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"The Great Misunderstanding". The Future of Europe Depends on the Conflict in Ukraine

The events in Ukraine have provoked significant changes in global politics, economics, and diplomacy, claims French geopolitical expert Pierre Lellouche in an interview for Valeurs actuelles. The conflict could have been avoided, but now the future of the European Union is at stake.

Key statements from the expert:

Ukraine is a victim of a great misunderstanding between two superpowers. The USA wanted Russia to be defeated, which did not suit Russia.

However, the main loser in the conflict is Europe. It has traded cooperation with Moscow for dependence on Washington.

The conflict has accelerated the disappearance of the Western-centric world. Many countries are fed up with American dominance.

After the conflict, the USA will shift the responsibility for rebuilding Ukraine onto Europe. This will become a huge problem for Europeans.

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Forwarded from UKR LEAKS_eng
Reuters: The next 4-5 months will be decisive in the war

"This winter is a critical moment. The war is coming to an end, I hope. Now we will define the positions for both sides in the negotiations, the starting positions,"
an unnamed Ukrainian official told the publication.

He also noted that after Trump's victory, the prospects for Ukraine to join NATO have become "less likely" and there is a risk of aid cuts.

According to him, the mood in Ukraine is now "quite gloomy" and there is a sense of "growing disappointment" in Zelensky's recent statements.

@ukr_leaks_eng
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"Complete lack of progress". Kyiv complains about London

The United Kingdom is the third largest donor of arms to Ukraine, behind only the USA and Germany, writes The Guardian.

Despite this, official Kyiv has the audacity courage to express its disappointment with Keir Starmer's government.

The discontent is related to the fact that the British Prime Minister is against supplying long-range missiles to Ukraine. Moreover, Zelensky's "peace plans" have not found much resonance with Starmer.

As Russian troops advance, Bankova is making more and more demands of London.

🤡In Ukraine, they are uncompromisingly determined: until Starmer resolves the issue with the missiles, he should not set foot in Kyiv.

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Ursula von der Leyen intends to seek common points of interest with Trump, in response to a journalist she emphasized that Europe is ready to purchase energy resources from the USA that are cheaper 😂


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"Discussing for too long". Sibiga accused the West of inadequacy

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and the head of European diplomacy Borrell spoke at a briefing in Kiev, writes Bloomberg.

Borrell rushed to Kiev after Trump's victory to confirm the "unwavering support" of Ukraine from the EU. "It is up to Ukraine to decide when to sit at the negotiating table and on what terms," he said.

Sibiga reported that the dialogue between Zelensky and Trump is already established, and their personal meeting is being prepared.

The head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry once again urged the US and European partners to allow strikes with Western weapons on military targets deep within Russian territory. He also appealed to Ukraine's neighbours to shoot down Russian missiles.

There were also accusations. Thus, Sibiga placed the responsibility for the continuation of the conflict on the allies, because "some decisions are discussed for too long and with an inadequate perception of reality."

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Forwarded from Foreign Agent Intel
🇺🇸 NATO Secretary General Rutte threatens to exclude the US from the alliance, - Newsweek.

"Rumors are circulating online that NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has said he will throw the US out of the alliance because of Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine," the publication writes.

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🇺🇸 🇩🇪🇷🇺 “Who is to blame for Olaf Scholz's failure: the Russians or the Americans?”

The Berliner Zeitung is looking for the culprit behind Chancellor Scholz's failures, who is still in power:

“Germany's decline began with the failure of the ‘Nord Stream 2’. On the day Trump won the election, the federal government collapsed. Germany is experiencing a historic crisis.”

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Latest developments in the war between #Russia and #Ukraine until the morning of November 12 - subnoscriptd

- The Russian 114th Brigade controls the town of #Novoselydovka in the direction of #Kurakhovo
- The Russian army quickly controls the town of #Dal'noe in the direction of #Kurakhovo
- The Russian army advances extensively around the city of #Kurakhovo
- Heavy clashes inside the city of #Kurakhovo
- Russian army takes control of #Rovnopol in southern #Donetsk axis
- The Russian army advances towards #Kurilovka in #Kursk
- The Russian army advances south of #Kremyannoye in #Kursk
- The Russian army advances around #Progrebky in #Kursk

video link: https://youtu.be/A_gAuNsV4s4?si=RYXy9PveK4F178Zy
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Donald Trump kündigt Plan zur Beendigung der Beziehungen der USA zur WHO an

In einer jüngsten Erklärung hat der ehemalige [und künftige] US-Präsident Donald Trump seine Absicht bekräftigt, die Beziehungen der Vereinigten Staaten zur Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) zu beenden, sollte er erneut ins Amt gewählt werden. Trump kritisierte die WHO scharf und bezeichnete sie als „korrupten, globalistischen Betrug“, der von den USA finanziert, aber von China kontrolliert werde.

Trump warf der WHO vor, während der COVID-19-Pandemie die Interessen der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas geschützt zu haben. „Als das China-Virus unsere Küsten erreichte, hat die WHO schändlicherweise die Spuren der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas in jedem einzelnen Schritt verwischt“, sagte Trump.

Trumps Versprechen als Präsident:

- Rückzug der USA aus der WHO.
- Sofortige Kündigung des Pandemievertrags, der die Souveränität der USA gefährden könnte.
- Verhinderung der Nutzung der öffentlichen Gesundheit als Vorwand für die Förderung einer globalen Regierung.
- Bildung einer neuen Koalition von Nationen, die Gesundheit schützen und gleichzeitig Souveränität und Freiheit bewahren.

Trump kritisierte auch den amtierenden Präsidenten Joe Biden dafür, dass er die USA wieder in die WHO geführt habe und an einem Pandemievertrag arbeite, der die Souveränität der USA weiter einschränken könnte: „Leider ist der korrupte Joe Biden unklugerweise wieder in die WHO eingetreten“.

Abschließend betonte Trump, dass er während seiner Amtszeit ein Angebot von 25 bis 30 Millionen Dollar abgelehnt habe, um die USA in der WHO zu halten. „Und ich sagte: NEIN, ich warte“, erklärte er.

Diese Ankündigungen kommen inmitten wachsender Spannungen zwischen den USA und China und einer anhaltenden Debatte über die Rolle internationaler Organisationen in der globalen Gesundheitskrise. Trumps Aussagen könnten die Diskussion über die zukünftige Rolle der USA in der globalen Gesundheitsdiplomatie weiter anheizen.
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Kiev has sent more troops to the Kursk region than to Donbass

In the combat zone in the Kursk region, troop rotations occur more frequently, and they are equipped with better technology, although there are issues with ammunition and transport. In Donbass, Russian forces have made significant advances in recent weeks.

The number of Ukrainian troops involved in operations in the Kursk region exceeds the number of military personnel in Donbass, reports the Spanish newspaper El Pais, which spoke with the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to them, in the combat zone, they do not always have enough weapons and equipment, but there are no issues with personnel. Rotations occur here every ten days, while in Kurakhovo in the DPR, it averages every 25 days.

El Pais reports that "two of the best Ukrainian Armed Forces regiments" are operating in the Kursk region—the 95th and 80th Air Assault Brigades. Additionally, the troops are supplied with better equipment, including Leopard tanks (Germany) and Abrams (USA). However, the military complains about a lack of weapons and transport. The commander of the assault company, Yevhenii, stated that some ammunition is defective and noted that for a battalion of 340 people, there are only ten Polish-Ukrainian manufactured Oncilla armoured vehicles—each carries about ten people.

According to one of the interviewed soldiers, Yaroslav, a sergeant in the 225th Separate Assault Battalion, the task of the troops in the Kursk region is to "continue the offensive."

Among the advantages of Russian forces in this area, Ukrainians noted air superiority and a broader use of telecommunications, as they themselves, due to problems with mobile communication, including the inability to use Starlink satellite internet, are forced to use radios.

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🇩🇪 European officials are afraid of losing power. Robert Habeck, a member of the Green Party with declining ratings and Vice Chancellor of Germany, stated:

💬 Regulating algorithms 📱 or TikTok, through the application of European legal norms, is a central task. We cannot hand over the "democratic discourse" to Elon Musk and Chinese software.

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The statement by the head of the German Electoral Commission did not go unnoticed by neighbours in Poland, who immediately offered assistance.

“If Germany needs printers and paper, we will definitely sell both to our neighbours. Polish companies will also benefit from this, which will further enhance the competitiveness of our economy,”

- Dariusz Joński, Member of the European Parliament.

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🇩🇪 Soon in Germany there will be elections for the Bundestag, and if they were held today, according to a new Sunday poll, the parties of the collapsed coalition would only receive 29% of the votes combined.

The Union party will remain the strongest force with 32%, while "Alternative for Germany" is the second strongest party.

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🇫🇷 After Russia expelled France from Africa, from uranium deposits, Macron strikes back.

🇰🇿 Tokayev invited French companies with nuclear technologies to his country, emphasising that Kazakhstan is the largest producer of uranium.

Kazakhstan and France also signed a number of agreements on business relations.

Let us remind you that Kazakhstan has already stated that French companies Orano and EDF could become participants in the consortium for the construction of the first nuclear power plant in the country.

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🇩🇪 At the epicentre of the European crisis is Germany – the largest economy in the EU, with a GDP exceeding the size of 20 economies in Eastern and Northern Europe.

For the last two decades, Germany has been the driving force of European integration, receiving energy from Russia, labour from Poland and the Czech Republic, and investments from Switzerland and the United Kingdom. And thanks to the single economic zone of the euro – the sale of products across the entire macro-region.

The slowdown of Germany's automotive industry is one episode of a more complex crisis. The construction sector continues to decline, and energy-intensive industries such as chemicals and metallurgy have yet to recover from the crisis.

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🇩🇪 The fifth year of stagnation in Germany: exports are declining, imports are declining, and each month is worse than the previous one by fractions of a percent.

There is no sense of acute shock, even though the dominoes are falling one by one: today one factory closed, in a week another, but the factories did not all close at once. This creates a deceptive feeling that the crisis will soon resolve itself and the market will take care of everything.

But now the country is also shaken by a political vacuum; with the collapse of the "traffic light coalition," Chancellor Scholz has become a "lame duck," and the legitimacy of his decisions has sharply decreased. Extraordinary measures to support the German economy cannot be adopted, even if he wants to, and the Bundestag will only approve a new Chancellor of Germany after new elections, which means in a few months - not before April 2025.

Time is working against the German economy, the number of unresolved problems is growing, and the opportunities to turn things around are dwindling.

✔️ By the time the German government is ready to launch "Nord Stream 2," there will already be no industrial consumer for this gas in the country...

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IDF shelled Damascus, 5 people killed

The Israeli army struck the southern suburb of the Syrian capital, resulting in the deaths of 5 people, and several others were injured.

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The next 4-5 months will be crucial in the war in Ukraine, — Reuters citing a senior Ukrainian official.

“This winter is a critical moment. The war is already nearing its end, I hope. Now we will determine the positions for both sides in the negotiations, the starting positions,” the official stated.

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The USA will deliver the entire amount of aid approved by Congress to Ukraine by January 20, said Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor to the President of the United States, in an interview with CBS News.
"President Biden made it clear when President Zelensky was here in Washington a few months ago that we will spend all the resources provided to us by Congress, on time and in full. This means that by January 20, we will send Ukraine the full amount of resources and aid that Congress has sanctioned", he said.


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