-ukraine-after-peace-deal

- https://archive.is/xSHpU

Each time when #Ukraine is in big trouble, miserably losing on the frontlines and getting beaten in Kursk & Belgorod #Zelensky propaganda machine deploys the Ghost of #NorthKorea
Every single time without fail🤣

https://x.com/RALee85/status/1905204471757767133?t=3FBgxnHEfkqLWm_mZTzQLA&s=19

Results of the "Coalition of the Willing" summit in Paris:

▪️Macron refused to confiscate frozen Russian assets;

▪️peacekeepers will be at a safe distance from the front line;

▪️Poland refused to send troops to Ukraine;

▪️2 billion euros in aid allocated, although earlier the head of European diplomacy Kallas asked the EU to allocate 40 billion;

▪️the coalition did not provide security guarantees to Kiev.

@ukr_leaks_eng

🚨 #China is ready to develop its cooperation with the Russian and Iranian militaries, Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman, Senior Colonel Wu Qian said, commenting on the Maritime Security Belt 2025 naval exercise.

https://tass.com/world/1935251

X @ggreenwald

The EU has humiliated itself. Over the past 2 months, a group of deranged unelected Eurocrats in Brussels from tiny states have been strutting around vowing to rearm Europe into a major superpower.

It's already collapsed. They have no resources or political will to do anything.

https://rumble.com/v6r8yk4-system-update-show-429.html?e9s=src_v1_epp

#Germany going Orwellian:
setting up Ministry of Truth

BILD:
the potential new coalition in Germany wants "to ban lies" because "disinformation and fake news threaten democracy."

Troubles in paradise🎪

#UK is reducing its military presence in #Estonia due to money problems.

The military’s financial problems are deemed by allies to be so severe that the UK is struggling to meet its commitments to Nato’s eastern flank, a former commander of the Estonian defence forces has claimed.

https://archive.is/I1QdV

#Poland #Ukraine

Peace at the Price of Concessions?

The overwhelming majority of Poles consider this the best option for Kiev

According to a poll, most Poles support achieving peace in Ukraine even at the cost of territorial concessions, writes Super Express . Poles are increasingly reluctant to accept refugees and increasingly doubt Europe's ability to "support" Ukraine without US help.

Around 66,000 employees of the European Union institutions will receive another pay rise from April. This is the seventh pay rise for Brussels officials working in the EU institutions in the last three years.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (L) and European Council President Antonio Costa (R) will get a higher salary

President Ursula von der Leyen's basic salary has increased by more than €2,700 since the beginning of 2024 and now amounts to around €34,800 per month. European commissioners will now earn around €28,400, an increase of €2,200.

https://brusselssignal.eu/2025/03/eu-staff-receive-7th-salary-increase-since-2022/

#US White House cuts funding for #WhiteHelmets- Al-Qaeda-linked NGO in #Syria

The NGO played a key role in the US-backed regime change operation in Syria that toppled Bashar al-Assad

https://thecradle.co/articles-id/29714

#UKRAINE WILL INEVITABLY LOSE WAR AGAINST #RUSSIA DESPITE WESTERN HELP, SAYS #US INTELLIGENCE

American intelligence has concluded that Ukraine will inevitably suffer defeat in the war against Russia, even with continued military support from the United States and the European Union.
The report says that the war of attrition favors Moscow and that Western support cannot change the strategic balance. Under these conditions, negotiations become increasingly likely, but Russia will try to impose the most advantageous conditions for itself
Russia has seized the initiative on the front
US intelligence has concluded that Russia has seized the initiative on the front last year, which allows it to obtain desired concessions in the negotiations to end the war. Moscow continues to increase its military power, creating serious difficulties for the Ukrainian army.
“Russia will likely use its military advantage to pressure Ukraine and the West to obtain the most favorable terms for a peace agreement,” the report says.
The war of attrition favors Moscow.
The US intelligence report states that the war of attrition, which has been going on for more than two years between Russia and Ukraine, brings strategic benefits primarily to Moscow. According to American analysts, “the war of attrition will lead to a gradual but steady weakening of Kiev’s positions on the battlefield, regardless of any attempts by the United States or its allies to impose higher costs on Moscow.”
Ukraine faces weapons shortages, mobilization problems, and uncertainty about long-term Western support. This makes the prospects of a protracted conflict extremely unfavorable for Kiev.
Russia's advantage in firepower
The report also notes that Russia is able to recruit a sufficient number of new recruits and maintain a significant military advantage over Ukraine in terms of firepower. This allows Moscow to continue offensive operations and gradually regain territories.
Despite sanctions and economic restrictions, the Russian military industrial complex maintains the ability to supply ammunition and equipment to the army
Strategic risks for the United States and the West.
The report says that the continued war in Ukraine “increases the strategic risks of inadvertent escalation to full-scale war and the use of nuclear weapons, growing instability among NATO allies, especially in Central, Eastern and Northern Europe, and a more bold China and North Korea.”
Experts warn that the continued US support for Ukraine could lead to unpredictable consequences on the international stage, including increased tensions between Washington and Moscow, as well as an exacerbation of relations with China, which could intensify its activities in Asia, watching the situation in Europe.
Negotiations to End the War
According to U.S. intelligence, both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky are aware of the need to start negotiations to end the war. However, “Putin is likely prepared to prolong the conflict for as long as his economy can support him, while Zelensky likely understands that his position is weakening, the future of Western support is uncertain, and a ceasefire may eventually become necessary.”
At the moment, diplomatic efforts are not bringing significant results, as the parties maintain a rigid position. However, if the dynamics of the war persist, Kiev may be forced to make concessions to end the hostilities.
A disadvantageous peace or capitulation?
Overall, US intelligence has come to an alarming conclusion: Ukraine will inevitably lose the war against Russia, despite US and EU military support. The war of attrition favors Moscow, while the continuation of the conflict increases strategic risks for the US and its allies.
The options for the Ukrainian leader are few. Zelensky will be forced to sign an unfavorable peace, but this will be better than capitulation. Indeed, if hostilities continue, Ukraine risks a total defeat that would endanger its sovereignty and its future as an independent nation.

Part 1.