Year'o Rabbit year [22 Jan 2023 to Feb 2024, water hare].

year ending in Feb of 2024 is moving to a cyclical point that usually has positive corrections for BTC, This Spring.

Think Bitcoin can spike to $49k or 10% from here this month, While Newly listed tokens can do well, [DYM//TIA/ etc [Launchpad bucket], Hated coins, Token Unlocks]

[Embrace the cycles of the market, akin to the year of the rabbit, where strategic timing and agility breed opportunity]

Avg ~ 13% tradfi | 10% Crypto.

HashKey Capital transferred 700,000 $PENDLE ($2.17M) to Binance, anticipating a $1.61M profit (2.85x).

Early Activity:

19x returns in November 2022.
3x returns in July 2023 by selling Pendle.

The move was pretty fast, impulsive, with an 11% in 2 days. shared at $43k, now $48k.

Grayscale GBTC’s daily flows [fud = bottom]

Solana new launches last 3days ^(90% are down -95%) if one can't capture all moves of Bitcoin!how they can ape the next 50x?

most of these new launches insiders backed by small groups [ pre whitelisted wallets (family/friends), folks aping only to provide them exit)..

Grayscale Trader in charge just woke up and started deposting $140 million worth of BTC > Coinbase.

$BTC ~ $49k 🎯

Review of last 2-cycles

2017-18 > ETH/BTC
2020-21 > SOL/BTC
2023-26 > BTC/? (AI/Staking!?)

Measure your coins targets in BTC

- Buy, 5K
- MID, 25k
- Max, 50k

this was a max 10x vs BTC full cycle trade to start, but now it is only a double. this cycle is still early with many options and less risks..

1/2.

2017-18
2021-23.

top coins from 2017/2021 with memetic perf L1's can be seen in both cycles.

In a bull market, avoid tokens where the team publicly states, "We are here for the long run."

They won't engage in the crypto strategies to drive the token's value into overvaluation, opting instead for quick PND schemes. Also, be wary of tokens with significant unlocks and those with a high (FDV).

Cobie writes 8 articles, 7 of them explaining why the supply of TOKENS is relevant to the price (fdv)

Top performers are likely going to fall under these categories/mixture:

New coins
Relative outperformance during a bear market (Dancing order books)
Strong influencers (Not exit influencers)
Best hype verticals for the next year
Good unit bias (memes?)

PRICE <=> Fundamentals

Also think as long as BTC stays above $45k, it will continue to aim for $55k-56k.

Alts wise, AI/Staking coins have been doing good and will continue to do so, which can be seen within different classical portfolios like Binance Launchpad, or Asian based exchanges inflows (Upbit) activity.

Contributed to this research article about a gigamind bird. You should read it every week/month.

Contributed as outsider.

https://www.arkhamintelligence.com/research/gigantic-rebirth-crypto-trader