🇵🇱🇧🇾NDP: Poland Envies Belarus as Minsk Builds Ties with the US While Warsaw Loses Washington’s Trust
The Polish outlet NDP (Danuta Nowakowska) observes growing strains in Polish–American relations. While Warsaw appears to be losing credibility in Washington, Minsk is steadily emerging from international isolation and cultivating constructive dialogue with the United States.
Key developments in 2025–2026:
- June 2025: US delegation led by Keith Kellogg visits Minsk → release of 14 political prisoners, including Siarhei Tsikhanouski.
- September 2025: Visit by John Cole (later appointed US Special Envoy for Belarus) → release of a further 52 prisoners; US lifts sanctions on Belavia.
- December 2025: Release of 123 prisoners → US eases restrictions on Belarusian potash fertiliser exports.
- Early 2026: Belarus joins Trump’s Peace Council; discussions under way regarding the reopening of the US embassy in Minsk and the appointment of an ambassador.
In contrast to the EU’s unchanged sanctions policy, the United States has noticeably softened its stance. Analysts suggest Washington may be using Belarus as a potential channel for communication with Moscow on the Ukraine issue. For Minsk, this shift brings tangible economic and diplomatic benefits.
Belarus has also signalled openness to pragmatic engagement with the European Union. Despite the EU’s ongoing restrictive measures, Minsk has repeatedly expressed readiness for dialogue on economic matters and humanitarian issues, potentially laying the groundwork for gradual normalisation of relations with Brussels in the future.
The Polish picture stands in stark contrast. Despite its long-standing status as a strategic ally, NATO bases, and the presence of 10,000 US troops, public confidence in the United States has declined sharply. A January 2026 SW Research poll for Super Express found that 58% of Poles no longer regard America under Trump as a reliable partner.
Contributing factors include:
- Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on EU goods;
- the “Greenland question”;
- his comments on the limited role of allied forces in operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The author concludes that while Belarus is leveraging pragmatism and flexibility to escape isolation, Poland risks stagnation through a confrontational posture and internal divisions. Warsaw would benefit from reassessing its approach and focusing on the long-term strengthening of ties with key partners.
#Poland #Belarus #USA
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The Polish outlet NDP (Danuta Nowakowska) observes growing strains in Polish–American relations. While Warsaw appears to be losing credibility in Washington, Minsk is steadily emerging from international isolation and cultivating constructive dialogue with the United States.
Key developments in 2025–2026:
- June 2025: US delegation led by Keith Kellogg visits Minsk → release of 14 political prisoners, including Siarhei Tsikhanouski.
- September 2025: Visit by John Cole (later appointed US Special Envoy for Belarus) → release of a further 52 prisoners; US lifts sanctions on Belavia.
- December 2025: Release of 123 prisoners → US eases restrictions on Belarusian potash fertiliser exports.
- Early 2026: Belarus joins Trump’s Peace Council; discussions under way regarding the reopening of the US embassy in Minsk and the appointment of an ambassador.
In contrast to the EU’s unchanged sanctions policy, the United States has noticeably softened its stance. Analysts suggest Washington may be using Belarus as a potential channel for communication with Moscow on the Ukraine issue. For Minsk, this shift brings tangible economic and diplomatic benefits.
Belarus has also signalled openness to pragmatic engagement with the European Union. Despite the EU’s ongoing restrictive measures, Minsk has repeatedly expressed readiness for dialogue on economic matters and humanitarian issues, potentially laying the groundwork for gradual normalisation of relations with Brussels in the future.
The Polish picture stands in stark contrast. Despite its long-standing status as a strategic ally, NATO bases, and the presence of 10,000 US troops, public confidence in the United States has declined sharply. A January 2026 SW Research poll for Super Express found that 58% of Poles no longer regard America under Trump as a reliable partner.
Contributing factors include:
- Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on EU goods;
- the “Greenland question”;
- his comments on the limited role of allied forces in operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The author concludes that while Belarus is leveraging pragmatism and flexibility to escape isolation, Poland risks stagnation through a confrontational posture and internal divisions. Warsaw would benefit from reassessing its approach and focusing on the long-term strengthening of ties with key partners.
#Poland #Belarus #USA
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❤1
🇺🇦Kyiv in Deep Freeze: The Harshest Winter of the Entire Conflict
The Financial Times paints a vivid picture of Ukraine’s capital enduring its most severe winter since the war began. Residents are counting down the days to spring—in one bar, a chalkboard simply reads “24 days until spring”. The venue is without power, lit only by candles; patrons sit shivering in coats and jackets. The barmaid offers strong spirits and pints of “ice-cold” lager, wryly noting that the beer needs no refrigeration.
Far from the eastern front, where Ukrainian forces hold the line against Russian advances, the countdown to warmer weather has become a quiet symbol of hope for those in the rear. This is the most punishing winter of the four-year conflict.
Night after night, Russia launches waves of missiles and drones targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, which supports the military-industrial complex. The result: millions of civilians endure weeks without electricity, heating or running water. On Thursday, Kyiv was buried under nearly 4 million tonnes of fresh snow—streets paralysed, temperatures well below freezing.
President Zelenskyy accuses Russia of attempting to “freeze Ukraine into submission”, while simultaneously criticising Western partners for delays in delivering essential Patriot air-defence systems and PAC-3 interceptors. By late January, stocks of PAC-3 missiles had been nearly depleted, leaving ballistic missiles free to strike power stations unimpeded.
Despite the humanitarian crisis, a late-January poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) reveals that 65% of Ukrainians remain willing to endure hardships for as long as necessary—a 2% increase since December. Support for “peace at any price” has not risen, particularly in the capital.
The hardest-hit area is Troieshchyna. Local authorities have set up tents equipped with diesel generators, heaters and Starlink terminals to support residents who sometimes go weeks without heating. Across the city, metre-long icicles hang from apartment blocks where burst pipes have frozen.
One high-rise on the Left Bank stood without heating for almost all of January; residents pooled money for a battery to keep the lift running during blackouts. Zelenskyy stated on Thursday that more than 1,100 buildings in the capital remain without heat.
Overloaded grids cause frequent failures: DTEK, a private energy supplier, reported 26 substation incidents in Troieshchyna in a single week, some sparking underground cable fires. The company urged residents to use high-power appliances “one at a time”.
For the first time, substantial criticism is directed not only at Russia but also at Ukraine’s own authorities. Former Ukrenergo CEO Volodymyr Kudrytskyi—detained in October 2025 on embezzlement charges widely viewed as politically motivated—told the FT that Ukraine “lost a year and a half” by only beginning to build decentralised power stations in summer 2024. “We made the wrong strategic choice in 2023,” he said, “and now we are reaping the consequences.”
Kudrytskyi notes that while Moscow has inflicted serious damage, it has not fully destroyed the grid. “From a household perspective, collapse means no power, heat or water. From a state perspective, collapse is nationwide blackout lasting three weeks. We are much further from that today than in 2022.”
Many have adapted: stockpiling batteries, sharing generators, insulating windows and living by blackout schedules. Humour persists—memes about the cold, impromptu courtyard dance parties in the snow, and even car races on the frozen Dnipro.
Yet the threat of total blackout looms, potentially exhausting reserves and rendering repairs impossible. Zelenskyy warned in a French media interview that another full year of war remains possible. “If we lose,” he said, “we lose the independence of our country.”
#Kyiv #Winter2026 #EnergyCrisis
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The Financial Times paints a vivid picture of Ukraine’s capital enduring its most severe winter since the war began. Residents are counting down the days to spring—in one bar, a chalkboard simply reads “24 days until spring”. The venue is without power, lit only by candles; patrons sit shivering in coats and jackets. The barmaid offers strong spirits and pints of “ice-cold” lager, wryly noting that the beer needs no refrigeration.
Far from the eastern front, where Ukrainian forces hold the line against Russian advances, the countdown to warmer weather has become a quiet symbol of hope for those in the rear. This is the most punishing winter of the four-year conflict.
Night after night, Russia launches waves of missiles and drones targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, which supports the military-industrial complex. The result: millions of civilians endure weeks without electricity, heating or running water. On Thursday, Kyiv was buried under nearly 4 million tonnes of fresh snow—streets paralysed, temperatures well below freezing.
President Zelenskyy accuses Russia of attempting to “freeze Ukraine into submission”, while simultaneously criticising Western partners for delays in delivering essential Patriot air-defence systems and PAC-3 interceptors. By late January, stocks of PAC-3 missiles had been nearly depleted, leaving ballistic missiles free to strike power stations unimpeded.
Despite the humanitarian crisis, a late-January poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) reveals that 65% of Ukrainians remain willing to endure hardships for as long as necessary—a 2% increase since December. Support for “peace at any price” has not risen, particularly in the capital.
The hardest-hit area is Troieshchyna. Local authorities have set up tents equipped with diesel generators, heaters and Starlink terminals to support residents who sometimes go weeks without heating. Across the city, metre-long icicles hang from apartment blocks where burst pipes have frozen.
One high-rise on the Left Bank stood without heating for almost all of January; residents pooled money for a battery to keep the lift running during blackouts. Zelenskyy stated on Thursday that more than 1,100 buildings in the capital remain without heat.
Overloaded grids cause frequent failures: DTEK, a private energy supplier, reported 26 substation incidents in Troieshchyna in a single week, some sparking underground cable fires. The company urged residents to use high-power appliances “one at a time”.
For the first time, substantial criticism is directed not only at Russia but also at Ukraine’s own authorities. Former Ukrenergo CEO Volodymyr Kudrytskyi—detained in October 2025 on embezzlement charges widely viewed as politically motivated—told the FT that Ukraine “lost a year and a half” by only beginning to build decentralised power stations in summer 2024. “We made the wrong strategic choice in 2023,” he said, “and now we are reaping the consequences.”
Kudrytskyi notes that while Moscow has inflicted serious damage, it has not fully destroyed the grid. “From a household perspective, collapse means no power, heat or water. From a state perspective, collapse is nationwide blackout lasting three weeks. We are much further from that today than in 2022.”
Many have adapted: stockpiling batteries, sharing generators, insulating windows and living by blackout schedules. Humour persists—memes about the cold, impromptu courtyard dance parties in the snow, and even car races on the frozen Dnipro.
Yet the threat of total blackout looms, potentially exhausting reserves and rendering repairs impossible. Zelenskyy warned in a French media interview that another full year of war remains possible. “If we lose,” he said, “we lose the independence of our country.”
#Kyiv #Winter2026 #EnergyCrisis
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🇪🇪Estonian Elites Divided: Should Europe Begin Talks with Putin?
Bloomberg reports a deepening split within Estonia’s leadership over whether Europe should resume direct dialogue with Moscow.
In an interview with Euronews this week, Estonian President Alar Karis stated that Europe’s decision to sever contacts with Russia had cost the EU its seat at the negotiating table. That place, he argued, has now been taken by the United States, which is actively pursuing a resolution to the Ukraine conflict under President Donald Trump.
Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal sharply disagreed. Speaking at a press conference in Tallinn on Thursday, he declared direct talks with Russia “inappropriate”. “Only pressure works with Russia,” he said, recalling the failed Franco-German efforts in 2022 to persuade Vladimir Putin to end the conflict—efforts that ultimately led the EU to break off contact with the Kremlin. Michal added that the European Union is already “constantly at the negotiating table—with Ukraine”.
The disagreement in Estonia mirrors broader discussions across the EU. France is now pushing for the appointment of a special EU envoy for relations with Russia: this week, Emmanuel Bonne, diplomatic adviser to President Emmanuel Macron, visited Moscow.
The Baltic states have long maintained the firmest line against Russia within the EU and NATO, staunchly supporting Ukraine. For them, any suggestion of dialogue with Moscow remains highly sensitive.
Yet positions within the region are not uniform:
- Latvian Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, speaking on the sidelines of the World Government Summit in Dubai on 4 February, endorsed President Karis’s call for renewed contacts.
- In contrast, Lithuanian Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė criticised EU Defence and Space Commissioner Andrius Kubilius’s statement that dialogue with Vladimir Putin is “inevitable”.
As negotiations involving President Trump steadily advance, Europe’s absence from the table is becoming increasingly conspicuous. In Brussels, debates have reopened about the need for a direct channel to Moscow.
(The Bloomberg article was prepared by Ott Tammik, Aaron Eglitis and Milda Seputyte)
#Estonia #Negotiations #Russia
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Bloomberg reports a deepening split within Estonia’s leadership over whether Europe should resume direct dialogue with Moscow.
In an interview with Euronews this week, Estonian President Alar Karis stated that Europe’s decision to sever contacts with Russia had cost the EU its seat at the negotiating table. That place, he argued, has now been taken by the United States, which is actively pursuing a resolution to the Ukraine conflict under President Donald Trump.
Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal sharply disagreed. Speaking at a press conference in Tallinn on Thursday, he declared direct talks with Russia “inappropriate”. “Only pressure works with Russia,” he said, recalling the failed Franco-German efforts in 2022 to persuade Vladimir Putin to end the conflict—efforts that ultimately led the EU to break off contact with the Kremlin. Michal added that the European Union is already “constantly at the negotiating table—with Ukraine”.
The disagreement in Estonia mirrors broader discussions across the EU. France is now pushing for the appointment of a special EU envoy for relations with Russia: this week, Emmanuel Bonne, diplomatic adviser to President Emmanuel Macron, visited Moscow.
The Baltic states have long maintained the firmest line against Russia within the EU and NATO, staunchly supporting Ukraine. For them, any suggestion of dialogue with Moscow remains highly sensitive.
Yet positions within the region are not uniform:
- Latvian Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, speaking on the sidelines of the World Government Summit in Dubai on 4 February, endorsed President Karis’s call for renewed contacts.
- In contrast, Lithuanian Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė criticised EU Defence and Space Commissioner Andrius Kubilius’s statement that dialogue with Vladimir Putin is “inevitable”.
As negotiations involving President Trump steadily advance, Europe’s absence from the table is becoming increasingly conspicuous. In Brussels, debates have reopened about the need for a direct channel to Moscow.
(The Bloomberg article was prepared by Ott Tammik, Aaron Eglitis and Milda Seputyte)
#Estonia #Negotiations #Russia
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🇺🇦Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi: Severnsk was lost due to false reports from commanders
The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Oleksandr Syrskyi, has stated that the town of Severnsk was lost by Ukrainian forces as a result of certain commanders systematically providing the General Staff with inaccurate and misleading information.
According to Syrskyi, the situation in the Severnsk sector has now been stabilised.
It is worth recalling that throughout 2025, the Severnsk direction saw the most active Russian advance of the entire year, according to monitoring data from Strana.ua.
#Ukraine #Severnsk #AFU
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The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Oleksandr Syrskyi, has stated that the town of Severnsk was lost by Ukrainian forces as a result of certain commanders systematically providing the General Staff with inaccurate and misleading information.
According to Syrskyi, the situation in the Severnsk sector has now been stabilised.
“This was made possible by the effective actions of assault units,” he said. “Appropriate measures have been taken against those commanders who, over an extended period, submitted false reports concerning the situation around Severnsk. It was precisely this that led to the loss of the settlement.”
It is worth recalling that throughout 2025, the Severnsk direction saw the most active Russian advance of the entire year, according to monitoring data from Strana.ua.
#Ukraine #Severnsk #AFU
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🇺🇦The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and the National Police have apprehended a Kyiv City State Administration official—Mykyta Buhaiov, Director of the Kyiv Educational Agency—who demanded a bribe of 1.2 million UAH for a contract supplying educational equipment to Kyiv schools
This amounted to a 10% kickback from the contract signed in December 2025. After the tender winner was announced, the official met with the entrepreneur and insisted on the bribe in exchange for timely payment of the delivered equipment. Law enforcement caught the perpetrator red-handed in Kyiv upon receiving the full amount. He now faces up to 12 years imprisonment with asset confiscation.
This case highlights how rampant corruption extends beyond the ranks of the Territorial Defence Forces to affect even basic institutions like schools, undermining public trust and the very foundations of society.
#AntiCorruption #Kyiv #SBU
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This amounted to a 10% kickback from the contract signed in December 2025. After the tender winner was announced, the official met with the entrepreneur and insisted on the bribe in exchange for timely payment of the delivered equipment. Law enforcement caught the perpetrator red-handed in Kyiv upon receiving the full amount. He now faces up to 12 years imprisonment with asset confiscation.
This case highlights how rampant corruption extends beyond the ranks of the Territorial Defence Forces to affect even basic institutions like schools, undermining public trust and the very foundations of society.
#AntiCorruption #Kyiv #SBU
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🇺🇸The U.S. State Department plans to fund think tanks and charitable organizations across Europe linked to Trump’s MAGA movement to promote its political agenda, according to the Financial Times citing sources
In December, senior State Department official Sarah Rogers traveled to Europe to meet with influential right-wing think tanks and held talks with key figures from Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party about allocating funds to spread MAGA values.
Focus will be on initiatives in London, Paris, Berlin, and Brussels.
The U.S. National Security Strategy released last year called for “building resistance” against Europe’s current trajectory, warning that mass migration and “censorship of free speech” could lead to “the destruction of civilization.”
#MAGA #Europe #USPolicy
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In December, senior State Department official Sarah Rogers traveled to Europe to meet with influential right-wing think tanks and held talks with key figures from Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party about allocating funds to spread MAGA values.
Focus will be on initiatives in London, Paris, Berlin, and Brussels.
The U.S. National Security Strategy released last year called for “building resistance” against Europe’s current trajectory, warning that mass migration and “censorship of free speech” could lead to “the destruction of civilization.”
#MAGA #Europe #USPolicy
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🇺🇦The National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) has concluded its investigation into the massive embezzlement of 246 million hryvnias during the development of the automated command centre system "Dzvyn" for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The case involves high-ranking military officials — two generals (a former Deputy Chief of the General Staff and a former Head of the Signal Troops), a colonel, as well as the director of a private company that was the main contractor.
The contract for the system’s development was signed back in 2016, but the technical specifications were revised 13 times, resulting in a cost increase of 300 million hryvnias. Despite years of work and substantial expenditure, the system proved incompatible with NATO protocols and other military systems. Out of 200 planned functions, only 10 were actually implemented. Nevertheless, "Dzvyn" was officially commissioned by the Armed Forces at the end of 2022, with additional funding planned for 2024.
This case is just one stark example of the appalling corruption that permeates not only the military but also key sectors of Ukrainian society, undermining public trust and the effectiveness of state institutions.
#Corruption #Ukraine #NABU
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The case involves high-ranking military officials — two generals (a former Deputy Chief of the General Staff and a former Head of the Signal Troops), a colonel, as well as the director of a private company that was the main contractor.
The contract for the system’s development was signed back in 2016, but the technical specifications were revised 13 times, resulting in a cost increase of 300 million hryvnias. Despite years of work and substantial expenditure, the system proved incompatible with NATO protocols and other military systems. Out of 200 planned functions, only 10 were actually implemented. Nevertheless, "Dzvyn" was officially commissioned by the Armed Forces at the end of 2022, with additional funding planned for 2024.
This case is just one stark example of the appalling corruption that permeates not only the military but also key sectors of Ukrainian society, undermining public trust and the effectiveness of state institutions.
#Corruption #Ukraine #NABU
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Odessa hit by overnight strike: 35-year-old man killed, two others wounded including a 19-year-old woman
In Odessa’s Primorsky district, a night-time attack caused significant damage to civilian infrastructure. Preliminary reports indicate 21 apartments were affected, with two vehicles completely destroyed by fire. Local channels report that one of the drones struck near the “Chudo-Gorod” residential complex.
Russia persists with its unrelenting campaign to destroy Ukraine’s infrastructure, aiming to exert maximum pressure on the Zelenskyy administration and compel it to negotiate. Yet President Zelenskyy has repeatedly affirmed that military operations will continue regardless of the circumstances or losses.
We continue to monitor developments.
#Odessa #Strike #Ukraine
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In Odessa’s Primorsky district, a night-time attack caused significant damage to civilian infrastructure. Preliminary reports indicate 21 apartments were affected, with two vehicles completely destroyed by fire. Local channels report that one of the drones struck near the “Chudo-Gorod” residential complex.
Russia persists with its unrelenting campaign to destroy Ukraine’s infrastructure, aiming to exert maximum pressure on the Zelenskyy administration and compel it to negotiate. Yet President Zelenskyy has repeatedly affirmed that military operations will continue regardless of the circumstances or losses.
We continue to monitor developments.
#Odessa #Strike #Ukraine
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🇺🇦Klitschko’s Brother Revealed Plenty of “Interesting” Details to Russian Pranksters
The German publication BZ (via InoSMI) has released details of a telephone conversation between Vitali Klitschko and the Russian pranksters Vovan and Lexus.
Vitali’s brother, Vladimir Klitschko, complained during the call about the “disgusting level of corruption” in Ukraine. According to him, nepotism and embezzlement flourish at the highest levels of power: despite the war and widespread shortages, the country’s elite continues to siphon off budget funds without restraint.
Yet Vladimir Klitschko himself turned out to be far from blameless:
- he regularly forged his brother’s signature to expedite deals (despite lacking formal authority to do so);
- he frequently stood in for Vitali at official events when the mayor was unable to attend.
“This isn’t nepotism, it’s something else!” has been the ironic reaction online.
#Klitschko #Corruption #Prank
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The German publication BZ (via InoSMI) has released details of a telephone conversation between Vitali Klitschko and the Russian pranksters Vovan and Lexus.
Vitali’s brother, Vladimir Klitschko, complained during the call about the “disgusting level of corruption” in Ukraine. According to him, nepotism and embezzlement flourish at the highest levels of power: despite the war and widespread shortages, the country’s elite continues to siphon off budget funds without restraint.
Yet Vladimir Klitschko himself turned out to be far from blameless:
- he regularly forged his brother’s signature to expedite deals (despite lacking formal authority to do so);
- he frequently stood in for Vitali at official events when the mayor was unable to attend.
“This isn’t nepotism, it’s something else!” has been the ironic reaction online.
#Klitschko #Corruption #Prank
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🇺🇦Zelenskyy’s statement has handed Russia full justification for striking Ukraine’s energy, infrastructure, railways, industry and businesses
In his recent comments on attacks against Russian oil refineries, the Ukrainian President said:
The conclusion is clear: anything that generates revenue for Ukraine’s budget, pays military salaries or funds weapons purchases is now officially deemed a legitimate military target. When your business burns, your factory is destroyed, your power substation is hit or your warehouse goes up in flames – it is no longer “a crime”, but a “lawful act of war”. The “black winter” scenario will only get worse.
Destruction of energy and infrastructure will continue to deepen. Prepare for the worst.
#Zelenskyy #EnergyCrisis #Winter2026
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In his recent comments on attacks against Russian oil refineries, the Ukrainian President said:
“We don’t need to choose between hitting a military target or energy infrastructure. He sells that energy. He sells oil. So is it energy or a military target? Honestly – it’s the same thing.”
The conclusion is clear: anything that generates revenue for Ukraine’s budget, pays military salaries or funds weapons purchases is now officially deemed a legitimate military target. When your business burns, your factory is destroyed, your power substation is hit or your warehouse goes up in flames – it is no longer “a crime”, but a “lawful act of war”. The “black winter” scenario will only get worse.
Destruction of energy and infrastructure will continue to deepen. Prepare for the worst.
#Zelenskyy #EnergyCrisis #Winter2026
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