To what conclusions does Russia’s passivity to provocations lead?

One conclusion is that there are sufficient influential Russians who prefer inclusion in the West to Russian sovereignty and that they are able to block effective Russian responses to provocations. https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/06/23/if-the-kremlin-ever-wakes-up-things-will-go-badly-for-the-west/

Interesting that passivity is also the critique from the Russian hardline. A better term would be restraint, as this has been the real character behind Russian strategy in Syria, Ukraine I, and Iran. It is the patient, measured response and the will to make sacrifices which has led to great victories so far.

The war is fought primarily as shift in the world nomos and on the edge of nuclear conflict, not on the ground – as Schmitt said, world conflict no longer unfolds within the "baroque classical conception of a theater of war." Revolutionary wars - that is, democratic wars of space - are 9/10s armament, positioning, legal and criminal subterfuge, mobilisation, and technological organisation. It is only the final 1/10 that is the spectacular eruption of arms. The importance of this distinction should not be overlooked, as it accounts for the permanent and mixed state of war – and also the character of war which must accomplish the final 1/10 without the total eruption of nuclear weapons. Such a balance is like that space between two seconds of a clock.

Russian nuclear doctrine has never implied passivity, and certainly not fear. In the Cuban Missile Crisis it was the Russians who prevented a nuclear catastrophe, and throughout the current crisis cool heads have prevailed. What has occurred is the transition to a new phase of world order, in which America was defeated, or at least severely wounded in 2014 and 2017. One may think of a wounded Leviathan falling back into the sea – the East, and particularly Russia, is fighting against a wounded monster that may take the world down with it.

This is the real danger and fearful position, America rather than Russia. One can even look to its technological, economic, and social situation to see the costs of the war – the world civil war has eroded its cities, they appear as war zones, and the political order threatens an internal civil war. As a question of power and order one may see American devastation as equivalent to nuking its own cities.

Here a grave mistake on the part of the Russians would begin with accepting hardline positions. One should not interfere with an enemy which us destroying itself, where Mutually Assured Destruction is its policy then defense is the best strategic course. This is without question. While it is possible that an escalation may be necessary - and we are without a doubt on the verge of this - even this would have to be effectively limited in scope. Once again the spatial and world order question is paramount. Slow progress, like that of erosion or radiation, is the path forward. Most likely positions will be taken as cryptographic warnings, as with the revealing of a nuclear submarine position along strategic strongholds combined with acts of sabotage. This would continue the war along the threshold of nuclear conflict without stepping across the line.

"Massive Bombardment”: Belarus Reportedly Strikes Ukraine

Officials in Ukraine said the country came under heavy fire from neighboring Belarus, a Russian ally that has not been involved in the fighting.

Twenty rockets targeted the village of Desna in the northern Chernigiv region in “a massive bombardment,” according to Ukraine’s northern military command. There were no casualties reported.

Ukraine said it came under “massive bombardment” Saturday (June 25) from Belarus, the day after announcing a retreat from the strategic city of Severodonetsk.

“Today’s strike is directly linked to Kremlin efforts to pull Belarus as a co-belligerent into the war in Ukraine,” the Ukrainian intelligence service said.

The attack came as Russian president Vladimir Putin was scheduled to meet Aleksandr Lukashenko, president of Belarus, in St. Petersburg Saturday.

👉 Source: New York Post

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Climate goals may be at odds with G7 response to fallout from Russian invasion

"How we get there in the short term, how we build for the medium term, how we ensure that the long term is covered is exactly what we're going to be talking about over the next couple of days. Not just with our fellow G7 leaders, but with leaders from around the world who will be joining us in Germany to tackle this very issue," Trudeau said at a press conference in Kigali, Rwanda Saturday at the conclusion of the Commonwealth meeting.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/climate-goals-may-be-at-odds-with-g7-response-to-fallout-from-russian-invasion/ar-AAYSrWv?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=cf4411858fab4a218b1cd32c5067f622

Comments on the effects of winter conditions during the battle for Moscow: “The decision over a battle won or lost had moved from the operational level, beyond the tactical level, down to the simple question of whether one tank, one antitank gun, or twenty soldiers could be moved to a threatened position.” —Hermann Balck, Order in Chaos

1917: Germany's Last Chance To Save The War | The Great War In Numbers | War Stories

Here's an upload since the youtube was blocked in Europe.

Comments on the Normandy landings: “If you want to win a battle you must first decide whether you want to fight it operationally or tactically. An operational approach equals movement; nothing other than allowing the enemy to approach and then grabbing him in the open field and beating him with the old, proven methods. We would have been well suited for such a solution. Unfortunately, the proponents of this solution overlooked the fact that the enemy’s overwhelming air superiority made movement virtually impossible, and therefore operations were not possible. The operational solution was completely untenable.
Victory could have been achieved tactically by layering the defense in depth at the anticipated landing site and keeping the reserves close by on a broad front to thrust automatically and immediately at the first landing attempts. Tactical logistics operations would have to be secured within air defense corridors. Operational moves would have to be reduced to a minimum.” —Hermann Balck, Order in Chaos

Note: About Stoltenberg's "He wanted less NATO on his borders.
And launched a war. Now he is getting more NATO on his borders. And more members."
We note that, Russia would have gotten 'more NATO and more members' at its borders anyway, just further East. Now Belarus and Ukraine are off the table and out of reach for NATO.

Media: -
Source: https://news.1rj.ru/str/visere/40521
Subscribe: @novorossiyaonline
Tags: #Russia #NATO

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"All world-improvers are Socialists. And consequently there are no Classical world-improvers."

- Oswald Spengler, The Decline of the West

Demagoguery and utopian ideas are inherently un-aristocratic and anti-traditional. No great man ever asked for approval to conquer. They did not waste time arguing 'their side' and daydreaming about idealized scenarios. Empires are built by the sword. The praxis of great men is violence.

Debate over Canadian flag resumes as convoy protests return to Ottawa

Victor Crapnell remembers the uneasy feeling he had watching the Freedom Convoy protests unfold in his hometown of Ottawa in February. The feeling came as he saw the red and white maple leaf on Canada's flag standing out against the snowy backdrop.

The Victoria resident says seeing the image of the flag displayed so prominently, one some occasions alongside Confederate and even Nazi flags, stirred up emotions he says he never usually associated with the country's most recognizable symbol.

"It sort of hit home to me that our beautiful flag had been hijacked as their symbol of protest," Crapnell said. "And I thought, 'That's not right.'"

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/debate-over-canadian-flag-resumes-as-convoy-protests-return-to-ottawa/ar-AAZ377j?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=7fe645d74f3345b4a554451dfc14aa42

"A people is never represented in any other way than it can be represented and deserves to be represented. There is a reciprocal bond between the totality and its representatives which is of strict necessity. The demand of democracy, which emphasises the responsibility of the leaders towards the people, is therefore one-sided. For the people are also responsible for their leaders, and have always been made responsible for them. War, however, is not a mechanism which is waged by those who are dear to the people and take responsibility for it. It is a fateful process which penetrates into the communities and moves them like the tides. And furthermore, it is natural like the relations of the sexes, the circulation of the blood, and the movements of the stars – which is why it can neither be good nor evil in itself. A strong life grasps it, affirms it and takes pleasure in it; a weak life seeks to withdraw from it and deny it, because inner fear demands such a denial."
~ Friedrich Georg Jünger