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Maple Chronicles 🇨🇦
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Always fresh maple syrup with a generous dosage of political analysis
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💰Chrystia Freeland to meet with finance ministers on Alberta’s plan to exit CPP

Provincial and territorial finance ministers will gather virtually with federal Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland on Friday to discuss Alberta’s proposal to pull out of the Canada Pension Plan.

In announcing the meeting, Freeland denounced Alberta’s possible action bluntly in a letter sent to the ministers who will be present for the online gathering.

She wrote about the Western province’s “flawed analysis” of the share of CPP assets it would be ennoscriptd to. “Canadians work hard with the promise that a secure pension will be there for them when they retire – and they know that Alberta’s proposed withdrawal is a threat to the pensions of people in Alberta and across Canada.”

Freeland said she wants the discussions on Friday to speak specifically to the “flaws” underlying Alberta’s proposed exit formula.

Were that formula applied to Alberta, Ontario and British Columbia, Freeland said, some experts have concluded that the three provinces would be ennoscriptd to 128 per cent of CPP assets.

#Alberta #Freeland

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Justin Trudeau and his son Hadrien dressed up for Halloween.

#Trudeau

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Immigrants are leaving Canada at faster pace, study shows

New research suggests more newcomers to Canada have chosen to leave in recent years.

The rate of immigrants leaving the country, or onward migration, has been steadily increasing since the 1980s and is rising among recent cohorts, suggesting newcomers “may not be seeing the benefits of moving to Canada,” according to a study on immigrant retention by the Institute for Canadian Citizenship and the Conference Board of Canada.

The report, published Tuesday, underscored the risks of Canada failing to meet expectations of newcomers, who are facing worsening housing affordability, a strained health-care system and underemployment, among other issues.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government has been using immigration to rapidly add more workers to stave off economic decline from an aging population.

#immigration

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Trudeau’s immigration minister Marc Miller on Pierre Poilievre: “He is kind of a guy when you are around him, you kind of want to check for your wallet afterwards.”

“[Poilievre] is very very dangerous for the state of democracy, he adds.

#Poilievre

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Manitoba joins carbon tax exemption fray, seeks 'greater fairness' from Ottawa

Manitoba's new NDP finance minister is looking for "greater fairness" in the application of the federal carbon tax — but promises to work collaboratively with Justin Trudeau's Liberal government to make that happen.

Finance Minister Adrien Sala says he wants to know whether the prime minister will extend the same carbon-tax breaks to Manitobans as he effectively did for residents of Atlantic Canada when he announced a three-year carbon-tax exemption on home heating oil.

Last week, Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called on Ottawa to apply the same exemption to natural gas, used by a majority of residents in their provinces for heating.

#Manitoba #Alberta #Saskatchewan

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💉COVID-19 passports did little to convince people to get vaccinated in Quebec, Ontario: study

COVID-19 vaccine passports in Quebec and Ontario did little to convince the unvaccinated to get the jab and did not significantly reduce inequalities in vaccination coverage, a new peer-reviewed study has found.

The passports, which forced people to show proof of vaccination to enter places such as bars and restaurants, were directly responsible for a rise of 0.9 per cent in the vaccination rate in Quebec and 0.7 per cent in Ontario.

All 10 provinces and Yukon introduced vaccine passport systems in 2021, justifying them as a tool to avoid further generalized lockdowns and increase vaccination rates, though some provinces allowed people to show a recent negative COVID-19 test instead of proof of vaccination.

The passports were discontinued across Canada by the spring of 2022.

#Quebec #Ontario

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Canada to level out number of new permanent residents in Canada in 2026

The federal government plans to level out the number of new permanent residents to Canada in 2026 in reaction to crunch on housing and other services, the immigration minister announced Wednesday.

Immigration Minister Marc Miller tabled new targets for the next three years in Parliament, which call for the number of new permanent residents to hold steady at 500,000 in 2026.

The plans show that the targets for 2024 and 2025 will increase as planned to 485,000 and 500,000, respectively.

#immigration

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🩺 Canada's public health agency lost $150 million on an unfulfilled contract last year

The Public Health Agency of Canada is refusing to disclose any information on how it lost $150 million in taxpayers’ money for an unfulfilled contract with an undisclosed vendor last year.

Information about the loss is buried within the government’s 2022-2023 public accounts which were tabled on Oct. 24 and detail its financial operations during the previous fiscal year.

Deep within the roughly 1,000-page, three-volume document, buried in the “losses of public money due to an offence, illegal act of accident” section, is a line that details the staggering loss of public funds by PHAC.

The agency disclosed that an “unfulfilled contract by a vendor” led to a $150-million loss, none of which it ever expects to recover.

#healthcare

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New Quebec immigration plan will force some temporary foreign workers to pass French exam

Quebec wants some temporary foreign workers to pass a French test to renew their work permits. Premier François Legault announced the measure at a Quebec City news conference on Wednesday as he presented the government's updated immigration plan.

"The message will be very clear as much for students as for workers," Legault said. "In the future, if you want to come to Quebec for more than three years, if you want to be received as a permanent immigrant, you need to speak French."

The immigration plan, which includes lower than anticipated target numbers for new Quebec immigrants, and the new rules requiring temporary foreign workers to pass a French test are part of the government's plan to stop what Legault and his ministers describe as the decline of the French language in Quebec.

Legault's CAQ government had previously anticipated increasing the number of permanent immigrants it would accept to 60,000. But, in the updated plan presented on Wednesday, they set their target number at 50,000 for 2024 and 2025.

#Quebec #immigration

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🇨🇦🇦🇫Canada admits nearly 40,000 Afghans, willing to take more

Canada is on the brink of fulfilling its commitment to accept 40,000 Afghans before the end of this year.

The pledge, made by Ottawa in August 2021 when the Taliban seized power in Afghanistan, was driven by concerns for the safety of Afghans who had collaborated with Canadian programs and the former Afghan government.

In the past two years, Canada has successfully assisted the resettlement of at least 39,730 Afghans, as reported by Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada.

More than half of these refugees have been admitted under a humanitarian program specifically tailored for human rights activists, journalists, religious and ethnic minority groups, and LGBTI individuals.

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💰Toronto Stock Exchange has had 1 IPO this year in historic dry spell

Canada’s largest stock exchange is in the midst of a historic dry spell for initial public offerings and it’s unlikely to improve anytime soon.

Just one company has completed an IPO this year on the Toronto Stock Exchange, and without any last-minute surprises, it will be the first time that’s happened since 1993. Lithium Royalty Corp., which raised $150 million in March, was the largest deal in 10 months and is the lone deal to make it through in 2023.

Canada’s stock market continues to face some serious obstacles. The selloff deepened in October, sending the benchmark S&P/TSX composite index to a one-year low last week.

And while the Bank of Canada kept interest rates unchanged for a second straight meeting last month, the swaps market isn’t pricing a quarter-point cut until the second half of next year.

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Canada adds 18K jobs in October but unemployment rate ticks up to 5.7%

October jobs report showed further signs the economy is slowing down and gave the Bank of Canada more reasons to hold interest rates steady, economists say.

The national economy added a modest number of jobs in October, but the hiring clip couldn’t keep pace with the growing labour force, Statistics Canada said Friday.

Canada’s unemployment rate ticked up to 5.7 per cent in October, up from 5.5 per cent in September.

The country added 18,000 jobs in the month, less than the 64,000 positions added in September. Full-time employment fell by 3,300 positions in October, with 20,800 jobs gained in part-time work.

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🇨🇦🇱🇺💰Tax avoiding Canadian companies transferred $120B to Luxembourg, study finds

A Quebec research institute says some of Canada's biggest companies have transferred billions of dollars in profits to Luxembourg to avoid paying domestic taxes.

The research published today by IRIS says 59 Canadian companies - including 33 headquartered in Quebec - transferred some $119.8 billion in net profits to the European low-tax country over a period of about 10 years.

The companies operate in several sectors including finance, natural resources, food and technology, and include big names such as Thomson Reuters, Alimentation Couche-Tard and Saputo Inc.

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NDP to back Conservative motion calling for carbon tax pause on all home heating fuels

New Democrats are planning to vote in favour of a Conservative motion to exempt all home heating fuels from the federal carbon tax.

"The panicked reaction of Liberals a few days ago, it seemed to be tied to electoral chances more than anything else," the party's House leader Peter Julian said Thursday.

The Liberals have been facing increasing political pressure to extend a carbon tax exemption to fuels such as natural gas and propane after announcing a three-year exemption for home heating oil last week.

#energy

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🏠 Canada’s economy faces $900-billion mortgage renewal shock

The sharp run-up in interest rates over the past 19 months has been painful for consumers, but unless rates drop significantly, almost two-thirds of Canadian mortgage borrowers still face a punishing “payment shock” over the next three years.

Between 2024 and 2026, an estimated $900-billion worth of Canadian mortgages – almost 60 per cent of all outstanding mortgages at chartered banks – are due to renew and could face a sharp increase in payments. Those payment increases range from a weighted average of 32 per cent next year to 48 per cent in 2026.

The biggest shock awaits fixed-payment, variable-rate mortgages set to renew in 2026. A five-year variable mortgage renewing that October would see payments jump 76 per cent if mortgage rates stayed around 6 per cent. A one-percentage-point drop to 5 per cent would ease the payment shock, but only to 63 per cent.

Even if the Bank of Canada were to slash its benchmark rate to 0.25 per cent by that year, payments for variable-rate mortgages as a whole would still shoot up 20 per cent.

#housing

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🏠 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau blames investors for ‘commodification’ of housing

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says investors and corporations have played a significant role in Ontario’s housing crisis.

Recent data from Statistics Canada revealed that as of 2021, 43 per cent of condo apartments and between 14 and 21 per cent of houses in Ontario were owned by investors. In the Greater Toronto Area alone, investors owned 33 per cent of condo apartments and between nine and 16 per cent of all houses.

When asked about the Stats Canada data during a news conference, the prime minister said investors and corporations buying up condos and houses has led to the “commodification” of housing by eating up much-needed supply and driving up prices in the process.

#housing #Trudeau #Ontario

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💨Ontario to add provincial tax to vaping products; meant to discourage youth uptake

The price of vaping products is set to rise in Ontario, with the province planning to add a tax as a way to reduce the prevalence of vaping, particularly among young people.

The combined tax would see manufacturers and importers paying $2 per two millilitres of vaping liquids for the first 10 millilitres, then $2 per 10 millilitres for volumes beyond that.

These types of taxes are fairly new, but have proven effective, said Lesley James, the director of health systems for the Heart and Stroke Foundation in Ontario.

#Ontario

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Parental rights, AHS and pension promises underline annual UCP gathering

United Conservative Party held an annual general meeting over the weekend in Calgary.

Members of the party debated and voted on 30 separate resolutions. At least 3,728 people attended the event, a figure the party says is the largest in Alberta's history.

The most pressing issues discussed at the event were parental rights (especially in the context of gender ideology in schools), Alberta's controversial move to exit the Canada Pension Plan, and the decentralization of Alberta Health Services.

#Alberta #healthcare

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🏠📈Average rental prices in Canada surge to record highs in October 2023: report

Rental prices in Canada reached a new high, with an average asking price of $2,149 per month in October, according to a new report compiled by a Canadian rental listings website.

The Canadian market continued its upward trajectory with data suggesting a monthly increase of 1.5 per cent from August, and an annual surge of 11.1 per cent. The report’s metrics are based on new listings, not what existing tenants are paying per month.

🔹In terms of rental types, one-bedroom units recorded the fastest annual growth in asking rents, soaring by 15.5 per cent, reaching an average of $1,905.

Two-bedroom apartments averaged $2,268, marking a 13.1 per cent increase year-over-year, while three-bedroom units were up by 11.4 per cent, averaging $2,514.

Studios, representing the most economical choice, had the lowest year-over-year growth with an increase of 11.3 per cent, averaging $1,511 in rental prices.

🔹Breaking down the data by region, Nova Scotia and Alberta led the provinces in rent growth for both purpose-built and condominium apartments in September, with rates of 15.4 per cent and 15.3 per cent, respectively.

#housing

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Quebec public sector unions go on strike, announce 72-hour walkout later this month

Members of four major public sector unions in Quebec walked off the job on Monday and promised another series of strikes later this month if progress isn't made at the bargaining table.

Schools, health-care facilities and social services were disrupted at various points on Monday as the four unions representing a "common front" of some 420,000 workers protested the province's latest contract offer.

The unions announced their members planned to picket again for three days between Nov. 21 and Nov. 23.

The government's latest contract offer was soundly rejected by all labour unions in the province. The offer included a 10.3-per-cent salary increase over five years and a one-time payment of $1,000 to each worker. The unions have said the government's proposal doesn't cover inflation.

#Quebec #strike

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Government documents project Liberals' gun 'buyback' to cost nearly $2B, double minister's estimates

Internal government documents from 2019 put the cost of a government mandatory gun buyback at nearly $2 billion, despite assurances during the last federal election that expropriating so-called “assault rifles” from licensed Canadian firearms owners would only cost between $400 million and $600 million.

In documents published as part of an access-to-information request, an internal presentation prepared in December 2019 by the Department of Justice puts the cost of confiscating what it described as “military-style assault rifles,” with compensation for the owners, at more than double the figure touted by then public safety minister Bill Blair.

Over three years after it was announced, the federal government has yet to release any sound estimates on what the expropriation would cost taxpayers.

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