There are months where nothing happens and there are seconds where months happen
Today is one of those days where the latter is the case
All the anxieties and fears that were festering in the background expressed into reality in one massive implosion
We have seen this shit before, and it will happen again.
It is a cautionary tale that extreme risk taking should only be done in small sizes because these events can happen at any time no matter how well it is planned for
Hope that you are safe, probably best off avoiding the market now for a little while as things digest the events of this day
Today is one of those days where the latter is the case
All the anxieties and fears that were festering in the background expressed into reality in one massive implosion
We have seen this shit before, and it will happen again.
It is a cautionary tale that extreme risk taking should only be done in small sizes because these events can happen at any time no matter how well it is planned for
Hope that you are safe, probably best off avoiding the market now for a little while as things digest the events of this day
❤6
image_2025-10-11_16-13-55.png
151 KB
Disregarding alts, this is what the past few weeks have felt like to me for BTC
Reminded me so much of the June 2023 candle except the final resolution of it was immediate rather than delayed like back in 2023
Reminded me so much of the June 2023 candle except the final resolution of it was immediate rather than delayed like back in 2023
My preliminary thesis going forward is chop around the wick low area for over a month at least
❤5
Moonbags Markets
image_2025-08-25_17-01-41.png
For those still following, the recent uptrend was wiped out and price pretty much fell back in line with expectations with a weekly decline, ie I told you so (jk)
However, we're getting close to a bullish daily reversal
A few green days will probably print it
Weekly still in major declining phase but a daily reversal should give a bounce for a few weeks if it plays out
Still on track for weekly reversal to happen some time in December
However, we're getting close to a bullish daily reversal
A few green days will probably print it
Weekly still in major declining phase but a daily reversal should give a bounce for a few weeks if it plays out
Still on track for weekly reversal to happen some time in December
👀8🔥5
Both the weekly and daily trends have confirmed. This means they are capable of making a reversal at any time.
The daily uptrend which has played out mostly as a chop has on average 4 days left on it before it flips bearish but wouldn't be shocked if it flips sooner.
The weekly downtrend has on average 2-3 more weeks left before a bullish reversal.
This pretty much lines up with my August 2023 fractal and although I think of it mostly as a meme, it could be a guideline of what is to come.
We are entering giga hard mode for a bit, best take cover, even accumulation will be difficult in case we get a breakdown.
I have said publicly in the past, the absolute best case scenario is we go back down to retest 89 to 90k as that would open up blue skies for prices to rise in the foreseeable future. But seeing as how they have had trouble bringing this below 100k even with the biggest liquidations in history, not really betting on it anymore.
The daily uptrend which has played out mostly as a chop has on average 4 days left on it before it flips bearish but wouldn't be shocked if it flips sooner.
The weekly downtrend has on average 2-3 more weeks left before a bullish reversal.
This pretty much lines up with my August 2023 fractal and although I think of it mostly as a meme, it could be a guideline of what is to come.
We are entering giga hard mode for a bit, best take cover, even accumulation will be difficult in case we get a breakdown.
I have said publicly in the past, the absolute best case scenario is we go back down to retest 89 to 90k as that would open up blue skies for prices to rise in the foreseeable future. But seeing as how they have had trouble bringing this below 100k even with the biggest liquidations in history, not really betting on it anymore.
❤8
Next bottom will be similar to April 2025/September 2024/October 2023 bottom
Week 14 Weekly Downtrend
Day 10 Daily Downtrend
Both in reversible areas
Day 10 Daily Downtrend
Both in reversible areas
❤4😁1
Average usually 15.5 weeks/16 days, seems plausible both may reverse in the same time window
❤2
Bitcoin is now red 11 months into the year
Astrological prophecy is now fulfilled
Astrological prophecy is now fulfilled
😁3🤔2
Moonbags Markets
Both the weekly and daily trends have confirmed. This means they are capable of making a reversal at any time. The daily uptrend which has played out mostly as a chop has on average 4 days left on it before it flips bearish but wouldn't be shocked if it…
The macro bottom will be virtually indistinguishable from a dead cat bounce and those with lesser pedigree will constantly be reminding you of the latter
I have always said that I believed that this 89k to 90k level was going to be hit eventually and the promise has been delivered. Thanks for playing.
I have always said that I believed that this 89k to 90k level was going to be hit eventually and the promise has been delivered. Thanks for playing.
❤8
Moonbags Markets
Average usually 15.5 weeks/16 days, seems plausible both may reverse in the same time window
Recap:
Week 15 downtrend
Day 15 downtrend
Both will be entering timing windows for reversals in the upcoming days/weeks
Week 15 downtrend
Day 15 downtrend
Both will be entering timing windows for reversals in the upcoming days/weeks
❤6👍2
Moonbags Markets
Recap: Week 15 downtrend Day 15 downtrend Both will be entering timing windows for reversals in the upcoming days/weeks
image_2025-12-01_09-11-40.png
107.3 KB
Week 17 downtrend
Day 9 uptrend (unconfirmed)
Looks like the daily trend is now up although not confirmed yet, we have gotten a decent bounce off the wick at the 80k level now retesting the highly important and clustered 85k level, I do somewhat expect this area to hold as it's a heavy weekly CME close area
Still waiting on Weekly trend to flip bullish before things put in a power bottom
Day 9 uptrend (unconfirmed)
Looks like the daily trend is now up although not confirmed yet, we have gotten a decent bounce off the wick at the 80k level now retesting the highly important and clustered 85k level, I do somewhat expect this area to hold as it's a heavy weekly CME close area
Still waiting on Weekly trend to flip bullish before things put in a power bottom
🤔1
Moonbags Markets
image_2025-12-01_09-11-40.png
Day 4 Downtrend (unconfirmed)
Week 19 Downtrend
No moves until this weekly downtrend is over, no signs of it yet. Expected mid December back in August but currently it is running more extended than expected
Tough to suggest buy the dip unless you are willing to weather an unknown period of downtrending. Once this bottoms, it should rocket imo
If this runs more extended, lets say into Q1 then it will also fit the timeline of an extremely bullish q2 and beyond in 2026
Week 19 Downtrend
No moves until this weekly downtrend is over, no signs of it yet. Expected mid December back in August but currently it is running more extended than expected
Tough to suggest buy the dip unless you are willing to weather an unknown period of downtrending. Once this bottoms, it should rocket imo
If this runs more extended, lets say into Q1 then it will also fit the timeline of an extremely bullish q2 and beyond in 2026
