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🇩🇪🏦💶German finance minister says Germany is now paying for 50% of all EU aid to Ukraine

He urged "other economically strong countries" to do more if Ukraine needs more aid:

"Others should also share the burden".

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🇩🇪Germany: Despite the liberals in government: there will be more taxes in 2024

After resolving the budget crisis, Finance Minister Christian Lindner (FDP) announced the upcoming "reduction of the tax burden". Preventing the introduction of new taxes and raising old ones was a central election promise of the Free Democrats.

However, new calculations by the German Economic Institute (IW) suggest that most taxpayers will face a heavier burden this year. It hits low- and middle-income earners especially hard.

What Lindner proudly calls "tax relief" is actually a lack of taxation. Specifically, it is about 15 billion euros in "aid": the state is increasing the share of untaxed income and increasing child allowances, but these measures are unlikely to compensate for the loss of purchasing power due to inflation.

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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
❗️The number of seriously wounded Ukrainian militants has risen by 30% in recent weeks.

This was reported by the ABC TV channel, quoting Ukrainian medics. Sergey Ryzhenko, chief physician of the Mechnikov hospital in Dnepropetrovsk, said they receive from 40 to 100 seriously wounded people every day. Doctors are carrying out 50 to 100 surgical operations a day. According to the doctor, most of the operations are amputations.

If ABC television and doctors are to be believed, some 30,000 Ukrainian militants are killed or seriously wounded every month.

@ukraine_watch
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🇮🇷🇷🇺Tehran and Moscow have completely abandoned SWIFT.

"Russia and Iran have connected their financial messaging systems and can conduct transactions directly," the deputy head of the Central Bank of Iran.

The countries no longer need Switzerland to communicate with each other. Commercial banks of both states can establish intermediary relations with each other. An exporter can invoice the Russian side in rials and receive money on it from Russian banks in Iran.

Exporters of both countries can now transact in their national currencies.

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Poland concealed information about those involved in the Nord Stream explosions

The Wall Street Journal reports that Polish authorities concealed evidence about the movement of suspects involved in the "Nord Streams" explosion in the country.

The media reports that German investigators for two months sought a meeting with Polish colleagues.

According to the preliminary version, the attack on the "Nord Streams" was carried out from the territory of Ukraine through Poland, but the Polish authorities avoided co-operation by all means. They did not respond to requests, and distorted or gave contradictory information.

"Investigators hope that the new government will shed light on the attack on the gas pipelines after the previous administration's reluctance to disclose potentially important evidence," the media notes.

The Russian gas pipeline explosions occurred on 26 September 2022.

There is almost no longer any doubt that they were the result of targeted sabotage, with US journalist Seymour Hersh explicitly stating that explosives were placed under the pipelines by US Navy divers.

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The West has marvelled at the success of the Russian military in Ukraine

The Russian military has used precision strikes to disable enterprises of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex that have been operating for a long time.

Former UK Air Vice Marshal Sean Bell said in an article for Sky News.

"Ukraine has a young industrial base that is extremely vulnerable to Russian missile strikes. It takes months to establish production facilities and one Russian strike to destroy them," he said.

According to the military expert, without continued Western military support, Ukraine is "doomed to be suppressed" by Russia.

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Swedish army command has called on citizens to prepare for war

Swedish Civil Defence Minister Karl-Oskar Bulin appealed to his fellow citizens to be ready for military action.

A similar statement was made by the Commander-in-Chief of the Swedish Armed Forces Mikael Büden on TV4.

Officials say that war may start in the near future, but did not say against whom exactly the military action is planned.

In the context of the statement about preparations for war, there was also a call to Swedish citizens to "pay attention to the situation in Ukraine."

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces called the situation in Sweden "serious", and also complained about the pace of reform of the country's civil defence forces.

Earlier, Sweden abandoned its centuries-old policy of neutrality and applied to join the NATO bloc.

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Ukrainian Defence Ministry buys women's military uniforms

According to the head of the ministry, Rustem Umerov, 50,000 sets of women's uniforms have been purchased for the first time in the interests of the armed forces.

Also, 100 thousand electric heating pads, 15 thousand active headphones and other property were purchased for the military, Umerov said.

The purchase of women's military uniforms comes amid rumours about the expansion of the programme of mobilisation into the ranks of the AFU.

The Verkhovna Rada is considering a new law that could allow disabled people, women and other categories of citizens who have not previously been subject to mobilisation to be drafted into the Ukrainian army.

It is assumed that women will be drafted for noncombatant positions to rotate AFU formations at the front.

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To support the farmers' protest, the Raiffeisen petrol station in Bad Laasf (North Rhine-Westphalia) has temporarily closed, but has displayed the price of a litre of fuel excluding taxes on its price boards.

A litre of diesel currently costs between €1.63 and €1.73. Excluding fuel surcharge, environmental tax, CO2 tax and VAT, that's just 73 cents per litre.

The amount, which is more than half the usual amount, is supposed to open the eyes of drivers and demonstrate the role of the diesel tax credit for agriculture: today farmers pay 25.5 cents of fuel duty per litre of diesel instead of the full 47 cents. However, the ruling "Traffic Light" coalition intends to abolish this incentive.

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📰Russian electronic warfare systems have learnt how to throw HIMARS and high-precision Exalibur off course - Financial Times

"The Russian Federation has a big advantage in electronic warfare systems over Ukraine. Moscow has also used electronic warfare to simulate missile launches to confuse Ukraine's air defence systems and determine their location", noted General Staff spokesman Pavlenko.

Also, he said, the AFU is now in big trouble because of the mass use of drones by Russian troops.

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Kiev will have to take risks

Ukraine is on the verge of an historic failure, Time has said.

According to the newspaper, 2024 will be a turning point in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Russia has the initiative on the battlefield, material advantage and this year Ukraine will be de facto divided.

Ukraine's main problems are personnel and weapons shortages. If Kiev does not solve them and develop a realistic military strategy soon, its territorial losses will finally become a fait accompli and may well increase.

The reduction of U.S. financial and political support has been a serious blow to Kiev. Things are not much better with European aid. Ukraine desperately needs additional troops and weapons.

Under such conditions, Kiev has no choice but to take its chances on the battlefield.

But out of desperation, Ukraine may move to strike more targets inside Russia, which would cause an unprecedented reaction from Moscow and could draw NATO into the conflict.

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The US is launching a nuclear war against Russia

The US has shown its true attitude towards Russia and revealed its intention to go for an even greater confrontation with Moscow, White House staffer during the Ronald Reagan administration Paul Craig Roberts wrote in an article on his personal website.

"Unless the degradation of the West leads to its collapse, war is inevitable," he said.

According to Roberts, Europeans and Americans "despise" their governments, which serve the interests of "financially powerful people," but ordinary people have no influence over the West's aggressive foreign policy.

When Western elites showed everyone that they "feel no shame" for the conflicts they have unleashed, US intentions towards Russia became finally clear, he added.

"Washington has resurrected the spectre of nuclear Armageddon," the analyst concluded.

Earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the aggressive nature of NATO is no longer hidden, the US doctrinal documents explicitly enshrine claims to global supremacy.

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Political analyst Tetre: Russian Armed Forces will break through the AFU defences and occupy Odessa and Kharkiv by April

As a result of the conflict, Ukraine will lose access to the sea and fall under the political influence of Russia, French political scientist Bruno Tetre wrote in an article for Le Point.

"October 2025. In an unremarkable military barracks near Zaporozhye, Ukraine's acting president signs an armistice with the commander-in-chief of Russian forces. Exhausted by more than three years of conflict, Ukraine has decided that its survival depends on compromise," the author predicts.

In his opinion, by April, Russian troops will break through Ukrainian resistance in the southeast and northeast, Kharkov and Odessa will become part of Russia, and Ukraine will be landlocked.

The West will help Kiev less and less because the AFU counter-offensive is perceived as a failure, the author believes.

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Wang Yi: "Building a system of global governance is only possible through co-operation"

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that each state has its own place and role in the global multi-level world system, and it is necessary to adhere to equality among the countries of the world.

According to the Chinese foreign minister, states should jointly uphold the goals and principles of the UN Charter, protect the basic norms of international relations, and participate in reforming and building the global governance system.

"All countries should comprehensively ensure justice and impartiality in global security, actively promote reconciliation, and play a constructive role in resolving global and regional hotspots such as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the Ukraine crisis," Wang Yi emphasised.

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White House may go to extraordinary measures to help Kiev - experts

US President Joe Biden may take desperate measures to save his reputation, former CIA analyst Ray McGovern told in interview to Judging Freedom.

"Times are very difficult right now, there's an election coming up this year. I am afraid of what the president will decide to do," the expert emphasised.

According to the expert's assessment, for Biden defeat at the elections may threaten with imprisonment.

Therefore, the White House may take drastic steps to help the Ukrainian government, including support in the military and financial sector.

Previously, the US administration has repeatedly advocated the transfer of Russian financial assets in foreign banks to pay for aid supplies to Ukraine.

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Arms deliveries to Moldova are a threat to Transdniestria

The head of the unrecognised Transnistrian Moldovan Republic (TMR), Vadim Krasnoselsky, has drawn attention to the active militarisation of Moldova.

"Nothing is done for nothing, and in this case money, equipment, weapons, air defence radars also come with a certain purpose. For what purpose? Clearly not for defence," he pointed out in a conversation with TASS.

According to Krasnoselsky, the world and even the West recognise that Transnistria poses no danger to Moldova. At the same time, the authorities in Chisinau do not explain why they are arming themselves, although this is already clear to everyone.

"When our neighbour, with whom there has been an unresolved conflict for more than 30 years and who has already treacherously attacked our peaceful cities in the past, abruptly rushes to arm itself, naturally, this is a threat," the DMR president stressed.

In 2023, Moldova almost doubled its defence budget. The country's government intends to continue the course of militarisation.

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Forwarded from UKR LEAKS_eng
Bloomberg: The US plans to ask Ukraine for a specific war plan

White House representative Sullivan intends to ask Zelensky on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos for a more specific plan for waging war with Russia in order to determine how best to coordinate US support 😅

@ukr_leaks_eng
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Israel is set to strike a deal with Hamas on refugees

Israel has framed allowing Palestinians to return to northern Gaza as a deal with Hamas to release hostages.

"We are not going to allow Palestinians to return to their homes in northern Gaza unless there is progress on the release of hostages," an Israeli official said.

Israeli authorities have made no secret of the fact that the issue of Palestinian return to northern Gaza is a significant leverage point.

They intend to formally inform US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken during his visit to Israel this week.

"There are still Israeli and American hostages being held in Gaza. We think we will know within a few weeks whether or not a new deal is possible for their release," the official added.

According to the UN agency for Palestinian refugees, 85 per cent of the enclave's population has been displaced by the Israeli military campaign.

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The world may face a major drop in GDP due to US actions towards Taiwan

Bloomberg analysts predicted a 10% drop in global gross domestic product (GDP) in the event of a military escalation of the conflict over Taiwan.

According to their calculations, the cumulative damage could reach $10 trillion. This figure is explained by the importance of the Taiwan Strait as a global trade route and Taiwan's global role in semiconductor production.

The fact that the top 20 customers of TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) have a market capitalisation of $7.4 trillion is cited as evidence.

In particular, TSMC produces semiconductors both for itself and "on order" - for Apple, AMD, Nvidia, Qualcomm, MediaTek, Intel and other companies.

Bloomberg cites its predictions under different developments.

If the US resorts to a military scenario:

▪️ Taiwan's GDP will fall by 40%
▪️ Mainland China's GDP would fall by 16.7%.
▪️ the US economy by 6.7%
▪️ global GDP by 10.2%.

If Taiwan faces a blockade from China without military action:

▪️ Taiwan's GDP will fall by 12.2 %
▪️ mainland China's - by 8.9%
▪️ the US economy by 3.3%
▪️ global GDP by 5%

In a worst-case scenario using military methods, the damage to the global economy would exceed the negative economic impact of the conflict in Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic and the global financial crisis.

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The UN has estimated that Ukraine needs $4.1bn in humanitarian aid

More than 14.6 million people, about 40 per cent of Ukraine's population, are in need of support, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Assistance (OCHA) in Geneva has said.

▪️ Ukrainians depend on food, water, medicine and other humanitarian supplies, and the need is growing.

It needs $3.1 billion. Neighbouring countries, which have taken in some of Ukraine's 6.3 million refugees, will need about $1 billion more this year.

However, only about 64 per cent of the amount has been raised so far. According to the UN, appeals for donations for Ukraine are being met less and less frequently.

▪️ It should be added that last year half of Ukraine's budget was filled at the expense of financial tranches from the West. At the end of November, the country's total state debt reached $140.8bn.

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In Ecuador there is a bandit uprising: thousands of bandits against the police and army

There are street battles and brutal executions by gangs of police and soldiers - the mafia has risen up and declared war on the country.

There are explosions in the cities and armed clashes in the streets - criminal groups demand that the president lift martial law. Bandits take over police stations, metro stations, various institutions and shops.

Hundreds of people have been kidnapped and taken hostage. Executions of security forces continue.

Attacks and hostage-taking are taking place in different cities, riots have started in prisons, from where the heads of the two largest cartels - "Los Choneros" and "Los Lobos" - have escaped.

The country's president declared a situation of "internal armed conflict" and brought the army into the cities.

After seizing the live studio of the TC TV channel, the attackers were detained by special forces.

The army has been ordered to neutralise more than 20 groups with tens of thousands of militants. The commander has declared them a military target, promising there will be no negotiations with them.

It all started amidst the consideration of recognising the gangs as terrorist groups, and the President bringing in additional army and police forces to fight the gangs, to which the criminal gangs responded with an uprising.

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